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NTPCGREEN - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:24 am

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code NTPCGREEN Market Cap 92,563 Cr. Current Price 110 ₹ High / Low 120 ₹
Stock P/E 179 Book Value 22.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 6.42 %
ROE 3.95 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 101 ₹ DMA 200 99.2 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.00 % Chg in DII Hold 0.27 % PAT Qtr 60.3 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 86.0 Cr.
RSI 56.6 MACD 4.74 Volume 90,40,006 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,72,05,172
Low price 84.0 ₹ High price 120 ₹ Debt to equity 0.42 52w Index 71.9 %
Qtr Profit Var -32.6 % EPS 0.61 ₹ Industry PE 31.0

📈 Chart & Trend: NTPCGREEN is trading above its 50 DMA (101 ₹) and 200 DMA (99.2 ₹), confirming short-term bullish momentum. RSI at 56.6 reflects neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD at 4.74 shows a bullish crossover. Bollinger Bands are moderately expanded, suggesting active volatility but not extreme pressure.

🔎 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is mildly positive. Strong support lies at 106–108 ₹, while resistance is seen at 115–118 ₹. Entry zone: 106–108 ₹. Exit zone: 115–118 ₹. A breakout above 118 ₹ could extend toward 120–122 ₹.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (90.4 lakh) is significantly below the 1-week average (1.72 Cr.), indicating reduced participation and possible consolidation despite price strength.

Positive

  • Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms bullish strength.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.27%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong sector sentiment with renewable energy focus.

Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (179) compared to industry PE (31.0) indicates steep overvaluation.
  • Weak ROE (3.95%) and ROCE (6.42%) highlight poor capital efficiency.
  • No dividend yield, limiting shareholder returns.

Company Negative News

  • PAT declined from 86 Cr. to 60.3 Cr. (−32.6%).
  • EPS remains low at 0.61 ₹, limiting valuation comfort.

Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.27%), reflecting domestic support.
  • Price trading near 52-week high (71.9% index), showing strong investor sentiment.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 31.0 highlights NTPCGREEN trades at a steep premium.
  • Renewable energy sector outlook remains positive, supported by government initiatives and demand growth.

Conclusion

⚖️ NTPCGREEN is trending upward with strong technical signals supported by price above averages. Entry near 106–108 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, while resistance lies at 115–118 ₹. Weak fundamentals, steep valuations, and declining profits limit upside potential. A breakout above 118 ₹ with strong volumes could trigger momentum toward 120–122 ₹, but caution is advised.

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