NTPCGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.9
| Stock Code | NTPCGREEN | Market Cap | 73,165 Cr. | Current Price | 86.9 ₹ | High / Low | 118 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 142 | Book Value | 22.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 6.42 % |
| ROE | 3.95 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 92.4 ₹ | DMA 200 | 100 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.18 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.17 % | PAT Qtr | 60.3 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 86.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 39.6 | MACD | -1.59 | Volume | 59,85,181 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 81,47,174 |
| Low price | 84.0 ₹ | High price | 118 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.42 | 52w Index | 8.47 % |
| Qtr Profit Var | -32.6 % | EPS | 0.61 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.5 |
📊 NTPCGREEN shows weak potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 86.9 ₹, trading below both its 50 DMA (92.4 ₹) and 200 DMA (100 ₹), reflecting bearish momentum. RSI at 39.6 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while MACD at -1.59 confirms negative sentiment. Fundamentals are poor with low ROCE (6.42%), low ROE (3.95%), and EPS at only 0.61 ₹. Valuation is stretched (P/E 142 vs industry 25.5), and the absence of dividend yield reduces investor appeal. Quarterly PAT declined (86.0 Cr. → 60.3 Cr.), further weakening confidence.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 84–86 ₹ (near support zone)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 95–100 ₹ (near DMA resistance), or exit if price falls below 83 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 📈 Stock trading near oversold RSI levels (39.6), potential for short-term bounce.
- 📦 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 indicates manageable leverage.
- 📊 DII holding increased by 0.17%, showing some domestic support.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Extremely high P/E of 142 vs industry 25.5.
- 📉 Weak ROCE (6.42%) and ROE (3.95%).
- 🔻 EPS of 0.61 ₹ reflects poor profitability.
- 📉 Dividend yield of 0.00% offers no income support.
- 📉 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak trend.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT declined (86.0 Cr. → 60.3 Cr.).
- 🚫 FII holding decreased by -0.18%.
Company Positive News
- 📊 DII inflows (+0.17%) show some domestic confidence.
- 📈 Stock near oversold RSI zone, potential for technical rebound.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 25.5 indicates sector is moderately valued.
- 📦 Renewable energy sector benefits from government-led green initiatives and long-term demand growth.
Conclusion
⚖️ NTPCGREEN is fundamentally weak with stretched valuations, low profitability, and declining earnings, making it a risky candidate for swing trading. Entry near 84–86 ₹ may offer a short-term rebound opportunity, but exit should be considered around 95–100 ₹. Caution is advised if price breaks below 83 ₹, as momentum could weaken further.