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LODHA - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 25 May 26, 01:36 am

Fundamental Rating: 3.7

Stock Code LODHA Market Cap 88,716 Cr. Current Price 888 ₹ High / Low 1,534 ₹
Stock P/E 30.4 Book Value 222 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.48 % ROCE 14.6 %
ROE 14.0 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 888 ₹ DMA 200 1,027 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.25 % Chg in DII Hold 1.45 % PAT Qtr 794 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,146 Cr.
RSI 51.4 MACD 5.27 Volume 11,43,583 Avg Vol 1Wk 26,61,691
Low price 651 ₹ High price 1,534 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.58 Debt to equity 0.48
52w Index 26.8 % Qtr Profit Var 7.12 % EPS 29.2 ₹ Industry PE 26.3

📊 Core Financials: Lodha Group reported quarterly PAT of ₹794 Cr (down from ₹1,146 Cr), showing a decline in profitability. ROE at 14.0% and ROCE at 14.6% reflect moderate efficiency. Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 indicates moderate leverage. EPS at ₹29.2 is decent, supported by strong revenue base, though margins remain under pressure.

💹 Valuation Indicators: Stock P/E of 30.4 is slightly above industry average (26.3), suggesting mild overvaluation. Book value at ₹222 vs CMP ₹888 shows a premium valuation. PEG ratio of 0.58 indicates healthy earnings growth potential. Intrinsic value appears supportive of long-term upside, though near-term valuations are stretched.

🏢 Business Model & Advantage: Lodha operates in real estate development, with a strong presence in residential and commercial projects. Competitive advantage lies in scale, brand recognition, and diversified portfolio. However, cyclical demand and high debt levels in the sector pose risks.

📈 Entry Zone & Holding Guidance: The stock trades near DMA 50 (₹888) and below DMA 200 (₹1,027), showing weakness. RSI at 51.4 indicates neutral momentum. A better entry zone would be closer to ₹800–₹850. Long-term holding may be viable given industry demand, but fresh entry at current levels requires caution.

Positive

  • ✅ Strong brand recognition and diversified real estate portfolio
  • ✅ EPS at ₹29.2, reflecting solid earnings base
  • ✅ DII holding increased by 1.45%, showing domestic institutional confidence

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Quarterly PAT decline (₹1,146 Cr → ₹794 Cr)
  • ⚠️ Moderate ROE (14.0%) and ROCE (14.6%) efficiency
  • ⚠️ Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.48, indicating leverage risk

Company Negative News

  • 📉 FII holding decreased by 2.25%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence

Company Positive News

  • 📈 EPS stability and PEG ratio of 0.58 indicate growth potential
  • 📈 DII holding increased by 1.45%, reflecting domestic support

Industry

  • 🌐 Real estate industry PE at 26.3, reflecting moderate valuations
  • 🌐 Long-term demand driven by urbanization and infrastructure growth

Conclusion

🔎 Lodha Group shows moderate efficiency and strong brand presence, but declining quarterly profits and leverage risks limit attractiveness. Entry near ₹800–₹850 offers better risk-reward. Long-term investors may hold cautiously, while new investors should wait for correction before buying.

For deeper insights, you could explore a peer comparison or a valuation analysis to assess its position against competitors and intrinsic value.

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