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CESC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 12:02 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code CESC Market Cap 22,621 Cr. Current Price 171 ₹ High / Low 204 ₹
Stock P/E 26.6 Book Value 73.3 ₹ Dividend Yield 3.52 % ROCE 9.41 %
ROE 8.69 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 174 ₹ DMA 200 167 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.27 % Chg in DII Hold 0.63 % PAT Qtr 223 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 176 Cr.
RSI 43.2 MACD -2.43 Volume 13,19,414 Avg Vol 1Wk 13,76,930
Low price 138 ₹ High price 204 ₹ PEG Ratio 11.6 Debt to equity 1.15
52w Index 49.1 % Qtr Profit Var 2.29 % EPS 6.43 ₹ Industry PE 31.9

📊 Analysis:

CESC shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential today. RSI at 43.2 indicates bearish bias, while MACD at -2.43 confirms negative momentum. Current price (171 ₹) is trading below the 50 DMA (174 ₹) but above the 200 DMA (167 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness but medium-term support. Volume (13,19,414) is slightly below the weekly average (13,76,930), reducing conviction.

Optimal buy zone: 169–172 ₹.

Profit-taking levels: 176–182 ₹.

Stop-loss: 166 ₹.

If already holding, exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 169 ₹ or RSI dips below 42 with declining volume. Partial profit booking is advisable if price sustains above 176 ₹ with strong momentum.

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✅ Positive

  • Dividend yield of 3.52% provides investor returns.
  • EPS of 6.43 ₹ supports valuation base.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.63%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • PAT improved sequentially (176 Cr. → 223 Cr.), boosting sentiment.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Price trading below 50 DMA reflects short-term weakness.
  • High PEG ratio (11.6) indicates expensive growth pricing.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 1.15 highlights leverage risk.
  • ROCE (9.41%) and ROE (8.69%) remain modest.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings reduced (-0.27%), showing foreign investor caution.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+2.29%) is modest, limiting upside momentum.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII inflows (+0.63%) reflect domestic confidence.
  • PAT growth quarter-on-quarter supports sentiment.

🏭 Industry

  • Power & utilities sector trades at industry PE of 31.9.
  • CESC’s valuation (26.6) is slightly lower, suggesting fair pricing.

🔎 Conclusion

⚖️ CESC is a cautious intraday candidate today. Buy near 169–172 ₹, target 176–182 ₹, and maintain a strict stop-loss at 166 ₹. Exit intraday if price weakens below 169 ₹ or RSI drops under 42 with low volume. Risk-managed execution is essential given leverage and weak momentum indicators.

Would you like me to extend this into a power & utilities intraday overlay comparing CESC, NTPC, and Tata Power for sharper benchmarking?

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