NIVABUPA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | NIVABUPA | Market Cap | 14,682 Cr. | Current Price | 79.3 ₹ | High / Low | 95.2 ₹ |
| Book Value | 20.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 7.45 % | ROE | 8.18 % |
| Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 75.5 ₹ | DMA 200 | 76.9 ₹ | Chg in FII Hold | 0.29 % |
| Chg in DII Hold | 0.45 % | PAT Qtr | -87.6 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -35.3 Cr. | RSI | 61.3 |
| MACD | 1.46 | Volume | 16,03,045 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 11,30,864 | Low price | 67.5 ₹ |
| High price | 95.2 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.07 | 52w Index | 42.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | -762 % |
| EPS | -0.03 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.6 |
NIVABUPA shows weak-to-moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI (61.3) and MACD (1.46) indicate short-term bullish momentum, with the current price (₹79.3) trading above both the 50 DMA (₹75.5) and 200 DMA (₹76.9). However, fundamentals are poor: negative EPS (-₹0.03), weak ROCE (7.45%) and ROE (8.18%), and consecutive quarterly losses (₹-87.6 Cr vs ₹-35.3 Cr). While momentum may support a short-term bounce, earnings weakness limits upside potential.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹76–78, near DMA support.
📤 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider profit booking near ₹85–88, or exit if price falls below ₹75 support.
🌟 Positive
- Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates short-term strength.
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.07) ensures manageable leverage.
- Institutional support from DII (+0.45%) and FII (+0.29%) shows some investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- Negative EPS (-₹0.03) reflects weak profitability.
- Quarterly losses (₹-87.6 Cr vs ₹-35.3 Cr) highlight earnings instability.
- Weak ROCE (7.45%) and ROE (8.18%) compared to peers.
- No dividend yield (0.00%), reducing investor appeal.
📰 Company Negative News
- Sharp increase in quarterly losses with profit variation at -762%.
📈 Company Positive News
- Stock momentum supported by RSI and MACD indicators.
- Institutional buying provides some stability despite weak fundamentals.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 31.6 shows NIVABUPA is not comparable due to negative earnings.
- Insurance sector is defensive but highly sensitive to claims ratio and regulatory changes.
✅ Conclusion
NIVABUPA is a weak candidate for swing trading. Entry near ₹76–78 and exit around ₹85–88 may be considered for short-term momentum trades. However, persistent losses and poor fundamentals make it risky. Suitable only for aggressive traders with strict stop-loss discipline.