NHPC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.8

📊 Analysis: NHPC is trading at ₹76.6, below both DMA 50 (₹79.9) and DMA 200 (₹82.8), indicating bearish undertone. RSI at 27.3 shows oversold conditions but not yet at extreme reversal levels. MACD (-1.45) remains negative, suggesting weak momentum. Intraday volume (64.8 lakh) is slightly above average, showing some participation but not strong bullish conviction. Overall, NHPC is a cautious candidate for intraday trading today.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹75–₹76 (only if intraday reversal signals appear)

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹78–₹79 (short-term bounce target)

🛑 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹74 (below recent support)

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹76 or if RSI remains below 30 with MACD continuing negative. Consider booking profits if price spikes toward ₹78–₹79 with volume confirmation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Dividend yield of 2.53% provides steady shareholder returns
• 📊 FII holding increased by 0.74%, showing foreign investor confidence
• 📉 EPS at ₹3.15 with stable quarterly profit growth (+3.06%)
• 🏭 Industry PE at 26.7 vs NHPC’s 24.3, suggesting fair valuation

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 ROCE at 7.44% and ROE at 8.40% indicate modest efficiency
• 📊 PEG ratio of -6.74 signals weak growth prospects
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.99 is relatively high
• 📊 Price trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms bearish trend

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 PAT declined from ₹1,072 Cr. to ₹926 Cr. sequentially
• 📊 Weak momentum indicators (MACD negative, RSI near oversold)

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly profit variation shows slight improvement (+3.06%)
• 💰 Consistent dividend yield supports investor sentiment

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 26.7, slightly higher than NHPC’s 24.3
• ⚡ Power sector outlook tied to government infrastructure and renewable energy initiatives

📌 Conclusion

NHPC shows limited intraday potential today due to weak momentum and bearish technicals. While fundamentals like dividend yield and FII inflows provide support, high debt and modest ROCE/ROE limit upside. Intraday traders may attempt a bounce play near ₹75–₹76 with tight stop-loss at ₹74 and profit booking around ₹78–₹79. Conservative traders should avoid intraday positions until momentum indicators improve.

Would you like me to extend this into a sector scan with basket overlays comparing NHPC against other power sector peers, so you can spot relative intraday strength opportunities?