NUVAMA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | NUVAMA | Market Cap | 24,762 Cr. | Current Price | 1,362 ₹ | High / Low | 1,702 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 43.0 | Book Value | 109 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.12 % | ROCE | 30.6 % |
| ROE | 32.6 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,404 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,374 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.09 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.78 % | PAT Qtr | 280 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 46.4 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.8 | MACD | -38.4 | Volume | 4,75,229 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 8,53,770 |
| Low price | 914 ₹ | High price | 1,702 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.30 | Debt to equity | 0.19 |
| 52w Index | 56.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | 35.5 % | EPS | 31.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 19.9 |
📊 NUVAMA shows moderate-to-strong potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 1,362 ₹, trading slightly below its 50 DMA (1,404 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,374 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness but long-term support. RSI at 47.8 suggests neutral momentum, while MACD at -38.4 signals bearish undertone. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE at 30.6% and ROE at 32.6%. EPS at 31.8 ₹ and quarterly PAT growth (46.4 Cr. → 280 Cr., +35.5%) highlight earnings strength. Valuation is stretched (P/E 43.0 vs industry 19.9), but PEG ratio of 0.30 suggests growth-adjusted attractiveness. Dividend yield of 2.12% and low debt-to-equity (0.19) add stability.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 1,340–1,360 ₹ (near support zone)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 1,420–1,450 ₹ (near resistance zone), or exit if price falls below 1,320 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 💡 Strong ROCE (30.6%) and ROE (32.6%) highlight efficiency.
- 📊 EPS of 31.8 ₹ reflects earnings strength.
- 📈 Quarterly PAT growth of 35.5% (46.4 Cr. → 280 Cr.).
- 💰 Dividend yield of 2.12% adds investor confidence.
- 📦 PEG ratio of 0.30 indicates attractive growth-adjusted valuation.
- 📈 Institutional inflows (FII +0.09%, DII +0.78%) show confidence.
Limitation
- ⚠️ High P/E of 43.0 vs industry average of 19.9.
- 📉 MACD at -38.4 signals short-term bearish momentum.
- 🔻 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weakness.
- 📉 Volume below weekly average, showing reduced participation.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Short-term technical weakness with MACD bearish and price below DMA levels.
- 🚫 Valuation stretched compared to peers.
Company Positive News
- 📊 PAT improved significantly (46.4 Cr. → 280 Cr.).
- 📈 Strong institutional inflows (FII +0.09%, DII +0.78%).
- 💰 Dividend yield supports investor sentiment.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 19.9 indicates sector is moderately valued.
- 📦 Financial services sector benefits from rising retail participation and capital market growth.
Conclusion
⚖️ NUVAMA is a fundamentally strong company with robust profitability and institutional support, making it a fair candidate for swing trading. Entry near 1,340–1,360 ₹ offers a cautious setup, with exit targets around 1,420–1,450 ₹. Risk management is essential if price breaks below 1,320 ₹, as momentum could weaken further.