NIVABUPA - IntraDay Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

📊 Intraday Trade Rating: 2.7

Niva Bupa Health Insurance (NIVABUPA) shows a weak-to-neutral setup for intraday trading today. While volume and institutional interest have picked up, technical indicators and recent earnings volatility suggest caution.

🔍 Technical & Momentum Overview

Indicator Value Interpretation

RSI 40.4 Neutral zone—no clear momentum

MACD -0.13 Bearish crossover—downward bias

Volume 82.6 lakh Strong spike vs 1-week average—watch for price confirmation

Price vs DMA ₹81.5 vs ₹84.9 (50-DMA) Trading below short-term average—weak trend

FII/DII Change +1.86% / +5.35% Institutional buying—short-term support

Quarterly Profit -386% decline Major earnings shock—sentiment risk

✅ Positives for Intraday

Strong Volume Surge: Could support a bounce if price action confirms.

Institutional Accumulation: FII/DII buying may stabilize price near support.

Trading Near 200-DMA: ₹80.8 could act as a technical floor.

⚠️ Risks to Watch

High P/E (107): Valuation is extremely stretched.

Negative PAT & EPS: Weak fundamentals may cap upside.

MACD Bearish: Momentum favors sellers unless reversed intraday.

🎯 Intraday Strategy

Action Price Level (₹) Notes

Buy Zone 80.5–81.2 Entry only if price stabilizes above 200-DMA

Profit Target 1 82.8 Conservative exit on minor bounce

Profit Target 2 84.5 Aggressive exit if volume sustains and MACD flattens

Stop Loss 79.5 Below 200-DMA and recent support zone

🕒 If Already Holding Today

Exit on Weak Bounce: If price fails to cross ₹82.8 with volume, consider exiting.

Watch RSI: If it dips below 38, momentum may worsen.

Avoid Averaging Down: Until MACD turns positive or price reclaims ₹84.9.

If you’re looking for stronger intraday setups, I can scan for insurance or midcap stocks with better momentum and cleaner technicals. Want me to pull up a shortlist?

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