CESC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Positives

Price near DMA50 (₹164) and DMA200 (₹163) — strong support zone, ideal for base formation.

MACD at 0.01 and RSI at 54.4 — neutral momentum, with potential for bullish crossover.

EPS ₹6.18 and Qtr Profit Var +9.90% — stable earnings.

Dividend yield 2.73% — attractive for income-seeking traders.

DII holding increased (+0.28%) — mild domestic institutional support.

Volume above 12L — decent liquidity.

⚠️ Weaknesses

P/E of 26.8 vs industry 21.6 — slightly overvalued.

PEG ratio -86.3 — negative growth outlook.

ROCE (9.95%) and ROE (7.97%) — modest capital efficiency.

FII holding dipped (-0.08%) — foreign sentiment softening.

Debt-to-equity 1.18 — moderately leveraged.

52w Index at 49.3% — mid-range, no breakout confirmation.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

CESC is currently consolidating near its moving averages, with technical indicators suggesting a potential base. Analyst consensus places the average price target around ₹199.50, implying ~21% upside from current levels

1

. However, recent brokerage reports show mixed sentiment, with some downgrades and cautious outlooks

1

.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹162–₹165, near DMA confluence and support zone.

Confirm entry only if RSI crosses 56 and MACD turns positive with volume >15L.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹190–₹200 (near analyst target and resistance band).

Stop-loss: ₹155 (below recent swing low and psychological support).

Exit trigger: RSI > 68 or MACD divergence near ₹200.

This setup is technically stable with moderate upside potential. If you're basket-optimizing across utilities or mid-cap defensives, I can scan for peers with stronger PEG and breakout setups. Just say the word.

1

trendlyne.com

Edit in a page