NHPC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Swing Trade Analysis: NHPC Ltd.

NHPC offers a moderately attractive swing trade setup, supported by improving earnings and a stable technical structure. However, limited growth indicators and moderate efficiency metrics suggest a cautious approach.

✅ Strengths

Technical Setup

Price is trading above both 50 DMA (₹83.1) and 200 DMA (₹83.8) — confirms a bullish trend.

MACD (1.04): Positive crossover, indicating upward momentum.

RSI (64.5): Strong but not yet overbought.

FII Holding Increase (+0.50%): Positive institutional sentiment.

Fundamentals

P/E (27.9) vs Industry PE (31.2): Slightly undervalued.

EPS (₹3.12) and PAT Growth (₹1,072 Cr. vs ₹894 Cr.): Sequential improvement.

Dividend Yield (2.19%): Attractive for short-term holders.

Debt-to-Equity (0.94): Manageable leverage.

⚠️ Weaknesses

PEG Ratio (-7.73): Indicates poor growth relative to valuation.

ROCE (7.44%) and ROE (8.40%): Moderate capital efficiency.

Volume below 1-week average: May limit short-term momentum.

DII Holding Flat (+0.01%): Neutral domestic sentiment.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹83–₹85

A pullback near the 50 DMA offers a better risk-reward setup.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit Price: ₹94–₹96

Near recent high and psychological resistance.

Stop Loss: ₹82

Just below 200 DMA and support zone.

Time Horizon: 1–2 weeks, depending on MACD strength and volume recovery.

This setup suits swing traders seeking stability and modest upside. Let me know if you'd like help tracking this trade or scanning similar setups.

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