AEGISLOG - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Analysis for Aegis Logistics Ltd. 🚢 (AEGISLOG)

📊 Swing Trade Rating

Rating: 3.2

Aegis Logistics has a solid earnings profile and decent fundamentals, but its technical indicators suggest the stock is currently under pressure. It may shape into a good candidate for swing trading if momentum reverses and volume picks up.

✅ Positives That Could Support a Trade

Strong Quarterly Earnings: PAT jumped to ₹282 Cr. vs ₹124 Cr.—a whopping 43.5% profit variation

Healthy ROCE & ROE: ROCE (13.2%), ROE (15.5%) indicate efficient capital usage

EPS ₹18.9 vs Industry PE: Trading fairly with P/E matching industry average (38.4)

PEG Ratio (1.69): Reasonable valuation for growth

Debt to Equity (0.99): Acceptable leverage

Above Book Value (₹132): Valuation suggests market confidence

⚠️ Technical & Sentiment Concerns

Bearish Momentum: RSI at 36.4 and MACD at -11.3 both indicate selling pressure

Below Key Averages: Trading under both 50-DMA (₹768) and 200-DMA (₹763)—weak price action

Low Volume: Current volume below 1-week average; participation is lukewarm

FII Outflow (-1.27%): Weak foreign sentiment

52w Index (27%): Significant fall from high of ₹1,037, showing erosion of bullish trend

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Wait for trend confirmation

Entry Range: ₹715–₹725 (near current level)

Conditions for Entry

RSI crosses above 45

MACD flattens or turns positive

Price closes above 50-DMA with volume > 2L

Entry without confirmation may lead to capital erosion if downward trend persists.

💼 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Initial Target: ₹750–₹760 (approaching 50-DMA)

Next Resistance Zone: ₹770–₹785 (crossing 200-DMA)

Stretch Exit: ₹825–₹850 if momentum returns

Stop Loss: ₹705 to contain downside risk

🧠 Final Take

AEGISLOG shows potential, but caution is key. Strong earnings back the setup, yet technicals call for patience. A confirmed bounce could unlock swing upside—but until then, it’s a watchlist candidate rather than a full-fledged trade.

Want to dig deeper by plotting its MACD-RSI crossover history, or compare with logistics peers like TCI Express, Blue Dart, or VRL? I’m all set to help you level up that swing game 📍📉.

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