RAYMOND - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.4
| Stock Code | RAYMOND | Market Cap | 2,630 Cr. | Current Price | 395 ₹ | High / Low | 784 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 64.7 | Book Value | 296 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 1.17 % |
| ROE | 294 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 461 ₹ | DMA 200 | 539 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.18 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.27 % | PAT Qtr | -2.85 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 11.8 Cr. |
| RSI | 25.7 | MACD | -16.7 | Volume | 2,44,589 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,19,580 |
| Low price | 394 ₹ | High price | 784 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.38 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 0.32 % | Qtr Profit Var | -122 % | EPS | 822 ₹ | Industry PE | 33.3 |
📊 RAYMOND shows weak potential for swing trading. The stock is trading near its 52-week low (394 ₹) with RSI at 25.7, indicating oversold conditions. However, fundamentals are concerning — very high P/E (64.7 vs industry 33.3), poor ROCE (1.17%), and negative quarterly PAT (-2.85 Cr. vs 11.8 Cr. previous). Technical indicators (MACD -16.7) suggest bearish momentum, and institutional investors have reduced holdings. While oversold levels may allow a short-term rebound, overall risk remains high.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 385–395 ₹ (near support zone)
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 450–460 ₹ (close to 50 DMA resistance) or cut losses if price falls below 380 ₹.
🌟 Positive
- 📈 EPS at 822 ₹ appears strong on paper
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.00 indicates no leverage risk
- 📊 RSI at 25.7 suggests oversold territory, leaving room for short-term rebound
- 📈 Trading volume (2.44 lakh) slightly above weekly average (2.19 lakh), showing short-term interest
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Very high P/E ratio (64.7 vs industry 33.3)
- 📉 Weak ROCE (1.17%) reflects poor efficiency
- 📉 Dividend yield at 0.00% offers no income support
- 📉 Current price far below 50 DMA (461 ₹) and 200 DMA (539 ₹), showing weak technical strength
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT turned negative (-2.85 Cr. vs 11.8 Cr. previous)
- 📉 Quarterly profit variance (-122%) shows severe decline
- 📉 Decline in FII (-0.18%) and DII (-1.27%) holdings indicates reduced institutional confidence
- 📉 MACD negative (-16.7) signals bearish technical trend
✅ Company Positive News
- 📈 EPS remains high despite weak profitability
- 📊 RSI oversold levels may allow a short-term bounce
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry PE at 33.3 highlights sector’s moderate valuation compared to RAYMOND’s premium
- 📈 Textile and lifestyle sector benefits from consumer demand but remains cyclical and sensitive to spending trends
📌 Conclusion
RAYMOND is a weak swing trade candidate due to poor fundamentals, negative profitability, and bearish technicals. Entry near 385–395 ₹ may be considered for a short-term rebound, but exits should be targeted around 450–460 ₹. Strict stop-loss discipline is essential as risks remain high despite oversold conditions.