NHPC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | NHPC | Market Cap | 81,094 Cr. | Current Price | 80.7 ₹ | High / Low | 92.3 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 22.4 | Book Value | 39.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.37 % | ROCE | 6.40 % |
| ROE | 9.43 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 79.1 ₹ | DMA 200 | 79.9 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.05 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.47 % | PAT Qtr | 1,328 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 293 Cr. |
| RSI | 54.3 | MACD | -0.22 | Volume | 2,11,82,770 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,30,58,175 |
| Low price | 68.7 ₹ | High price | 92.3 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -13.0 | Debt to equity | 0.99 |
| 52w Index | 51.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 48.5 % | EPS | 3.60 ₹ | Industry PE | 28.8 |
📊 Analysis: NHPC shows moderate intraday potential. Current price (₹80.7) is slightly above DMA 50 (₹79.1) and DMA 200 (₹79.9), reflecting short-term strength. RSI at 54.3 indicates neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD (-0.22) suggests mild bearish bias. Volume (2.11 Cr) is significantly higher than the 1-week average (1.30 Cr), confirming strong liquidity. Fundamentals are mixed: PAT surged (₹293 Cr → ₹1,328 Cr), but ROCE (6.40%) and ROE (9.43%) remain weak compared to peers.
💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹80.0–81.0 if sustained above VWAP with strong volume.
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹82.5 (near resistance) and ₹84.5 (next resistance zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹79.0 (below intraday support).
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹82.5–84.5 if RSI approaches 65 or momentum slows. Cut positions if price breaks below ₹79.0 with rising volume pressure.
Positive
- Dividend yield of 2.37% provides income support.
- Quarterly PAT surged (₹293 Cr → ₹1,328 Cr), showing strong earnings momentum.
- DII holding increased (+0.47%), reflecting domestic investor confidence.
- Price trading above DMA 50 and DMA 200, confirming short-term strength.
Limitation
- Weak ROCE (6.40%) and ROE (9.43%) compared to industry peers.
- MACD negative, limiting bullish momentum.
- PEG ratio (-13.0) suggests poor growth alignment.
- High debt-to-equity ratio (0.99) indicates leveraged operations.
Company Negative News
- FII holding reduced (-0.05%), showing weaker foreign sentiment.
- Efficiency metrics remain weak despite profit surge.
Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth (+48.5%).
- DII inflows (+0.47%) highlight domestic confidence.
- Dividend yield supports long-term investors.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 28.8, higher than NHPC’s 22.4, suggesting relative undervaluation.
- Power sector remains cyclical but supported by infrastructure demand.
Conclusion
⚖️ NHPC offers moderate intraday trading potential with strong liquidity and undervaluation relative to peers but suffers from weak efficiency metrics and earnings volatility. Suitable for trades above ₹80.0 with profit targets near ₹82.5–84.5 and strict stop-loss at ₹79.0. Momentum indicators suggest cautious optimism.
Would you like me to extend this into a swing trade analysis with 1–2 week holding logic, or keep it strictly intraday-focused?