NTPCGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

📉 Swing Trade Analysis: NTPC Green Energy Ltd.

NTPCGREEN shows weak technical momentum and stretched valuation, making it a speculative swing trade candidate. While there’s potential for a short-term bounce, the setup favors cautious traders.

✅ Positives

Price Action

Trading near 50 DMA (₹105) and 200 DMA (₹109) — potential support zone.

RSI (49.6): Neutral, with room for upside.

Debt-to-Equity (0.44): Moderate leverage.

Quarterly PAT Growth (₹165 Cr. vs ₹205 Cr.): Sequential decline but still profitable.

52w Index (27.2%): Trading near the lower end of its yearly range — potential for rebound.

⚠️ Negatives

P/E (167) vs Industry PE (31.2): Extremely overvalued.

ROCE (6.42%) and ROE (3.95%): Weak capital efficiency.

MACD (-0.13): Bearish crossover — signals weak momentum.

Volume (51L) significantly below 1-week average (100L): Low trader interest.

EPS (₹0.63) and Book Value (₹21.9): Weak intrinsic metrics.

No Dividend Yield: No passive income.

FII & DII Holding Decline: Institutional sentiment is cooling.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹98–₹100

A dip near recent support levels offers a better risk-reward setup. Wait for MACD reversal and volume pickup before entering.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit Price: ₹115–₹120

Short-term resistance zone based on recent price action.

Stop Loss: ₹96

Just below recent support and psychological level.

Time Horizon: 1–2 weeks, contingent on technical recovery.

This setup suits high-risk traders looking for a speculative bounce. Let me know if you'd like help tracking this trade or scanning stronger momentum setups.

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