KALYANKJIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📈 Kalyan Jewellers shows strong earnings momentum and bullish technicals, making it a promising swing trade candidate.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price: ₹510–₹520

🚪 Exit Target (if already holding): ₹545–₹560

🔍 Positive

• 📈 MACD at 6.40 confirms bullish momentum.
• 📈 RSI at 65.6 indicates strength, nearing breakout territory.
• 📈 Price above 50 DMA (₹504), showing short-term support.
• 📈 Volume significantly above weekly average (53.9L vs 29.4L), indicating strong market interest.
• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth from ₹185 Cr to ₹256 Cr, a 55.4% increase, reflects strong earnings momentum.
• 📈 DII holding increased by 1.22%, showing domestic institutional confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 P/E of 69.2 is more than double the industry average (30.4), suggesting overvaluation.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69 is relatively high for a retail business.
• 📉 Price below 200 DMA (₹529), indicating long-term resistance.
• 📉 Dividend yield of 0.29% is modest for income-focused investors.
• 📉 52-week Index at 31.2% shows limited recovery from yearly highs.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding declined by 2.71%, reflecting cautious foreign sentiment.
• 📉 High valuation metrics may limit short-term upside despite strong fundamentals.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT surged 55.4% QoQ, driven by festive demand and store expansion.
• 📈 DII inflows and strong volume support bullish sentiment.
• 📈 Expansion into Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities expected to drive future growth.

💍 Industry

• 💍 Jewellery retail benefits from festive demand, rising disposable income, and brand consolidation.
• 📉 Risks include gold price volatility, regulatory changes, and competition from unorganized players.

✅ Conclusion

• 📈 Kalyan Jewellers is a strong swing trade candidate with bullish technicals and earnings momentum.
• 🎯 Entry near ₹510–₹520 with exit around ₹545–₹560 is recommended for short-term traders.
• 📊 Long-term investors should monitor valuation compression and debt management for sustained upside.

I can also compare Kalyan Jewellers with Titan or Senco Gold to help you identify stronger swing setups in the jewellery retail space.