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NHPC - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.6

Stock Code NHPC Market Cap 77,749 Cr. Current Price 77.3 ₹ High / Low 92.3 ₹
Stock P/E 24.4 Book Value 39.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.47 % ROCE 7.44 %
ROE 8.40 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 76.5 ₹ DMA 200 80.2 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.34 % Chg in DII Hold -0.23 % PAT Qtr 293 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 926 Cr.
RSI 58.4 MACD -0.29 Volume 2,97,27,574 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,53,83,988
Low price 68.7 ₹ High price 92.3 ₹ PEG Ratio -3.79 Debt to equity 0.99
52w Index 36.7 % Qtr Profit Var 7.04 % EPS 3.17 ₹ Industry PE 30.0

📊 Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: PAT dropped sharply from ₹926 Cr. to ₹293 Cr., showing earnings volatility. EPS at ₹3.17 is modest.
  • Margins & Returns: ROCE (7.44%) and ROE (8.40%) are weak compared to peers, reflecting limited efficiency.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99 indicates moderate leverage.
  • Cash Flow: Stable due to government backing, but profitability fluctuations affect consistency.

💹 Valuation

  • P/E Ratio: 24.4 vs Industry PE of 30.0 → Slightly undervalued compared to peers.
  • P/B Ratio: ~1.95 (Price ₹77.3 / Book Value ₹39.6) → Reasonable valuation.
  • PEG Ratio: -3.79 → Negative, indicating weak growth prospects relative to valuation.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price appears fairly valued, with limited upside.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • NHPC operates in hydropower generation, benefiting from government support and renewable energy demand.
  • Competitive advantage lies in scale, regulatory backing, and long-term contracts.
  • Dividend yield of 2.47% provides attractive shareholder returns.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive near ₹70–74 range (close to 52W low of ₹68.7 and below DMA levels).
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for conservative investors seeking stable dividends. Growth prospects are limited, so accumulation should be cautious.


✅ Positive

  • Dividend yield of 2.47% supports investor confidence.
  • Government backing ensures operational stability.
  • FII holdings increased (+0.34%), showing foreign investor interest.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Weak ROCE (7.44%) and ROE (8.40%) compared to peers.
  • Negative PEG ratio highlights poor growth prospects.
  • High debt-to-equity ratio (0.99) adds financial risk.

📉 Company Negative News

  • PAT dropped significantly compared to previous quarter.
  • DII holdings reduced (-0.23%), showing cautious domestic sentiment.
  • MACD at -0.29 indicates weak technical momentum.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Dividend yield remains attractive at 2.47%.
  • FII holdings increased, signaling global investor confidence.
  • Stock trading near DMA 50 (₹76.5) shows technical support.

🏭 Industry

  • Power generation industry benefits from renewable energy demand and government initiatives.
  • Industry PE at 30.0 suggests peers trade at higher valuations, making NHPC slightly undervalued.

🔎 Conclusion

  • NHPC offers stability with government backing and attractive dividend yield.
  • However, weak return ratios, high debt, and poor growth prospects limit upside potential.
  • Best strategy: Accumulate near ₹70–74 range for dividend income and long-term stability, while avoiding aggressive buying at current levels.

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