LODHA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | LODHA | Market Cap | 92,288 Cr. | Current Price | 924 ₹ | High / Low | 1,534 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 31.6 | Book Value | 222 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.46 % | ROCE | 14.6 % |
| ROE | 14.0 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 881 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,047 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -2.25 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.45 % | PAT Qtr | 794 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,146 Cr. |
| RSI | 62.7 | MACD | 18.1 | Volume | 29,35,239 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 36,91,887 |
| Low price | 651 ₹ | High price | 1,534 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.60 | Debt to equity | 0.48 |
| 52w Index | 30.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | 7.12 % | EPS | 29.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.3 |
Analysis: Lodha (Macrotech Developers) is trading at 924 ₹, above its 50 DMA (881 ₹) but below its 200 DMA (1,047 ₹), suggesting short-term strength but medium-term resistance. RSI at 62.7 and MACD at 18.1 indicate moderate bullish momentum. The valuation is slightly above industry average with a P/E of 31.6 vs 27.3, while ROCE (14.6%) and ROE (14.0%) are decent. Quarterly PAT declined (794 Cr vs 1,146 Cr), showing some earnings pressure. The PEG ratio of 0.60 suggests reasonable growth potential, but FII holdings dropped significantly (-2.25%), raising caution. DII support (+1.45%) provides some balance. The stock is trading far below its 52-week high (1,534 ₹), limiting upside in the near term.
Optimal Entry Price: Around 880–900 ₹ (near 50 DMA support zone).
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 1,040–1,050 ₹ (DMA 200 resistance zone) or if RSI approaches 70. A stop-loss can be placed around 860 ₹ to manage downside risk.
✅ Positive
- EPS at 29.2 ₹, reflecting solid earnings base.
- ROCE (14.6%) and ROE (14.0%) are healthy for the sector.
- DII holdings increased (+1.45%), showing domestic institutional support.
- PEG ratio at 0.60, suggesting growth potential relative to valuation.
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E ratio (31.6) slightly above industry average.
- Quarterly PAT declined (794 Cr vs 1,146 Cr).
- Stock trading far below 52-week high (1,534 ₹).
- Volume below weekly average, limiting momentum.
📉 Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased significantly (-2.25%).
- Quarterly profit decline raises concerns about earnings stability.
📈 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+1.45%).
- Stock showing short-term strength above 50 DMA.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 27.3, slightly lower than Lodha, highlighting mild overvaluation.
- Real estate sector remains cyclical but supported by urban housing demand.
🔎 Conclusion
Lodha is a moderately suitable candidate for swing trading, supported by decent fundamentals and institutional backing. Entry near 880–900 ₹ is optimal, with exit around 1,040–1,050 ₹. Risk management is essential due to earnings decline, reduced FII confidence, and resistance at the 200 DMA.