NUVAMA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for NUVAMA based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | NUVAMA | Market Cap | 31,337 Cr. | Current Price | 1,720 ₹ | High / Low | 1,780 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 55.2 | Book Value | 115 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.62 % | ROCE | 23.7 % |
| ROE | 28.2 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,487 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,388 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.55 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.07 % | PAT Qtr | 19.1 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 280 Cr. |
| RSI | 72.4 | MACD | 60.9 | Volume | 7,44,586 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 7,17,373 |
| Low price | 1,097 ₹ | High price | 1,780 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.16 | Debt to equity | 0.53 |
| 52w Index | 91.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | -30.4 % | EPS | 31.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 21.4 |
NUVAMA shows moderate swing trade potential. The current price of 1,720 ₹ is well above both the 50 DMA (1,487 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,388 ₹), reflecting strong bullish momentum. RSI at 72.4 indicates overbought conditions, while MACD at 60.9 confirms strong upward momentum. Fundamentals are decent with ROE at 28.2% and ROCE at 23.7%, but valuation is stretched (P/E 55.2 vs industry 21.4). Dividend yield of 1.62% adds stability. However, quarterly PAT dropped sharply (19.1 Cr. vs 280 Cr.), raising caution despite strong technicals.
Optimal Entry Price: 1,680–1,700 ₹, near support.
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 1,760–1,780 ₹, or exit if price falls below 1,650 ₹.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong ROE (28.2%) and ROCE (23.7%).
- 💰 Dividend yield of 1.62% provides steady returns.
- 📊 EPS of 31.2 ₹ reflects profitability.
- 📈 Price trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
- 💹 FII inflows (+0.55%) show foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Very high P/E (55.2) compared to industry average (21.4).
- 📊 PEG ratio of 0.16 suggests valuation stretched relative to growth.
- 📉 RSI at 72.4 indicates overbought territory.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53 indicates moderate leverage.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped sharply (19.1 Cr. vs 280 Cr.).
- ⚠️ DII holdings decreased (-0.07%), showing reduced domestic support.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Strong technical momentum with bullish MACD.
- 💹 FII inflows (+0.55%) add foreign investor confidence.
- 📊 EPS stability supports medium-term sentiment.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 21.4 is much lower, showing NUVAMA trades at a premium.
- 💼 Financial services sector benefits from rising retail participation but faces regulatory and market volatility risks.
📌 Conclusion
⚖️ NUVAMA is a fair candidate for swing trading with strong technicals and decent fundamentals, but sharp profit decline raises caution. Entry near 1,680–1,700 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, with exit targets around 1,760–1,780 ₹. Traders should monitor earnings consistency and institutional flows closely before aggressive positioning.
Would you like me to extend this with a peer benchmarking against Motilal_Oswal and ICICI_Securities to highlight relative swing trade opportunities?