NTPCGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | NTPCGREEN | Market Cap | 94,042 Cr. | Current Price | 111 ₹ | High / Low | 120 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 182 | Book Value | 22.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 6.42 % |
| ROE | 3.95 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 101 ₹ | DMA 200 | 99.3 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.00 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.27 % | PAT Qtr | 60.3 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 86.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 58.4 | MACD | 4.46 | Volume | 98,87,702 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,14,60,491 |
| Low price | 84.0 ₹ | High price | 120 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.42 | 52w Index | 75.9 % |
| Qtr Profit Var | -32.6 % | EPS | 0.61 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.0 |
Analysis: NTPC Green is trading at 111 ₹, above both 50 DMA (101 ₹) and 200 DMA (99.3 ₹), showing technical strength. RSI at 58.4 indicates healthy momentum without being overbought, and MACD is positive at 4.46. However, fundamentals are weak with very high P/E (182 vs industry 31), low ROE (3.95%) and ROCE (6.42%). Quarterly profit dropped significantly (PAT 60.3 Cr. vs 86.0 Cr., -32.6% variation). Dividend yield is 0%, limiting investor appeal. The stock is near its 52-week high (120 ₹), suggesting limited upside in the short term.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 100–104 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 118–120 ₹ resistance zone or if RSI approaches 70.
✅ Positive
- Stock trading above DMA levels (technical strength)
- MACD positive, supporting bullish momentum
- Institutional interest improved (DII +0.27%)
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E (182 vs industry 31)
- Weak ROE (3.95%) and ROCE (6.42%)
- No dividend yield
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit dropped sharply (-32.6%)
- EPS very low (0.61 ₹)
📈 Company Positive News
- Stock trading above DMA levels, showing momentum
- Institutional holdings increased slightly (DII +0.27%)
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 31.0, much lower than NTPC Green’s 182 (stock overvalued vs peers)
- Renewable energy sector outlook remains positive with long-term demand growth
🔎 Conclusion
NTPC Green is a moderate swing trade candidate with strong technicals but weak fundamentals and stretched valuations. Entry is favorable near 100–104 ₹, while profit booking is advised near 118–120 ₹. Traders should be cautious of earnings weakness and monitor RSI for signs of overbought conditions.