NTPCGREEN - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.3

📊 Analysis: NTPC Green is trading at ₹89.9, well below both DMA 50 (₹95.9) and DMA 200 (₹103), indicating a bearish undertone. RSI at 26.0 shows oversold conditions, but MACD (-2.09) remains negative, confirming weak momentum. Intraday volume (24.2 lakh) is slightly above average (23.4 lakh), suggesting participation but not strong bullish conviction. With a very high P/E of 139 and declining quarterly profits, the stock is risky for intraday trading today.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹88–₹89 (only if reversal signals appear intraday)

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹92–₹94 (short-term bounce target)

🛑 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹87 (below recent support)

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹89 or if RSI remains below 30 with MACD continuing negative. Consider booking profits if price spikes toward ₹92–₹94 with volume confirmation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Quarterly profit variation shows improvement (+34.8%) despite sequential decline
• 📊 Volume slightly above average, showing active participation
• 📊 Industry PE at 26.7 vs NTPC Green’s 139, highlighting sector strength though valuation is stretched

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Extremely high P/E ratio (139) compared to industry average
• 📊 ROCE at 6.42% and ROE at 3.95% reflect weak efficiency
• 📉 Price trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms bearish trend
• 📉 No dividend yield, limiting investor appeal

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly PAT declined from ₹165 Cr. to ₹86 Cr.
• 📊 FII holding reduced by -0.06% and DII holding reduced by -0.03%

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly profit variation shows positive growth (+34.8%)
• 📊 Active trading volume supports liquidity for intraday moves

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 26.7, much lower than NTPC Green’s valuation
• ⚡ Renewable energy sector outlook tied to government initiatives and long-term demand growth

📌 Conclusion

NTPC Green is a weak intraday candidate today due to bearish technicals, stretched valuation, and declining profits. While oversold RSI and slightly higher volume may trigger a bounce, momentum indicators remain negative. Traders may attempt speculative entries near ₹88–₹89 with stop-loss at ₹87 and profit booking around ₹92–₹94. Conservative traders should avoid intraday positions until fundamentals and technicals improve.

Would you like me to extend this into a sector scan with basket overlays comparing NTPC Green against other renewable energy peers, so you can identify relative intraday strength opportunities?