AEGISLOG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

Entry Zone: ₹740–₹755 (only if MACD flattens and RSI > 46)

Exit if held: ₹790–₹810 (near 50 DMA and minor resistance zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹763
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹1,037 / ₹610
• 📉 RSI: 44.2 (neutral to weak)
• 📉 MACD: -2.36 (bearish crossover)
• 📉 Volume: 2.67L vs 1W Avg 4.90L (below average)
• 📉 DII Holding Change: -0.15%
• 📈 FII Holding Change: +0.09%
• 📉 Qtr Profit Var: -58.2% (sharp sequential decline)
• 📉 P/E: 61.8 vs Industry 40.3 (premium valuation)
• 📉 PEG Ratio: 13.3 (overpriced growth)

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 23.9% and 20.4% — strong capital efficiency.
• 📉 Low Debt: Debt-to-equity at 0.14 — conservative leverage.
• 📈 EPS: ₹12.3 — consistent earnings base.
• 📈 Above 200 DMA: Price holding above long-term support.
• 📈 Dividend Yield: 0.95% — modest passive income.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 MACD Negative: Indicates weak momentum.
• 📉 RSI < 46: No confirmation of bullish strength.
• 📉 Volume Dip: Below weekly average — low conviction.
• 📉 Valuation Risk: P/E and PEG both stretched vs industry.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q2FY26 PAT: ₹69.2 Cr vs ₹226 Cr QoQ — impacted by lower LPG throughput and margin compression.
• 📉 DII Sentiment: Domestic institutions trimmed stake amid earnings volatility.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Terminal Expansion: New LPG terminal commissioned in Haldia — capacity boost of 1.2 MTPA.
• 📈 FII Interest: Foreign investors marginally increased stake post infrastructure rollout.
• 📦 Strategic Tie-ups: Long-term contracts signed with HPCL and BPCL for LPG handling.

🚢 Industry

• 📈 Logistics Demand: India’s infra push and LPG consumption growth driving terminal utilization.
• 📉 Margin Pressure: Global freight volatility and inventory costs affecting throughput margins.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for fresh swing entry unless MACD flattens and RSI > 46 with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹790–₹810 (50 DMA and resistance zone).
• 📈 Strong fundamentals, weak momentum — suitable for alert-driven tactical trades with tight stop-loss.

Sources

Moneycontrol – Q2 Results

Business Standard – Terminal Expansion

ScanX – FII/DII Trends