AIAENG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

Entry Zone: ₹3,280–₹3,300 (if RSI > 60 and MACD sustains)

Exit if held: ₹3,500–₹3,600 (near resistance and 52W trend ceiling)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📈 Current Price: ₹3,330
• 📈 52W High/Low: ₹3,860 / ₹3,001
• 📈 RSI: 59.2 (approaching bullish zone)
• 📈 MACD: 38.9 (positive crossover)
• 📉 Volume: 30.5K vs 1W Avg 89.1K (low participation)
• 📉 FII Holding Change: -0.34%
• 📈 DII Holding Change: +0.16%
• 📉 Qtr Profit Drop: -5.12%
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 1.55 (reasonable growth pricing)
• 📈 P/E: 31.1 vs Industry 27.3 (slightly premium)

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE & ROE: 18.8% and 15.3% — efficient capital use.
• 📉 Low Debt: Debt-to-equity at 0.07 — near debt-free.
• 📈 EPS: ₹107 — solid earnings base.
• 📈 MACD Positive: Indicates bullish momentum building.
• 📈 Above DMA 50 & 200: Trend confirmation for swing setup.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Volume Weak: Current volume significantly below average — low conviction.
• 📉 Profit Dip: PAT dropped from ₹351 Cr to ₹234 Cr QoQ.
• 📉 FII Trimming: Foreign investors reduced exposure slightly.
• 📉 Dividend Yield: Just 0.48% — low passive income.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Revenue Miss: Q1FY26 revenue fell short of analyst estimates at ₹10B.
• 📉 Muted Order Flow: Analysts flagged slowdown in mining segment demand.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 Earnings Beat: Q1FY26 EPS of ₹32.69 beat expectations by 18%

  Simply Wall St

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• 📈 Analyst Upgrades: Revised FY26 earnings outlook post margin resilience

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• 📊 Valuation Support: Price-to-book and PEG below industry median

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🏭 Industry

• 🏗️ Capex Revival: Industrial and mining sectors seeing gradual recovery in wear parts demand.
• 📈 Export Tailwind: Global OEMs increasing sourcing from India amid China+1 strategy.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ Moderately attractive for swing trade with improving technicals and margin-of-safety valuation.
• 📥 Entry near ₹3,280–₹3,300 if RSI > 60 and volume improves.
• 📤 Exit near ₹3,500–₹3,600 (resistance zone and trend ceiling).
• 📈 Watch for volume confirmation before initiating trade — MACD and DMA alignment favorable.

Sources

Simply Wall St

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