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RAYMOND - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 17 Jan 26, 11:52 am

Technical Rating: 2.8

Stock Code RAYMOND Market Cap 2,630 Cr. Current Price 395 ₹ High / Low 784 ₹
Stock P/E 64.7 Book Value 296 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 1.17 %
ROE 294 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 461 ₹ DMA 200 539 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.18 % Chg in DII Hold -1.27 % PAT Qtr -2.85 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 11.8 Cr.
RSI 25.7 MACD -16.7 Volume 2,44,589 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,19,580
Low price 394 ₹ High price 784 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.38 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 0.32 % Qtr Profit Var -122 % EPS 822 ₹ Industry PE 33.3

📊 Chart Patterns: RAYMOND is trading at 395 ₹, well below both 50 DMA (461 ₹) and 200 DMA (539 ₹). This indicates strong bearish momentum. The price is almost at its 52-week low (394 ₹), reflecting heavy downside pressure and lack of recovery strength.

📉 RSI: At 25.7, RSI is deep in oversold territory, suggesting weak momentum but potential for a short-term technical bounce.

📉 MACD: Negative at -16.7, confirming bearish crossover and continued downward trend.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is hugging the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and possible mean reversion.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (2.44 lakh) is slightly above average weekly volume (2.19 lakh), showing increased selling pressure rather than accumulation.

📌 Momentum Signals: Strong bearish bias with oversold RSI. A short-term relief rally is possible, but trend remains weak.

🎯 Entry Zone: 390–400 ₹ (near 52-week low support).

🎯 Exit Zone: 455–465 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).

📉 Trend: The stock is trending downward with bearish bias, not yet showing reversal signs.


Positive

  • 📈 EPS at 822 ₹, showing strong per-share earnings despite volatility.
  • 📊 Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity 0.00) provides financial stability.
  • 📈 ROE at 294% appears inflated due to accounting factors, but indicates strong equity returns.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing technical weakness.
  • ⚠️ Very high P/E ratio (64.7) compared to industry PE (33.3), suggesting overvaluation.
  • ⚠️ ROCE at 1.17% shows poor capital efficiency.
  • ⚠️ PEG ratio at 0.38 indicates valuation concerns despite growth prospects.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 Quarterly PAT collapsed from 11.8 Cr. to -2.85 Cr. (-122%).
  • 📉 FII holdings decreased (-0.18%) and DII holdings decreased (-1.27%), showing reduced institutional confidence.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 EPS remains strong despite profit decline.
  • 📈 Debt-free balance sheet enhances financial resilience.

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry PE at 33.3, much lower than RAYMOND’s PE, suggesting sector is more reasonably valued.
  • 📊 Textile and lifestyle sector showing moderate growth outlook but facing valuation pressures.

Conclusion

🔎 RAYMOND is trending downward, trading below key moving averages with weak technical indicators. RSI near oversold levels may provide short-term bounce opportunities, but MACD and volume confirm bearish momentum. Entry near 390–400 ₹ with exit around 455–465 ₹ is optimal for traders. Long-term investors should be cautious given collapsing profits, weak ROCE, and declining institutional support despite debt-free status.

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