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CESC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code CESC Market Cap 20,723 Cr. Current Price 156 ₹ High / Low 185 ₹
Stock P/E 24.5 Book Value 77.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 3.84 % ROCE 9.95 %
ROE 7.97 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 157 ₹ DMA 200 162 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.79 % Chg in DII Hold -0.04 % PAT Qtr 176 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 242 Cr.
RSI 51.6 MACD 0.55 Volume 18,91,795 Avg Vol 1Wk 61,22,716
Low price 137 ₹ High price 185 ₹ PEG Ratio -78.9 Debt to equity 1.12
52w Index 40.6 % Qtr Profit Var 2.33 % EPS 6.39 ₹ Industry PE 24.6

📊 Chart & Trend Analysis: CESC is trading at ₹156, hovering near its 50 DMA (₹157) and slightly below its 200 DMA (₹162), indicating short-term consolidation. RSI at 51.6 suggests neutral momentum, while MACD at 0.55 reflects mild bullish bias. Bollinger Bands show price mid-range, pointing to sideways consolidation.

📈 Momentum Signals: Volume (18.9L) is significantly lower than 1-week average (61.2L), reflecting reduced participation. RSI and MACD together highlight neutral-to-positive momentum, but weak volume limits breakout potential.

💹 Entry Zone: Strong support lies around ₹150–₹155. Accumulation near this zone offers risk-managed entry.

💰 Exit Zone: Resistance levels are ₹162 (200 DMA) and ₹185 (recent high). A breakout above ₹185 would confirm reversal and open upside toward ₹200–₹210.

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with neutral bias. Sustained move above ₹162–₹185 backed by volume is required to regain bullish momentum.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (9.95%) and ROE (7.97%) show improving efficiency.
  • Dividend yield at 3.84% provides attractive income stability.
  • EPS at ₹6.39 supports earnings visibility.
  • FII holding increased (+0.79%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below 200 DMA indicates weak technicals.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12 highlights leverage risk.
  • PEG ratio (-78.9) suggests poor growth-to-valuation balance.

Company Negative News

  • DII holding decreased (-0.04%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • Quarterly PAT declined sequentially (₹176 Cr vs ₹242 Cr), reflecting margin pressure.

Company Positive News

  • FII holding increased (+0.79%), showing foreign confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+2.33% YoY) highlights modest improvement.

Industry

  • Power and utilities sector benefits from rising demand and government infrastructure push.
  • Industry P/E at 24.6 indicates CESC trades in line with peers (P/E 24.5).

Conclusion

⚖️ CESC is fundamentally stable with strong dividend yield and modest profitability, but technically consolidating near key support levels. Entry near ₹150–₹155 offers favorable risk-reward, while breakout above ₹185 is needed for bullish confirmation. Long-term investors may accumulate cautiously, while traders should wait for volume-backed breakout signals.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with NTPC, Power Grid, and Tata Power so you can compare CESC’s momentum against the broader power & utilities sector rotation?

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