⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

SAREGAMA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:58 am

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code SAREGAMA Market Cap 6,434 Cr. Current Price 337 ₹ High / Low 603 ₹
Stock P/E 31.4 Book Value 86.1 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.33 % ROCE 18.0 %
ROE 13.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 363 ₹ DMA 200 434 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.64 % Chg in DII Hold -0.12 % PAT Qtr 47.6 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 40.2 Cr.
RSI 44.6 MACD -8.92 Volume 72,600 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,42,085
Low price 319 ₹ High price 603 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.95 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 6.56 % Qtr Profit Var -2.87 % EPS 10.6 ₹ Industry PE 34.9

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock is trading below both 50 DMA (363 ₹) and 200 DMA (434 ₹), showing weakness and a downward bias.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (337 ₹) under both averages → bearish setup.
  • RSI: 44.6 → weak momentum, closer to oversold but not extreme.
  • MACD: -8.92 → bearish crossover, confirming short-term weakness.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, oversold condition may trigger short-term bounce.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (72,600) well below 1-week average (2.42 lakh), showing reduced participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, with bearish bias but oversold indicators suggest possible rebound.
  • Entry Zone: 330–340 ₹ (near support at 319 ₹).
  • Exit Zone: 360–370 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).
  • Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish tilt; reversal possible only if price sustains above 363 ₹.

✅ Positive

  • Dividend yield of 1.33% provides income stability.
  • ROCE (18.0%) and ROE (13.4%) show strong capital efficiency.
  • EPS of 10.6 ₹ reflects solid earnings base.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 indicates no leverage risk.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak technical strength.
  • PEG ratio of 2.95 suggests expensive valuation relative to growth.
  • 52-week index performance at 6.56% shows limited relative strength.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit variation shows decline (-2.87%).
  • FII holdings decreased by -2.64%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • DII holdings decreased slightly (-0.12%), showing lack of domestic support.

📈 Company Positive News

  • PAT improved sequentially (40.2 Cr. → 47.6 Cr.).
  • Strong ROCE and ROE compared to peers.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 34.9, slightly higher than SAREGAMA’s 31.4, suggesting fair valuation relative to peers.
  • Media and entertainment sector remains growth-oriented but cyclical with consumer demand shifts.

🔎 Conclusion

  • SAREGAMA is consolidating near support levels with bearish signals from DMA and MACD.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry around 330–340 ₹ with exit near 360–370 ₹.
  • Long-term investors should weigh strong fundamentals (ROCE, ROE, debt-free balance sheet) against weak technical momentum and declining institutional interest.

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