CESC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | CESC | Market Cap | 22,440 Cr. | Current Price | 169 ₹ | High / Low | 204 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 26.3 | Book Value | 73.3 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 3.55 % | ROCE | 9.41 % |
| ROE | 8.69 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 174 ₹ | DMA 200 | 167 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.27 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.63 % | PAT Qtr | 223 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 176 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.8 | MACD | -2.53 | Volume | 10,35,602 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 13,66,824 |
| Low price | 138 ₹ | High price | 204 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 11.6 | Debt to equity | 1.15 |
| 52w Index | 46.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 2.29 % | EPS | 6.43 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.7 |
CESC shows moderate potential for swing trading. The fundamentals are average with ROCE at 9.41% and ROE at 8.69%, while debt-to-equity at 1.15 indicates high leverage risk. Valuation is fair with a P/E of 26.3 compared to the industry average of 31.7, but PEG ratio of 11.6 suggests expensive growth. Technical indicators are weak — RSI at 40.8 indicates oversold conditions, and MACD at -2.53 signals bearish momentum. Quarterly PAT improved (176 Cr. → 223 Cr.), showing earnings stability. Overall, CESC offers cautious swing opportunities near support levels but carries leverage and momentum risks.
Optimal Entry Price: 165–168 ₹ (near DMA 200 support)
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 180–185 ₹ resistance or if RSI rises above 55.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Stable ROCE of 9.41% and ROE of 8.69%.
- 💰 Attractive dividend yield of 3.55% provides income support.
- 📊 PAT growth from 176 Cr. to 223 Cr. in the latest quarter.
- 📉 Support near DMA 200 at 167 ₹ offers a favorable entry zone.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📌 PEG ratio of 11.6 indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.
- 📌 Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15 shows high leverage risk.
- 📌 RSI at 40.8 indicates weak momentum.
- 📌 MACD (-2.53) signals bearish trend.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Reduction in FII holding (-0.27%).
- 📉 High leverage compared to peers.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Increase in DII holding (+0.63%).
- 📈 Strong dividend yield supports investor confidence.
- 📈 Quarterly PAT improvement shows operational stability.
🏭 Industry
- ⚡ Power and utilities sector benefits from steady demand and regulated pricing.
- 📌 Industry P/E at 31.7, showing CESC trades at a discount valuation.
📌 Conclusion
CESC is fundamentally average with stable earnings and attractive dividend yield, but high leverage and weak technical indicators make it a cautious swing trade candidate. Entry near 165–168 ₹ offers better risk-reward, while exit near 180–185 ₹ is optimal. Traders should monitor RSI and debt levels closely before entering positions.