NUVAMA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | NUVAMA | Market Cap | 20,964 Cr. | Current Price | 1,151 ₹ | High / Low | 1,702 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 36.4 | Book Value | 109 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.51 % | ROCE | 30.6 % |
| ROE | 32.6 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,287 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,343 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.09 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.78 % | PAT Qtr | 280 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 46.4 Cr. |
| RSI | 34.2 | MACD | -43.7 | Volume | 1,82,259 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,77,860 |
| Low price | 914 ₹ | High price | 1,702 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.25 | Debt to equity | 0.19 |
| 52w Index | 30.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 35.5 % | EPS | 31.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.0 |
Analysis: NUVAMA trades at 1,151 ₹, below both its 50 DMA (1,287 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,343 ₹), reflecting bearish momentum. RSI at 34.2 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, while MACD (-43.7) confirms strong negative sentiment. The P/E of 36.4 is higher than the industry average (17.0), indicating overvaluation. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE (30.6%) and ROE (32.6%), while debt-to-equity is low (0.19), showing financial stability. Dividend yield of 2.51% adds investor appeal. Quarterly PAT surged (280 Cr. vs 46.4 Cr.), reflecting strong earnings growth. Overall, NUVAMA is a fair swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals but limited by weak technicals and valuation risks.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 1,120–1,140 ₹, near current support levels.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 1,280–1,300 ₹ (DMA resistance zone). Place a stop-loss around 1,100 ₹ to protect against downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (30.6%) and ROE (32.6%) highlight efficiency.
- Dividend yield of 2.51% provides steady income.
- Quarterly PAT growth (+35.5%) shows strong earnings momentum.
- EPS of 31.8 ₹ reflects solid earnings power.
- Institutional interest increased (FII +0.09%, DII +0.78%).
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E of 36.4 vs industry 17.0 signals overvaluation.
- Stock trades below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing bearish trend.
- MACD strongly negative (-43.7), reflecting weak short-term sentiment.
📉 Company Negative News
- Weak technical indicators (RSI low, MACD strongly negative).
- Stock momentum weak below DMA levels.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT surged (280 Cr. vs 46.4 Cr.), showing strong earnings growth.
- Institutional interest increased (FII +0.09%, DII +0.78%).
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 17.0, making NUVAMA relatively expensive.
- Financial services sector benefits from rising retail participation but faces cyclical risks.
🔎 Conclusion
NUVAMA shows strong fundamentals and earnings growth but weak technicals and high valuation, making it a moderate swing trade candidate. Entry near 1,120–1,140 ₹ is safer, with exit around 1,280–1,300 ₹. Stop-loss at 1,100 ₹ is recommended. While institutional support and strong profitability provide upside potential, bearish momentum and overvaluation limit short-term gains.