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SAREGAMA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:25 am

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code SAREGAMA Market Cap 6,630 Cr. Current Price 344 ₹ High / Low 603 ₹
Stock P/E 32.9 Book Value 86.1 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.31 % ROCE 18.0 %
ROE 13.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 341 ₹ DMA 200 391 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.00 % Chg in DII Hold 2.06 % PAT Qtr 58.1 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 47.6 Cr.
RSI 52.2 MACD 4.81 Volume 2,07,786 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,18,751
Low price 306 ₹ High price 603 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.09 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 12.8 % Qtr Profit Var -5.49 % EPS 10.2 ₹ Industry PE 36.3

📊 Chart & Indicators: SAREGAMA is trading at ₹344, slightly above its 50 DMA (₹341) but below 200 DMA (₹391), showing short-term strength but weak long-term trend. RSI at 52.2 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at 4.81 confirms mild bullishness. Price is consolidating between support (~₹335–₹340) and resistance (~₹360–₹370). Volume (2.07L) is below weekly average (4.18L), suggesting reduced participation.

🎯 Entry/Exit Zones:

- Buy Zone: ₹335–₹345 (near support)

- Stop-Loss: ₹325

- Exit Levels: ₹360–₹370 (short-term resistance), ₹385–₹390 (major resistance near 200 DMA)

📈 Trend Status: Consolidating with mild bullish bias; price above 50 DMA and positive MACD support short-term strength, but weak volume and price below 200 DMA limit momentum.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth: ₹58.1 Cr vs ₹47.6 Cr
  • EPS at ₹10.2 supports earnings visibility
  • Strong ROCE (18.0%) and ROE (13.4%)
  • DII holdings increased (+2.06%)
  • Debt-free balance sheet

⚠️ Limitation

  • Price below 200 DMA, weak long-term trend
  • PEG ratio at 3.09 indicates overvaluation
  • Volume below weekly average, showing weak participation
  • FII holdings reduced (-2.00%)

📉 Company Negative News

  • Correction from 52-week high (₹603 → ₹344)
  • Quarterly profit variation negative (-5.49%)
  • Weak long-term technicals despite short-term bounce

📊 Company Positive News

  • Improved PAT quarter-on-quarter
  • Dividend yield at 1.31% attractive for investors
  • Strong fundamentals with ROCE and ROE above industry average

🏦 Industry

  • Industry PE at 36.3, slightly higher than SAREGAMA’s PE (32.9)
  • Media and entertainment sector showing steady demand
  • Digital streaming growth supporting long-term outlook

📝 Conclusion

SAREGAMA is consolidating near support with mild bullish signals from MACD and RSI, but weak volume and price below 200 DMA limit upside. Fundamentals remain strong with debt-free status and healthy ROCE/ROE, but valuation is stretched. Best suited for cautious swing trades with entry near ₹335–₹345 and exit around ₹360–₹370; long-term investors should wait for breakout above ₹390 for trend confirmation.

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