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NIVABUPA - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 06:09 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code NIVABUPA Market Cap 15,454 Cr. Current Price 83.6 ₹ High / Low 94.0 ₹
Stock P/E 118 Book Value 20.5 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 3.45 %
ROE 3.82 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 78.8 ₹ DMA 200 77.7 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.29 % Chg in DII Hold 0.45 % PAT Qtr 345 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -87.6 Cr.
RSI 59.9 MACD 1.87 Volume 7,97,441 Avg Vol 1Wk 29,60,466
Low price 67.5 ₹ High price 94.0 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.93 Debt to equity 0.07
52w Index 60.8 % Qtr Profit Var 67.5 % EPS 0.71 ₹ Industry PE 42.7

📊 Analysis: NIVABUPA shows moderate intraday potential. Current price (₹83.6) is above DMA 50 (₹78.8) and DMA 200 (₹77.7), reflecting short-term strength. RSI at 59.9 indicates healthy momentum, while MACD (1.87) confirms mild bullish bias. Volume (7.9L) is significantly below the 1-week average (29.6L), showing weak participation. Fundamentals remain weak with high P/E (118 vs industry 42.7), low ROE (3.82%) and ROCE (3.45%), though PAT recovery (₹-87.6 Cr → ₹345 Cr) is a positive sign.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹82–84 if sustained above VWAP with strong intraday volume.

🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹86 (near resistance) and ₹88–90 (next resistance zone).

🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹80 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹86–90 if RSI approaches 65 or momentum slows. Cut positions if price breaks below ₹80 with rising volume pressure.

Positive

  • Price trading above DMA 50 and DMA 200, confirming short-term strength.
  • Quarterly PAT recovery (₹-87.6 Cr → ₹345 Cr) highlights turnaround.
  • FII (+0.29%) and DII (+0.45%) holdings increased, showing institutional support.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.07 indicates low leverage.

Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (118) compared to industry average (42.7).
  • Weak ROE (3.82%) and ROCE (3.45%) highlight poor efficiency.
  • EPS of ₹0.71 remains low.
  • Volume below average, limiting intraday conviction.
  • No dividend yield (0.00%), offering no income support.

Company Negative News

  • 52-week index at 60.8% indicates weak long-term performance.
  • Efficiency metrics remain poor despite profit recovery.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation positive at 67.5%.
  • Institutional holdings (FII + DII) both increased, showing investor confidence.
  • PAT recovery supports sentiment.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 42.7 indicates sector is moderately valued compared to NIVABUPA (118).
  • Insurance and healthcare sector benefiting from rising demand and policy support.

Conclusion

⚖️ NIVABUPA is a fair candidate for intraday trading with limited upside potential. Buy near ₹82–84 with profit targets at ₹86–90 and stop-loss at ₹80. Momentum indicators support cautious optimism, but high valuation, weak efficiency, and low volume call for conservative trading.

Would you like me to extend this into a swing trade analysis with 1–2 week holding logic, or keep it strictly intraday-focused?

Technical Analysis
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