SAREGAMA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Swing Trade Analysis for SAREGAMA

SAREGAMA offers a moderately favorable setup for swing trading, with solid fundamentals and a neutral technical posture. Here's the breakdown

✅ Strengths

Zero Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 makes it financially robust.

Strong ROCE/ROE: ROCE at 18.0% and ROE at 13.4% indicate efficient capital deployment.

Institutional Interest: FII and DII holdings increased, signaling confidence.

MACD Positive (1.72): Suggests early bullish momentum.

Volume Spike: Current volume is ~4x the weekly average, indicating renewed interest.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Neutral RSI (50.8): No clear momentum signal yet.

Trading Below 200 DMA: Current price is slightly below the 200 DMA (₹503), which may act as resistance.

Earnings Decline: PAT dropped from ₹55.5 Cr. to ₹40.2 Cr., a 27.6% fall.

High PEG (4.32): Indicates overvaluation relative to growth.

Low 52w Index (27.5%): Suggests weak price performance over the year.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹480–₹485

A pullback near the 50 DMA (₹494) offers a lower-risk entry with trend support.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹525–₹540

A reasonable upside before hitting resistance near the 200 DMA and previous highs.

Stop-Loss: ₹470

Below recent support levels to manage downside risk.

🧠 Final Thought

SAREGAMA is a fundamentally sound company with improving technicals. While not a high-conviction swing, it offers a tactical opportunity if momentum builds above the 200 DMA. Keep an eye on RSI crossing 55 and MACD widening for confirmation.

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