NHPC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.0
| Stock Code | NHPC | Market Cap | 76,603 Cr. | Current Price | 76.2 ₹ | High / Low | 92.3 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 24.1 | Book Value | 39.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.51 % | ROCE | 7.44 % |
| ROE | 8.40 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 76.5 ₹ | DMA 200 | 80.2 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.34 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.23 % | PAT Qtr | 293 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 926 Cr. |
| RSI | 52.8 | MACD | -0.19 | Volume | 1,79,53,740 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,55,11,743 |
| Low price | 68.7 ₹ | High price | 92.3 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -3.74 | Debt to equity | 0.99 |
| 52w Index | 32.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 7.04 % | EPS | 3.17 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.7 |
Analysis: NHPC trades at 76.2 ₹, almost equal to its 50 DMA (76.5 ₹) but below its 200 DMA (80.2 ₹), reflecting neutral-to-weak momentum. RSI at 52.8 indicates balanced strength, while MACD (-0.19) shows mild bearishness. The P/E of 24.1 is lower than the industry average (31.7), suggesting fair valuation. Fundamentals are modest with ROCE (7.44%) and ROE (8.40%), while debt-to-equity (0.99) is relatively high. Quarterly PAT dropped sharply (293 Cr. vs 926 Cr.), raising concerns. Overall, NHPC is a moderate swing trade candidate with limited upside potential.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 74–76 ₹, near the 50 DMA support zone.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 80–82 ₹ (200 DMA resistance zone). Place a stop-loss around 72 ₹ to protect against downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Dividend yield of 2.51% provides steady income.
- P/E of 24.1 vs industry 31.7 suggests fair valuation.
- EPS of 3.17 ₹ reflects consistent earnings.
- FII holdings increased (+0.34%), showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- Weak fundamentals with low ROCE (7.44%) and ROE (8.40%).
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99 adds financial risk.
- Stock trades below 200 DMA, showing weak long-term momentum.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT dropped significantly (926 Cr. to 293 Cr.).
- DII holdings decreased (-0.23%), reflecting reduced domestic confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- FII holdings increased (+0.34%), showing foreign investor interest.
- Dividend yield supports investor sentiment.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 31.7, making NHPC relatively cheaper.
- Power sector benefits from long-term demand growth but faces regulatory and pricing challenges.
🔎 Conclusion
NHPC shows fair valuation but weak fundamentals and declining profits, making it a moderate swing trade candidate. Entry near 74–76 ₹ is safer, with exit around 80–82 ₹. Stop-loss at 72 ₹ is recommended. While dividend yield and foreign investor interest provide support, limited profitability and high debt constrain upside potential.