NTPCGREEN - IntraDay Trade Analysis
Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am
Back to IntraDay Trade ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 2.7
⚠️ Intraday Trading Analysis for NTPCGREEN
NTPC Green Energy shows signs of weakness for intraday trading today, with several red flags in valuation, technical momentum, and institutional sentiment.
❌ Bearish Indicators
Valuation Concerns
P/E of 161 vs Industry PE of 41.2: Extremely overvalued.
EPS of ₹0.67: Weak earnings base.
No PEG Ratio: Lack of growth clarity.
Weak Fundamentals
ROCE (4.87%) & ROE (3.84%): Poor capital efficiency.
Debt-to-Equity (1.05): High leverage.
Technical Weakness
RSI (43.5): Bearish zone, no momentum.
MACD (-0.21): Negative crossover — downward pressure.
Price < 50-DMA (₹108) & 200-DMA (₹111): Bearish trend.
Institutional Sentiment
FII & DII Holdings both declined: Lack of confidence.
✅ Minor Positives
Volume Spike: 1.5 Cr vs 84.5 Lakh avg — speculative interest.
Quarterly Profit Growth: +59.1% — short-term earnings momentum.
Price near support zone: ₹106 is close to recent low of ₹84.6, offering bounce potential.
🔹 Intraday Strategy
📌 If Entering Fresh Today
Optimal Buy Price: ₹104–₹105 (only if price stabilizes above ₹106 with volume confirmation)
Profit-Taking Levels
Target 1: ₹108 (near 50-DMA)
Target 2: ₹110 (if momentum improves)
Stop-Loss: ₹102 (below recent support)
📌 If Already Holding Today
Exit Signals
RSI drops below 40: Confirmed weakness
MACD widens negatively
Price fails to hold above ₹106 by mid-session
Volume starts declining after morning spike — fading interest
🧠 Final Thoughts
NTPCGREEN is not an ideal intraday candidate today unless you're playing a speculative bounce. The fundamentals and technicals suggest caution, and any trade should be tightly managed with quick exits.
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