NIVABUPA - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:16 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.1

🩺 Intraday Trade Analysis for NIVABUPA

Niva Bupa Health Insurance shows a weak-to-neutral setup for intraday trading today. While institutional interest has increased and the stock is near key moving averages, poor profitability, negative momentum indicators, and low volume suggest limited upside and elevated risk.

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

RSI (47.4): Neutral to weak — momentum is fading, hovering below midline.

MACD (-0.48): Negative — signals short-term bearish divergence.

Price Action: Trading just below 50 DMA (₹83.1) and slightly above 200 DMA (₹81.2), indicating indecision.

Volume: Current volume (11.6L) is below 1-week average (12.7L), showing reduced intraday interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation: P/E of 107 vs industry PE of 39.8 — extremely overvalued; PEG of 2.38 suggests growth premium but not justified by earnings.

Profitability: ROCE (7.45%) and ROE (8.18%) are modest; recent PAT turned negative (₹-91.4 Cr. vs ₹206 Cr.) — major sentiment dampener.

Institutional Flow: FII (+1.86%) and DII (+5.35%) holdings increased — strong institutional support despite weak earnings.

Debt: Low (0.08) — adds financial stability.

🎯 Optimal Buy Price for Today

Buy Zone: ₹80.5–₹81.5

Entry near 200 DMA with tight stop-loss. Avoid chasing above ₹83 unless MACD flattens and RSI rises above 50.

💰 Exit Levels for Profit-Taking & Stop-Loss

Strategy Price Level (₹) Rationale

Target 1 84.2 Minor resistance zone

Target 2 86.5 Momentum extension target

Stop-Loss 78.5 Below intraday support

🕒 If You Already Hold NIVABUPA Today

Exit on Weakness

Price drops below ₹78.5 with rising volume.

RSI dips below 45 or MACD widens negatively.

Exit on Strength

Price nears ₹84.2–₹86.5 with declining volume or bearish divergence.

Watch for reversal candles or lower highs on 5-min chart.

This setup favors cautious scalping with tight stops. Let me know if you'd like to compare NIVABUPA with other insurance or financial services stocks showing stronger momentum.

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