NIVABUPA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.4
| Stock Code | NIVABUPA | Market Cap | 12,977 Cr. | Current Price | 69.9 ₹ | High / Low | 95.2 ₹ |
| Book Value | 20.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 7.45 % | ROE | 8.18 % |
| Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 74.7 ₹ | DMA 200 | 77.4 ₹ | Chg in FII Hold | -0.41 % |
| Chg in DII Hold | 0.73 % | PAT Qtr | -87.6 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -35.3 Cr. | RSI | 33.6 |
| MACD | -1.54 | Volume | 9,81,925 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 56,34,775 | Low price | 61.0 ₹ |
| High price | 95.2 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.07 | 52w Index | 26.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | -762 % |
| EPS | -0.03 ₹ | Industry PE | 32.6 |
Analysis: NIVABUPA trades at 69.9 ₹, below both its 50 DMA (74.7 ₹) and 200 DMA (77.4 ₹), reflecting bearish momentum. RSI at 33.6 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, while MACD (-1.54) confirms negative sentiment. The company has weak fundamentals with ROCE (7.45%) and ROE (8.18%), alongside losses in quarterly PAT (-87.6 Cr. vs -35.3 Cr.). EPS is negative (-0.03 ₹), and dividend yield is 0.00%, offering no income support. Despite trading near its 52-week low (61.0 ₹), the stock remains a poor candidate for swing trading due to weak financials and technicals.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 65–68 ₹, closer to the support zone near the 52-week low.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 75–78 ₹ (DMA resistance zone) if recovery occurs. Place a stop-loss below 62 ₹ to avoid deeper downside.
✅ Positive
- Book value of 20.6 ₹ is higher than current price, suggesting undervaluation on paper.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 indicates low leverage.
- DII holdings increased (+0.73%), showing some domestic support.
⚠️ Limitation
- Negative EPS (-0.03 ₹) reflects losses.
- Weak fundamentals with low ROCE (7.45%) and ROE (8.18%).
- No dividend yield (0.00%), limiting investor appeal.
- Stock trades below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak momentum.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT worsened (-87.6 Cr. vs -35.3 Cr.), showing deepening losses.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.41%), reflecting reduced foreign confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+0.73%), showing domestic institutional interest.
- Book value remains higher than current market price.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 32.6, but NIVABUPA has no meaningful P/E due to losses.
- Insurance sector benefits from long-term demand growth but faces profitability and regulatory challenges.
🔎 Conclusion
NIVABUPA is financially weak with negative returns and worsening losses, making it a poor swing trade candidate. Entry near 65–68 ₹ may be considered for speculative traders, with exit around 75–78 ₹ if recovery occurs. Stop-loss at 62 ₹ is essential. Long-term investors should be cautious given the company’s weak fundamentals and lack of profitability.