NUVAMA - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.7

📊 Analysis: NUVAMA is trading at ₹7,177, slightly above DMA 50 (₹7,155) and DMA 200 (₹6,807), confirming medium-term strength. RSI at 53.8 indicates neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD (6.58) is positive, suggesting bullish bias. Volume (3.44 lakh) is significantly above average (1.18 lakh), showing strong participation. However, quarterly PAT dropped sharply (-85.4%), raising caution. With a high P/E (52.0) compared to industry PE (20.7), valuation looks stretched, but strong ROE (32.6%) and ROCE (30.6%) highlight efficiency. Intraday potential exists with careful risk management.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹7,160–₹7,180 (near DMA support)

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹7,250–₹7,300 (short-term bounce target)

🛑 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹7,120 (below immediate support)

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹7,160 or if RSI drops below 50 with weakening volume. Consider booking profits if price approaches ₹7,250–₹7,300 with momentum confirmation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE at 30.6% and ROE at 32.6%
• 💰 Dividend yield of 2.02% provides steady shareholder returns
• 📊 EPS at ₹140 supports valuation strength
• 📈 Trading above DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms medium-term strength
• 📊 DII holding increased by 1.24%, showing domestic investor confidence
• 📉 PEG ratio at 0.36 indicates undervaluation relative to growth

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 High P/E ratio (52.0) compared to industry PE (20.7)
• 📊 RSI at 53.8 is neutral, limiting upside momentum
• 📉 Quarterly PAT declined sharply (₹221 Cr. → ₹46.4 Cr., -85.4%)
• 📊 FII holding reduced by -0.84%, showing foreign investor caution

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Sharp decline in quarterly profits
• 📊 Foreign institutional investors reducing stake

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Strong efficiency ratios (ROE and ROCE above 30%)
• 💰 Consistent dividend yield supports investor sentiment
• 📊 Domestic institutional investors increased stake (+1.24%)

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 20.7, much lower than NUVAMA’s 52.0, suggesting overvaluation
• 🏦 Financial services sector outlook tied to capital markets and investor flows

📌 Conclusion

NUVAMA shows moderate intraday potential today with bullish technicals and strong efficiency ratios. Traders may enter near ₹7,160–₹7,180 with stop-loss at ₹7,120 and profit booking around ₹7,250–₹7,300. While fundamentals like ROE and ROCE are supportive, caution is advised due to sharp profit decline and stretched valuation. Conservative traders may wait for stronger momentum confirmation before entering fresh positions.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing NUVAMA with other financial services sector stocks, so you can identify relative intraday strength opportunities?