LODHA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | LODHA | Market Cap | 1,03,103 Cr. | Current Price | 1,032 ₹ | High / Low | 1,534 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 36.0 | Book Value | 202 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.41 % | ROCE | 14.6 % |
| ROE | 13.2 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,054 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,169 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.62 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.44 % | PAT Qtr | 1,146 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 336 Cr. |
| RSI | 52.7 | MACD | -33.3 | Volume | 30,43,901 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 29,91,098 |
| Low price | 864 ₹ | High price | 1,534 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.25 | Debt to equity | 0.54 |
| 52w Index | 25.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 37.8 % | EPS | 28.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.2 |
📊 Macrotech Developers (LODHA) shows a balanced outlook for swing trading. The stock trades at ₹1,032, slightly below its 50 DMA (₹1,054) and 200 DMA (₹1,169), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 52.7 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at -33.3 signals bearish pressure. Valuation is moderately high with a P/E of 36.0 compared to industry average of 31.2. Fundamentals remain supportive with ROE at 13.2% and ROCE at 14.6%. Strong quarterly PAT growth (₹1,146 Cr. vs ₹336 Cr.) adds confidence, though institutional selling (FII -0.62%) is a concern.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹1,000–1,020 (near support zone, slightly below current price).
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exit near ₹1,150–1,200 (resistance zone close to 200 DMA). If price falls below ₹980, apply stop-loss to protect capital.
Positive
- 📈 Strong quarterly PAT growth (₹1,146 Cr. vs ₹336 Cr.).
- 💹 Healthy ROE (13.2%) and ROCE (14.6%).
- 📊 EPS of ₹28.7 supports valuation strength.
- 🏦 DII holdings increased (+0.44%).
Limitation
- ⚠️ Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
- 📉 Negative MACD (-33.3) indicates bearish momentum.
- 📉 Moderate debt-to-equity ratio (0.54).
- 📉 Dividend yield is low (0.41%).
Company Negative News
- 📉 FII holdings decreased (-0.62%).
- ⚠️ Stock trading near lower end of 52-week index (25.1%).
Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT surged significantly QoQ, showing operational strength.
- 🏦 DII accumulation signals domestic confidence.
Industry
- 🏗️ Real estate sector average PE is 31.2, Lodha trades at a slight premium (36.0).
- 📊 Sector demand remains cyclical but supported by urban housing growth.
Conclusion
⚖️ Lodha is a moderately suitable candidate for swing trading. Entry near ₹1,000–1,020 offers better risk-reward, while exits should be targeted near ₹1,150–1,200. Strong profit growth and domestic investor support provide positives, but technical weakness and FII selling limit upside. Traders should remain cautious and apply strict stop-loss discipline below ₹980.