NTPCGREEN - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | NTPCGREEN | Market Cap | 87,878 Cr. | Current Price | 104 ₹ | High / Low | 120 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 216 | Book Value | 22.4 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 4.31 % |
| ROE | 2.17 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 104 ₹ | DMA 200 | 100 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.00 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.27 % | PAT Qtr | 94.4 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 60.3 Cr. |
| RSI | 45.9 | MACD | -0.50 | Volume | 47,71,318 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 70,87,101 |
| Low price | 84.0 ₹ | High price | 120 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 6.66 | Debt to equity | 0.48 |
| 52w Index | 56.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | -54.0 % | EPS | 0.48 ₹ | Industry PE | 28.8 |
📊 Analysis: NTPC Green shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential. Current price (₹104) is at DMA 50 (₹104) and slightly above DMA 200 (₹100), reflecting neutral technical positioning. RSI at 45.9 indicates weak momentum, while MACD (-0.50) suggests bearish bias. Volume (47.7L) is below the 1-week average (70.8L), showing reduced participation. Fundamentals remain poor with extremely high P/E (216 vs industry 28.8), weak ROE (2.17%) and ROCE (4.31%), despite PAT improvement (₹60.3 Cr → ₹94.4 Cr).
💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹103–104 if sustained above VWAP with strong intraday volume.
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹106 (near resistance) and ₹108–110 (next resistance zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹101 (below intraday support).
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹106–110 if RSI approaches 60 or momentum slows. Cut positions if price breaks below ₹101 with rising volume pressure.
Positive
- Price trading above DMA 200, confirming medium-term support.
- DII holding increased (+0.27%), showing domestic investor confidence.
- PAT improved (₹60.3 Cr → ₹94.4 Cr).
- PEG ratio (6.66) reflects growth premium despite valuation stretch.
Limitation
- Extremely high P/E (216) vs industry average (28.8), indicating severe overvaluation.
- Weak ROE (2.17%) and ROCE (4.31%) highlight poor efficiency.
- No dividend yield (0.00%), offering no income support.
- Volume below average, reducing intraday conviction.
Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation (-54%) raises sustainability concerns.
- Weak efficiency metrics limit profitability.
- FII holding unchanged (0.00%), showing lack of foreign interest.
Company Positive News
- DII inflows (+0.27%) highlight domestic support.
- PAT growth quarter-on-quarter shows operational improvement.
- Price supported by DMA 200 levels.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 28.8 suggests peers are valued more reasonably.
- Power sector remains cyclical but supported by renewable energy demand.
Conclusion
⚖️ NTPC Green offers speculative intraday trading potential with neutral technicals and weak fundamentals. Suitable only for short-term trades above ₹103 with profit targets near ₹106–110 and strict stop-loss at ₹101. Momentum indicators suggest caution as valuation is extremely stretched.
Would you like me to extend this into a swing trade analysis with 1–2 week holding logic, or keep it strictly intraday-focused?