NIVABUPA - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 2.9
| Stock Code | NIVABUPA | Market Cap | 13,239 Cr. | Current Price | 71.6 ₹ | High / Low | 95.2 ₹ |
| Book Value | 20.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 7.45 % | ROE | 8.18 % |
| Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 74.9 ₹ | DMA 200 | 77.5 ₹ | Chg in FII Hold | -0.41 % |
| Chg in DII Hold | 0.73 % | PAT Qtr | -87.6 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -35.3 Cr. | RSI | 39.2 |
| MACD | -1.46 | Volume | 26,12,947 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 60,13,904 | Low price | 61.0 ₹ |
| High price | 95.2 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.07 | 52w Index | 30.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | -762 % |
| EPS | -0.03 ₹ | Industry PE | 33.4 |
📊 Analysis: NIVABUPA is trading at ₹71.6, below both its 50 DMA (₹74.9) and 200 DMA (₹77.5), reflecting bearish sentiment. RSI at 39.2 indicates weak momentum, while MACD (-1.46) confirms negative bias. Intraday volume (26.1 lakh) is significantly lower than the 1-week average (60.1 lakh), showing reduced participation. Fundamentals are weak with negative EPS (-₹0.03), ROE 8.18%, and ROCE 7.45%. PAT worsened from -₹35.3 Cr. to -₹87.6 Cr., highlighting financial stress. Valuation is unattractive with no P/E and no dividend yield.
💰 Optimal Buy Price: Intraday entry is risky; speculative accumulation may be considered near ₹71–72 only for short scalps.
🎯 Exit Levels:
- Profit-taking: ₹73 – ₹74 (near-term resistance)
- Stop-loss: ₹70 (below intraday support)
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit should be considered if price fails to hold above ₹71 or if RSI drops further below 38 intraday. Watch for volume spikes near ₹73–74 to book profits intraday.
Positive
- Book value of ₹20.6 provides some valuation cushion.
- DII holding increased (+0.73%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.07 indicates low leverage.
Limitation
- Negative EPS (-₹0.03) reflects weak profitability.
- Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows bearish sentiment.
- No dividend yield reduces investor appeal.
- Intraday volume significantly below average, reducing trading strength.
Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT worsened from -₹35.3 Cr. to -₹87.6 Cr.
- FII holding decreased (-0.41%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit variation (+762%) reflects volatility but signals potential turnaround attempts.
- 52-week index return of 30.9% shows some investor interest despite losses.
Industry
- Industry PE at 33.4 highlights that profitable peers are more attractive.
- Insurance sector benefits from long-term demand growth but is sensitive to claims ratios and regulatory changes.
Conclusion
⚠️ NIVABUPA shows weak fundamentals and bearish technicals, making it a risky intraday candidate. Traders may attempt speculative scalps near ₹71–72 with profit targets around ₹73–74, but strict stop-loss at ₹70 is essential. Conservative traders should avoid fresh entries until the stock shows sustained recovery above ₹75 with improved momentum.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing NIVABUPA with ICICI Lombard, SBI Life, and HDFC Life to highlight relative intraday strength and sector rotation opportunities within the insurance sector?