AEGISLOG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:00 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) shows strong fundamentals with high ROCE (23.9%) and ROE (20.4%), low debt-to-equity (0.15), and consistent profitability. Valuation is stretched with P/E (49.0) above industry average (35.7), and PEG ratio (10.5) indicates expensive growth. Technically, the stock is trading near both 50 DMA (763 ₹) and 200 DMA (762 ₹), with RSI at 38.5 suggesting oversold conditions and MACD negative. Quarterly PAT surged (+131%), showing strong operational momentum. This makes AEGISLOG a good candidate for swing trading with cautious entry near support levels.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 720–740 ₹ (near DMA support and oversold zone).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 800–820 ₹ resistance or if price falls below 710 ₹ support.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (23.9%) and ROE (20.4%) highlight excellent operational efficiency.
• 💵 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 shows financial stability.
• 📊 EPS of 15.0 ₹ supports earnings strength.
• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth (+131%) highlights strong operational improvement (69.2 Cr. → 167 Cr.).
• 📉 RSI at 38.5 suggests oversold conditions, offering potential rebound opportunity.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 High P/E (49.0) compared to industry average (35.7), suggesting premium valuation.
• 📉 PEG ratio of 10.5 indicates growth is expensive relative to earnings.
• 📉 Dividend yield of 0.99% offers limited income return.
• 📉 Trading volume (83k vs avg 131k) is lower, indicating reduced liquidity.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 DII holdings decreased (-0.15%), showing weaker domestic institutional support.
• 📉 MACD negative (-11.1), confirming bearish undertone.

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 FII holdings increased slightly (+0.09%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
• 📊 PAT growth quarter-on-quarter highlights strong earnings recovery.
• 📈 Strong fundamentals with high ROCE and ROE continue to attract investors.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE is 35.7, lower than Aegis Logistics’ 49.0, suggesting premium valuation.
• 📈 Logistics and energy infrastructure sector outlook remains positive, supported by rising demand for storage and distribution.

📝 Conclusion

⚖️ Aegis Logistics is fundamentally strong but technically weak, making it a cautious swing trade candidate. Entry near 720–740 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, with exit near 800–820 ₹. Strict risk management is essential given stretched valuation and weak technical indicators, despite strong quarterly profit growth.

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