CESC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Analysis: CESC shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential today. Current price (₹169) is below 50DMA (₹171) but slightly above 200DMA (₹167), indicating neutral bias. RSI at 40.4 suggests weak momentum, while MACD (-1.45) is negative, confirming short-term bearishness. Volume (19,18,024) is above weekly average (15,04,356), providing strong liquidity. Fundamentals are modest with ROCE (9.95%) and ROE (7.97%), but valuation (P/E 26.6 vs industry PE 21.9) is slightly stretched and debt-to-equity (1.12) is high.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹166–168 (near 200DMA support).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹174–178 (short-term resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹162 (below recent support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting if price fails to sustain above ₹170 with RSI dropping below 40 or MACD staying negative. Exit near ₹174–178 if momentum improves; cut positions if price slips below ₹162 with rising volume.

Positive

• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth (₹242 Cr. vs ₹211 Cr.).
• 💹 Dividend yield at 3.60%, attractive for investors.
• 📊 FII (+0.16%) and DII (+0.27%) holdings increased.
• 📈 EPS at ₹6.36, showing earnings visibility.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI at 40.4 indicates weak momentum.
• 📉 MACD (-1.45) shows short-term bearishness.
• ⚠️ Debt-to-equity ratio (1.12) is high.
• 📉 PEG ratio (-85.7) indicates poor valuation relative to growth.

Company Negative News

• 📉 High leverage with debt-to-equity at 1.12.

Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly profit improved (+11.0% variation).
• 💹 Institutional confidence with both FII and DII additions.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 21.9, lower than CESC’s valuation (26.6).
• 📊 Power sector supported by steady demand but sensitive to regulatory changes.

Conclusion

⚖️ CESC is a cautious intraday candidate today. Buy near ₹166–168, target ₹174–178, and protect downside at ₹162. If already holding, monitor RSI and MACD closely for exit signals. Strong liquidity and profit growth support trades, but high debt and weak momentum require strict risk management.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against other power sector stocks (like NTPC, Tata Power, Adani Energy) to compare intraday strength?