NIVABUPA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for NIVABUPA based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | NIVABUPA | Market Cap | 16,107 Cr. | Current Price | 87.1 ₹ | High / Low | 92.9 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 123 | Book Value | 20.5 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 3.45 % |
| ROE | 3.82 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 81.1 ₹ | DMA 200 | 78.5 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.29 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.45 % | PAT Qtr | 345 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -87.6 Cr. |
| RSI | 65.2 | MACD | 1.18 | Volume | 83,93,971 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 45,72,487 |
| Low price | 67.5 ₹ | High price | 92.9 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.97 | Debt to equity | 0.07 |
| 52w Index | 77.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 67.5 % | EPS | 0.71 ₹ | Industry PE | 43.4 |
NIVABUPA shows moderate swing trade potential. The current price of 87.1 ₹ is above both the 50 DMA (81.1 ₹) and 200 DMA (78.5 ₹), reflecting short-term bullish strength. RSI at 65.2 suggests the stock is nearing overbought territory, while MACD at 1.18 confirms mild bullish momentum. Fundamentals remain weak with ROCE at 3.45%, ROE at 3.82%, and EPS at 0.71 ₹. Valuation is stretched (P/E 123 vs industry 43.4), though low debt-to-equity (0.07) and strong quarterly PAT turnaround (+67.5%) provide support. Institutional inflows (FII +0.29%, DII +0.45%) add confidence.
Optimal Entry Price: 82–85 ₹, closer to DMA support.
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 90–92 ₹. If momentum sustains, monitor for breakout toward 92.9 ₹ resistance.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Price trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
- 💹 Institutional inflows (FII +0.29%, DII +0.45%).
- 📊 PAT turnaround (345 Cr. vs -87.6 Cr.).
- 📉 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.07) ensures financial stability.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Very high P/E (123 vs industry 43.4).
- 📊 Weak ROCE (3.45%) and ROE (3.82%).
- 📉 EPS of 0.71 ₹ reflects poor earnings power.
- 📉 Dividend yield of 0.00% offers no income support.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Weak profitability metrics despite PAT recovery.
- ⚠️ Valuation bubble with unsustainable multiples.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT recovery boosts sentiment.
- 💹 Institutional inflows provide short-term support.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 43.4 is much lower, showing NIVABUPA trades at a steep premium.
- 🏥 Insurance sector benefits from long-term demand but faces profitability and regulatory challenges.
📌 Conclusion
⚖️ NIVABUPA is a moderate candidate for swing trading with technical strength and institutional support. Entry near 82–85 ₹ offers a safer margin, while exits around 90–92 ₹ are prudent. Traders should remain cautious due to stretched valuations and weak fundamentals despite the PAT turnaround.
Would you like me to extend this with a sector overlay comparing NIVABUPA against peers like HDFC_Life and ICICI_Prudential to highlight relative swing trade opportunities?