AEGISLOG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading above both 50-DMA (₹735) and 200-DMA (₹750), confirming short-term bullish momentum.

RSI (64.3): Bullish zone—momentum is strong but nearing overbought territory.

MACD (14.1): Positive crossover—momentum confirmation is solid.

Volume: Significantly below 1-week average, which raises caution about sustainability of the move.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 63.5 Overvalued vs industry PE (41.5)

PEG Ratio 13.7 Severely overpriced relative to growth—valuation risk

ROCE / ROE 23.9% / 20.4% Strong capital efficiency—supports quality

Debt-to-Equity 0.14 Low leverage—financially sound

PAT Growth (QoQ) -69.4% Sharp decline—sentiment risk despite long-term strength

FII/DII Change -1.27% / +0.09% FII outflow is a concern; DII inflow is minimal

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Momentum-driven setup with strong ROCE/ROE but valuation and earnings risks.

Catalyst: MACD strength + price breakout above DMA cluster.

Risk: Weak volume, high PEG, and declining profits—requires tight stop-loss discipline.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹765–₹775

(Pullback toward 50-DMA with stop-loss below ₹740)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹820–₹840 (Resistance zone from prior swing highs)

Stop-Loss: ₹740 (Below 50-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits a short-term tactical basket with strong efficiency metrics but lacks margin-of-safety fundamentals. If you're refining your logistics rotation, I can scan for low-PEG, high-volume peers with stronger breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you’re ready.

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