TVSMOTOR - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | TVSMOTOR | Market Cap | 1,64,141 Cr. | Current Price | 3,454 ₹ | High / Low | 3,970 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 46.8 | Book Value | 205 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.29 % | ROCE | 34.7 % |
| ROE | 30.6 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 3,678 ₹ | DMA 200 | 3,405 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.19 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.06 % | PAT Qtr | 971 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 906 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.7 | MACD | -85.2 | Volume | 10,59,892 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 12,71,748 |
| Low price | 2,221 ₹ | High price | 3,970 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.07 | Debt to equity | 0.37 |
| 52w Index | 70.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 57.0 % | EPS | 73.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.7 |
Analysis: TVS Motor (TVSMOTOR) shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 40.7 indicates near-oversold conditions, while the MACD (-85.2) reflects bearish momentum. The current price (₹3,454) is below the 50 DMA (₹3,678) but slightly above the 200 DMA (₹3,405), suggesting short-term weakness but long-term support. Quarterly profit growth (+57%) and EPS of ₹73.2 are strong positives. ROCE (34.7%) and ROE (30.6%) highlight excellent efficiency. However, the P/E (46.8) is significantly higher than the industry average (27.7), making the stock expensive. Institutional confidence is mixed, with FII holdings up (+0.19%) but DII holdings down (-0.06%).
Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹3,400–3,450, near 200 DMA support.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹3,850–3,950 if momentum recovers, or cut losses if price falls below ₹3,350.
✅ Positive
- Strong quarterly profit growth (+57%).
- EPS of ₹73.2 supports earnings strength.
- Excellent ROCE (34.7%) and ROE (30.6%).
- FII holdings increased (+0.19%), showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- High P/E (46.8) compared to industry average (27.7).
- MACD negative, showing bearish momentum.
- DII holdings decreased (-0.06%), reflecting weaker domestic support.
- Dividend yield of 0.29% is modest.
📰 Company Negative News
- Stock trading below 50 DMA indicates short-term weakness.
- High valuation compared to peers raises caution.
🌟 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth and EPS performance.
- Excellent return ratios (ROCE and ROE).
- FII participation increased, signaling foreign confidence.
🏦 Industry
- Automobile sector PE (27.7) is lower than TVS Motor’s PE (46.8), making the stock relatively expensive.
- Industry supported by rising demand for two-wheelers and EV adoption, though competition remains strong.
📌 Conclusion
TVS Motor is a moderately good candidate for swing trading with strong fundamentals and long-term support, but high valuation and bearish technicals limit upside. Entry near ₹3,400–3,450 offers better risk-reward. Exit near ₹3,850–3,950 if momentum recovers, or below ₹3,350 to protect capital.