LODHA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

🏢 Swing Trade Analysis: LODHA (Macrotech Developers Ltd.)

LODHA shows a fundamentally stable profile with decent profitability and institutional interest, but current technical indicators suggest weakness. It’s a watchlist candidate for swing trading, best approached with caution and tight risk management.

✅ Strengths

Profitability: ROCE (14.8%) and ROE (13.4%) are solid — efficient capital deployment.

Earnings Growth: Qtr Profit Var of 42.7% — strong YoY improvement.

Valuation: P/E of 51.5 vs industry average of 40.7 — slightly premium but supported by growth.

Debt-to-Equity: Moderate at 0.41 — manageable leverage.

Institutional Sentiment: FII holdings increased (+0.25%) — mildly bullish.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Technical Setup: Price ₹1,204 is below both 50-DMA (₹1,252) and 200-DMA (₹1,277) — signals bearish pressure.

MACD (-19.5): Negative — confirms weak momentum.

RSI (46.2): Neutral to weak — no clear trend.

Volume: Slightly below weekly average — reduced short-term interest.

Dividend Yield: 0.35% — modest income incentive.

52w Index (33.9%): Trading in lower third of yearly range — sentiment remains subdued.

Book Value: ₹192 vs current price ₹1,204 — trading at a steep premium.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹1,160–₹1,180

Near recent support; wait for MACD to flatten and RSI to cross 50 before entering.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹1,300–₹1,340

Near short-term resistance; exit if RSI crosses 65 or MACD turns positive.

Stop Loss: ₹1,120

Below this level, trend support weakens.

⚖️ Verdict

LODHA is a moderate swing trade candidate, suitable for traders who can time a technical rebound. Fundamentals are stable, but momentum indicators and price positioning demand a disciplined entry and exit strategy.

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