NHPC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | NHPC | Market Cap | 78,854 Cr. | Current Price | 78.5 ₹ | High / Low | 92.3 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 24.9 | Book Value | 39.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.43 % | ROCE | 7.44 % |
| ROE | 8.40 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 79.3 ₹ | DMA 200 | 81.8 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.34 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.23 % | PAT Qtr | 926 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,072 Cr. |
| RSI | 49.2 | MACD | -0.50 | Volume | 1,87,11,403 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,35,25,614 |
| Low price | 71.0 ₹ | High price | 92.3 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -6.90 | Debt to equity | 0.99 |
| 52w Index | 35.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 3.06 % | EPS | 3.15 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.5 |
📊 NHPC shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 78.5 ₹, trading slightly below its 50 DMA (79.3 ₹) and 200 DMA (81.8 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 49.2 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at -0.50 suggests mild bearish undertone. Fundamentals are modest with ROCE at 7.44% and ROE at 8.40%, but dividend yield of 2.43% adds investor appeal. Valuation is fair (P/E 24.9 vs industry 25.5), though high debt-to-equity (0.99) and weak profitability limit upside potential.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 76–78 ₹ (near support zone)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 88–90 ₹ (near resistance zone), or exit if price falls below 75 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 💡 Fair valuation with P/E of 24.9 vs industry 25.5.
- 📈 Dividend yield of 2.43% adds investor confidence.
- 📊 EPS of 3.15 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
- 📦 FII holding increased by 0.34%, showing foreign investor interest.
- 📈 Strong trading volume above weekly average indicates active participation.
Limitation
- ⚠️ ROCE (7.44%) and ROE (8.40%) are relatively weak.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99 is high compared to peers.
- 🔻 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak momentum.
- 📉 PEG ratio of -6.90 indicates poor growth prospects.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT declined (1,072 Cr. → 926 Cr.).
- 🚫 DII holding decreased by -0.23%.
Company Positive News
- 📊 Quarterly profit variation at +3.06% shows marginal improvement year-on-year.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 2.43% supports investor sentiment.
- 📈 FII inflows reflect foreign confidence in the company.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 25.5 indicates sector is fairly valued.
- 📦 Power sector benefits from government-led infrastructure and renewable energy initiatives.
Conclusion
⚖️ NHPC is a stable dividend-paying company with fair valuation but limited profitability and high debt. Entry near 76–78 ₹ offers a cautious swing setup, with exit targets around 88–90 ₹. Risk management is essential if price breaks below 75 ₹, as momentum could weaken further.