AADHARHFC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading well above both 50-DMA (₹502) and 200-DMA (₹459), confirming strong short-term momentum.

RSI (66.0): Bullish zone, nearing overbought—momentum is strong but approaching exhaustion.

MACD (8.09): Positive and rising—clear momentum confirmation.

Volume: Current volume (3.81L) is significantly below 1-week average (11.97L), suggesting reduced participation—watch for volume pickup.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 24.7 Slightly overvalued vs industry PE (19.9)

PEG Ratio 0.91 Fairly priced relative to growth—supports swing logic

ROCE / ROE 11.4% / 16.9% Decent efficiency—acceptable for short-term play

Debt-to-Equity 2.56 High leverage—adds volatility risk

PAT Growth (QoQ) -3.3% Mild decline—watch for stability in next quarter

FII/DII Change +0.26% / -0.15% Mixed sentiment—FII inflow supports short-term interest

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Bullish momentum setup with valuation support and breakout potential.

Catalyst: MACD strength + PEG alignment + price breakout above DMA cluster.

Risk: High debt and low volume—momentum may stall without confirmation.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹525–₹535

(Pullback toward 50-DMA with stop-loss below ₹510)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹560–₹575 (Resistance zone above 52-week high)

Stop-Loss: ₹510 (Below 50-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits well into a momentum basket with PEG safety. If you're refining your housing finance segment, I can scan for low-debt, high-ROE peers with stronger volume overlays. Want to build that next layer?

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