NTPCGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for NTPCGREEN based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.8
| Stock Code | NTPCGREEN | Market Cap | 80,750 Cr. | Current Price | 95.8 ₹ | High / Low | 120 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 199 | Book Value | 22.4 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 4.31 % |
| ROE | 2.17 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 102 ₹ | DMA 200 | 100 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.00 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.27 % | PAT Qtr | 94.4 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 60.3 Cr. |
| RSI | 33.6 | MACD | -2.29 | Volume | 55,37,719 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 49,40,059 |
| Low price | 84.0 ₹ | High price | 120 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 6.12 | Debt to equity | 0.48 |
| 52w Index | 32.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | -54.0 % | EPS | 0.48 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.6 |
NTPCGREEN shows weak swing trade potential. The current price of 95.8 ₹ is below both the 50 DMA (102 ₹) and 200 DMA (100 ₹), reflecting short-term and medium-term weakness. RSI at 33.6 suggests oversold conditions, while MACD at -2.29 indicates bearish momentum. Fundamentals are poor with ROCE at 4.31% and ROE at 2.17%. Valuation is extremely stretched (P/E 199 vs industry 27.6, PEG 6.12), raising concerns. Despite PAT growth (94.4 Cr. vs 60.3 Cr.), EPS remains very low at 0.48 ₹, limiting upside potential.
Optimal Entry Price: 90–94 ₹, closer to support near 84 ₹.
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 105–110 ₹. If momentum sustains, monitor for breakout toward 120 ₹ resistance.
✅ Positive
- 📈 PAT growth (94.4 Cr. vs 60.3 Cr.) shows operational improvement.
- 💹 DII holding increased (+0.27%), reflecting domestic support.
- 📊 Stock trading near oversold RSI levels, potential for technical rebound.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Extremely high P/E (199 vs industry 27.6).
- 📊 Weak ROCE (4.31%) and ROE (2.17%).
- 📉 EPS of 0.48 ₹ reflects poor earnings power.
- 📉 Dividend yield of 0.00% offers no income support.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Valuation bubble with unsustainable multiples.
- ⚠️ Weak technical indicators (MACD -2.29, price below DMA levels).
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Quarterly PAT growth supports sentiment.
- 💹 Institutional inflows (DII +0.27%) provide some cushion.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 27.6 is much lower, showing NTPCGREEN trades at a steep premium.
- ⚡ Renewable energy sector benefits from government initiatives and long-term demand drivers.
📌 Conclusion
⚖️ NTPCGREEN is a weak candidate for swing trading due to stretched valuation and poor fundamentals. Entry near 90–94 ₹ offers limited risk-reward, with exits around 105–110 ₹ advisable. Traders should remain cautious, as sustainability of profit growth is uncertain and technical indicators remain bearish.
Would you like me to extend this with a peer comparison against NHPC and NLCINDIA to highlight relative swing trade strength?