CESC - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

⚖️ Is CESC a Viable Swing Trade Play?

CESC offers decent technical structure but limited momentum signals — making it a medium-confidence swing setup, worth consideration under certain conditions.

✅ Strengths

📊 Stock P/E (17.2) roughly in line with Industry PE (17.9) — fairly valued

📈 Price above DMA 50 (₹172) and DMA 200 (₹164) — short-term bullish trend intact

💰 Strong dividend yield (2.54%) adds cushion for holding

📌 EPS (₹10.3) with solid profitability

📦 Volume is healthy, exceeding 1-week average

⚠️ Weak Spots

📉 PEG ratio (45.1) suggests growth does not justify current valuation

⚠️ Debt-to-equity (1.50) is on the high side — adds leverage risk

❌ Quarterly profit down 6.75% — earnings momentum has stalled

⚖️ Flat institutional interest (FII down, DII barely up)

Overall, the technical setup is mildly bullish but lacks strong breakout cues. Combine that with weak earnings delta and valuation risks, and you get a cautious swing scenario.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹168–₹173 — near DMA 50 support, safer level

Confirm with

RSI > 57 for improved momentum

MACD widening positively

Volume sustained above 2.5M

Stop-Loss: ₹162 — below 200-DMA and psychological zone

🏁 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Initial Target: ₹185–₹190 — mild resistance zone from previous trading range

Second Target: ₹198–₹202 — with volume surge and positive momentum

Once price crosses ₹190, trail stop-loss to ₹178 to protect gains

🧭 Summary

CESC has a stable technical foundation but lacks aggressive swing triggers right now. A tactical dip buy around ₹170 with momentum confirmation could work, but expect modest returns. If already holding, consider a tiered exit strategy — locking profits near resistance and avoiding the temptation of chasing highs prematurely.

Would you like a few stronger-volume candidates in the utility or infra space? Could pull up a shortlist for you to scout next.

Edit in a page