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NIVABUPA - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 2.2

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:17 pm

Fundamental Rating: 2.2

Stock Code NIVABUPA Market Cap 14,343 Cr. Current Price 77.5 ₹ High / Low 95.2 ₹
Book Value 0.00 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 7.45 % ROE 8.18 %
Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 76.9 ₹ DMA 200 78.5 ₹ Chg in FII Hold -0.41 %
Chg in DII Hold 0.73 % PAT Qtr -87.6 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -35.3 Cr. RSI 52.2
MACD 0.47 Volume 7,52,223 Avg Vol 1Wk 17,46,833 Low price 61.0 ₹
High price 95.2 ₹ 52w Index 48.2 % Qtr Profit Var -762 % EPS -0.03 ₹
Industry PE 33.2

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT worsened from -35.3 Cr. to -87.6 Cr. (-762% variation), showing significant losses. EPS at -0.03 ₹ reflects negative earnings.
  • Margins: ROCE at 7.45% and ROE at 8.18% are weak, indicating poor efficiency and profitability.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio not disclosed, but financial stress is evident given recurring losses.
  • Cash Flow: Dividend yield of 0.00% shows no shareholder payout, reflecting weak cash generation.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: Not applicable due to negative earnings.
  • P/B Ratio: Not meaningful as book value is reported at 0.00 ₹.
  • PEG Ratio: Not available, as growth metrics are negative.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price (77.5 ₹) reflects market skepticism; upside depends on turnaround in profitability.

🏭 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Niva Bupa operates in health insurance, a sector with strong long-term demand potential.
  • Brand presence and partnerships provide some competitive advantage.
  • However, recurring losses and weak return metrics undermine overall health.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Risk-tolerant investors may consider accumulation between 60 ₹ – 65 ₹, closer to support levels.
  • Long-Term Holding: High-risk investment; only suitable if turnaround strategies materialize. Conservative investors should avoid until profitability stabilizes.

✅ Positive

  • DII holding increased by 0.73%, showing domestic institutional support.
  • Sectoral demand for health insurance remains strong in India.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Negative EPS (-0.03 ₹) reflects losses.
  • ROCE (7.45%) and ROE (8.18%) are weak compared to peers.
  • No dividend yield, limiting shareholder returns.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT dropped further to -87.6 Cr. from -35.3 Cr.
  • FII holding decreased by 0.41%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII inflows (+0.73%) highlight domestic institutional interest.
  • Strong brand presence in health insurance provides long-term potential.

🌐 Industry

  • Health insurance sector benefits from rising awareness, regulatory support, and increasing healthcare costs.
  • Industry PE at 33.2 highlights profitability of peers, contrasting with Niva Bupa’s weak financials.

🔎 Conclusion

Niva Bupa demonstrates weak fundamentals with recurring losses, poor return ratios, and no dividend yield. While the health insurance sector offers long-term growth potential, the company’s financial stress makes it a high-risk investment. Investors may consider entry around 60–65 ₹ only if willing to tolerate volatility, with long-term holding dependent on a successful turnaround in operations.

I can also outline technical support and resistance zones using RSI, MACD, and DMA data to complement this fundamental analysis if you’d like.

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