NTPCGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | NTPCGREEN | Market Cap | 83,303 Cr. | Current Price | 98.9 ₹ | High / Low | 118 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 161 | Book Value | 22.2 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 6.42 % |
| ROE | 3.95 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 91.6 ₹ | DMA 200 | 97.6 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.18 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.17 % | PAT Qtr | 60.3 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 86.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 68.2 | MACD | 2.15 | Volume | 5,33,16,768 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 6,44,28,482 |
| Low price | 84.0 ₹ | High price | 118 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.42 | 52w Index | 44.0 % |
| Qtr Profit Var | -32.6 % | EPS | 0.61 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.7 |
Analysis: NTPCGREEN trades at 98.9 ₹, above both its 50 DMA (91.6 ₹) and 200 DMA (97.6 ₹), showing short-term bullish momentum. RSI at 68.2 indicates the stock is nearing overbought territory, while MACD (2.15) confirms positive momentum. However, fundamentals are weak: P/E is extremely high at 161 vs industry average of 31.7, ROCE (6.42%) and ROE (3.95%) are low, and quarterly PAT declined (60.3 Cr. vs 86.0 Cr.). EPS is only 0.61 ₹, and dividend yield is 0.00%, offering no income support. Overall, NTPCGREEN is not an ideal swing trade candidate due to overvaluation and weak profitability, despite short-term momentum.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 92–95 ₹, closer to the 50 DMA support zone.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 105–110 ₹ (resistance zone). Place a stop-loss around 90 ₹ to protect against downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Stock trades above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing near-term strength.
- Strong trading volume supports liquidity.
- DII holdings increased (+0.17%), showing some domestic support.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E (161 vs industry 31.7) signals overvaluation.
- Weak fundamentals with low ROCE (6.42%) and ROE (3.95%).
- No dividend yield (0.00%), limiting investor appeal.
- Quarterly PAT declined significantly.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation (-32.6%) shows declining momentum.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.18%), reflecting reduced foreign confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+0.17%), showing domestic institutional interest.
- Stock momentum supported by strong volumes and technical strength.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 31.7, making NTPCGREEN relatively expensive.
- Renewable energy sector benefits from long-term demand growth but faces profitability and policy challenges.
🔎 Conclusion
NTPCGREEN shows short-term bullish momentum but weak fundamentals and extreme overvaluation, making it a risky swing trade candidate. Entry near 92–95 ₹ is safer, with exit around 105–110 ₹ if holding. Stop-loss at 90 ₹ is recommended. While momentum may drive short-term gains, poor profitability and high valuation limit sustainable upside.