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SHRIRAMFIN - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:19 pm

Fundamental Rating: 4.0

Stock Code SHRIRAMFIN Market Cap 1,87,826 Cr. Current Price 998 ₹ High / Low 1,029 ₹
Stock P/E 20.6 Book Value 321 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.99 % ROCE 11.2 %
ROE 16.4 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 930 ₹ DMA 200 766 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.40 % Chg in DII Hold 2.64 % PAT Qtr 2,522 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 2,307 Cr.
RSI 57.1 MACD 23.1 Volume 38,94,923 Avg Vol 1Wk 62,63,155
Low price 516 ₹ High price 1,029 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.44 Debt to equity 3.88
52w Index 93.8 % Qtr Profit Var 5.33 % EPS 48.5 ₹ Industry PE 18.9

📊 Core Financials

  • Quarterly PAT at 2,522 Cr vs 2,307 Cr previously, showing steady earnings growth (+5.33%).
  • ROE at 16.4% and ROCE at 11.2% reflect healthy capital efficiency for a lending business.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 3.88 indicates high leverage, typical for NBFCs but worth monitoring.
  • EPS at 48.5 ₹ provides a strong earnings base, supported by consistent profitability.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E ratio: 20.6, slightly above industry average of 18.9, suggesting fair valuation.
  • P/B ratio: ~3.1 (998 ₹ / 321 ₹ book value), showing moderate premium pricing.
  • PEG ratio: 0.44, indicating attractive growth-adjusted valuation.
  • Intrinsic value appears close to current price, offering reasonable margin of safety.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Shriram Finance operates as a diversified NBFC, focusing on vehicle finance, SME lending, and retail credit.
  • Competitive advantage lies in strong rural and semi-urban presence, customer trust, and wide distribution network.
  • Exposure to India’s growing credit demand provides long-term growth opportunities.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry zone: 950–980 ₹ range (near 50 DMA support at 930 ₹).
  • Long-term holding viable for investors seeking exposure to India’s NBFC growth story.
  • Accumulation recommended gradually, given high leverage and sector cyclicality.

Positive

  • Strong PAT growth (+5.33% sequential).
  • Healthy ROE (16.4%) and ROCE (11.2%).
  • DII holdings increased (+2.64%), showing domestic institutional confidence.

Limitation

  • High debt-to-equity ratio (3.88), typical for NBFCs but adds financial risk.
  • P/E slightly above industry average, limiting valuation comfort.
  • Dividend yield at 0.99% is modest.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-2.40%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • High leverage remains a concern in volatile credit cycles.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth demonstrates strong operational performance.
  • DII holdings increased significantly, showing domestic support.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 18.9, close to Shriram Finance’s 20.6, suggesting fair sector valuation.
  • NBFC sector expected to grow steadily with rising credit demand in India.

Conclusion

  • Shriram Finance is fundamentally strong with consistent profitability and strong ROE.
  • Valuations are fair, but high leverage requires cautious accumulation.
  • Accumulation near 950–980 ₹ is suitable for long-term investors seeking NBFC exposure with growth potential.

I can also extend this into a peer comparison with Bajaj Finance and Muthoot Finance to highlight how Shriram Finance stacks up in valuation and profitability. Would you like me to draft that next?

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