NIVABUPA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.5
| Stock Code | NIVABUPA | Market Cap | 14,559 Cr. | Current Price | 78.7 ₹ | High / Low | 95.2 ₹ |
| Book Value | 0.00 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 7.45 % | ROE | 8.18 % |
| Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 77.0 ₹ | DMA 200 | 78.5 ₹ | Chg in FII Hold | -0.41 % |
| Chg in DII Hold | 0.73 % | PAT Qtr | -87.6 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -35.3 Cr. | RSI | 56.8 |
| MACD | 0.62 | Volume | 22,05,337 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 19,50,643 | Low price | 61.0 ₹ |
| High price | 95.2 ₹ | 52w Index | 51.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | -762 % | EPS | -0.03 ₹ |
| Industry PE | 33.8 |
📊 NIVABUPA shows weak potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 78.7 ₹, trading around its 50 DMA (77.0 ₹) and 200 DMA (78.5 ₹), reflecting neutral momentum. RSI at 56.8 suggests balanced conditions, while MACD at 0.62 indicates mild positive sentiment. However, fundamentals are poor with negative EPS (-0.03 ₹), weak ROCE (7.45%), and ROE (8.18%). The company reported a significant quarterly loss (-87.6 Cr. vs -35.3 Cr. previously), raising concerns. Dividend yield is 0.00%, and valuation metrics are unavailable due to losses, making the stock unattractive for swing trading despite short-term technical neutrality.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 75–78 ₹ (near support zone)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 85–90 ₹ (near resistance zone), or exit if price falls below 74 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 📈 Stock trading near DMA levels, offering technical support.
- 📦 DII holding increased by 0.73%, showing some domestic investor confidence.
- 📊 Volume above weekly average indicates active participation.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Negative EPS (-0.03 ₹) reflects poor profitability.
- 📉 Weak ROCE (7.45%) and ROE (8.18%).
- 🔻 Dividend yield of 0.00% offers no income support.
- 📉 No meaningful P/E or PEG ratio due to losses.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT worsened significantly (-35.3 Cr. → -87.6 Cr.).
- 🚫 FII holding decreased by -0.41%.
Company Positive News
- 📈 DII inflows (+0.73%) reflect some domestic confidence.
- 📊 Stock trading near support levels, potential for short-term rebound.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 33.8 indicates sector is moderately valued.
- 📦 Insurance sector benefits from rising demand for health coverage, though profitability remains challenging.
Conclusion
⚖️ NIVABUPA is a fundamentally weak company with persistent losses and poor efficiency ratios, making it a risky candidate for swing trading. Entry near 75–78 ₹ may offer a short-term rebound opportunity, but exit should be considered around 85–90 ₹. Caution is essential if price breaks below 74 ₹, as downside risk remains high.