CESC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.1
| Stock Code | CESC | Market Cap | 20,273 Cr. | Current Price | 153 ₹ | High / Low | 185 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 24.0 | Book Value | 77.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 3.93 % | ROCE | 9.95 % |
| ROE | 7.97 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 159 ₹ | DMA 200 | 164 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.79 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.04 % | PAT Qtr | 242 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 211 Cr. |
| RSI | 48.5 | MACD | -5.05 | Volume | 30,18,324 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 28,58,240 |
| Low price | 119 ₹ | High price | 185 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -77.6 | Debt to equity | 1.12 |
| 52w Index | 51.2 % | Qtr Profit Var | 11.0 % | EPS | 6.36 ₹ | Industry PE | 24.8 |
📊 CESC has moderate fundamentals with a fair valuation compared to industry averages. While dividend yield is attractive, technical indicators show weak momentum and leverage is relatively high. It is a cautious swing trade candidate with limited upside potential.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: 150–152 ₹ (near support zone, slightly below 50 DMA).
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 165–170 ₹ (resistance zone close to 200 DMA) or if RSI rises above 55 with improving momentum.
✅ Positive
- P/E ratio (24.0) is aligned with industry average (24.8), suggesting fair valuation.
- Dividend yield of 3.93% provides steady investor returns.
- Quarterly PAT improved from 211 Cr. to 242 Cr. (+11%), showing earnings growth.
- FII holdings increased (+0.79%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
- Volume higher than weekly average, indicating active trading interest.
⚠️ Limitation
- ROCE (9.95%) and ROE (7.97%) are relatively weak, showing limited capital efficiency.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12 highlights significant leverage risk.
- PEG ratio (-77.6) indicates poor valuation relative to growth prospects.
- MACD at -5.05 shows bearish momentum.
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA (159 ₹) and 200 DMA (164 ₹), reflecting weak technical strength.
📉 Company Negative News
- DII holdings decreased (-0.04%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
- Technical indicators (MACD negative, RSI below 50) suggest weak momentum.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT growth of 11% highlights earnings improvement.
- FII holdings increased (+0.79%), strengthening foreign investor confidence.
- Dividend yield of 3.93% provides attractive returns for investors.
🏭 Industry
- Power and utilities sector benefits from consistent demand but faces regulatory and debt challenges.
- Industry PE at 24.8 is aligned with CESC’s valuation, showing neutral positioning.
🔎 Conclusion
CESC is a moderately weak swing trade candidate with fair valuation and strong dividend yield but weak technicals and high leverage. Entry near 150–152 ₹ is favorable for cautious traders, with exit around 165–170 ₹. Monitoring RSI, MACD, and institutional flows is essential before committing.