NHPC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | NHPC | Market Cap | 83,675 Cr. | Current Price | 83.3 ₹ | High / Low | 92.3 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 26.3 | Book Value | 39.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.29 % | ROCE | 7.44 % |
| ROE | 8.40 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 79.0 ₹ | DMA 200 | 80.0 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.05 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.47 % | PAT Qtr | 293 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 926 Cr. |
| RSI | 61.1 | MACD | 1.94 | Volume | 1,05,92,525 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,16,76,677 |
| Low price | 68.7 ₹ | High price | 92.3 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -4.08 | Debt to equity | 0.99 |
| 52w Index | 61.7 % | Qtr Profit Var | 7.04 % | EPS | 3.17 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.0 |
NHPC shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI (61.1) and MACD (1.94) indicate bullish momentum. The current price (₹83.3) is above both the 50 DMA (₹79.0) and 200 DMA (₹80.0), suggesting short-term strength. However, fundamentals are weak with low ROCE (7.44%) and ROE (8.40%), while quarterly PAT dropped sharply (₹293 Cr vs ₹926 Cr). Valuation is fair (P/E 26.3 vs industry 31.0), but debt-to-equity ratio (0.99) is relatively high.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹80–82, near DMA support.
📤 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider profit booking near ₹88–90, or exit if price falls below ₹78 support.
🌟 Positive
- Dividend yield of 2.29% provides steady returns.
- Valuation is slightly below industry average (P/E 26.3 vs 31.0).
- DII holding increased (+0.47%), showing domestic institutional support.
⚠️ Limitation
- Weak fundamentals with low ROCE (7.44%) and ROE (8.40%).
- High debt-to-equity ratio (0.99).
- Quarterly PAT dropped significantly, showing earnings volatility.
📰 Company Negative News
- Sharp decline in quarterly profit (₹293 Cr vs ₹926 Cr).
- FII holding decreased (-0.05%), reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- Dividend yield of 2.29% supports investor sentiment.
- Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates short-term strength.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 31.0 shows NHPC trades at a slight discount.
- Power and energy sector is defensive but sensitive to government policy and demand cycles.
✅ Conclusion
NHPC is a fair candidate for swing trading with entry near ₹80–82 and exit around ₹88–90. While valuation is reasonable and dividend yield is attractive, weak fundamentals and profit decline limit upside potential. Suitable for cautious traders focusing on short-term momentum.