LODHA - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation
Back to ListFundamental Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | LODHA | Market Cap | 85,280 Cr. | Current Price | 854 ₹ | High / Low | 1,534 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 29.8 | Book Value | 202 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.50 % | ROCE | 14.6 % |
| ROE | 13.2 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 991 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,122 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.62 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.44 % | PAT Qtr | 1,146 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 336 Cr. |
| RSI | 27.7 | MACD | -51.2 | Volume | 70,92,387 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 24,23,215 |
| Low price | 832 ₹ | High price | 1,534 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.03 | Debt to equity | 0.54 |
| 52w Index | 3.10 % | Qtr Profit Var | 37.8 % | EPS | 28.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.5 |
📊 Financial Overview
- Revenue & Profitability: PAT rose sharply from 336 Cr. to 1,146 Cr. QoQ, showing strong earnings momentum. EPS at 28.7 ₹ is decent but not exceptional relative to valuation.
- Margins & Returns: ROE at 13.2% and ROCE at 14.6% are moderate, reflecting average capital efficiency.
- Debt & Liquidity: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54 indicates moderate leverage, manageable but worth monitoring.
- Cash Flow: Profit growth supports reinvestment capacity, though debt levels may constrain flexibility.
💹 Valuation Metrics
- P/E Ratio: 29.8 vs Industry PE of 25.5 → Slightly overvalued.
- P/B Ratio: ~4.2 (Price 854 ₹ / Book Value 202 ₹) → Expensive relative to assets.
- PEG Ratio: 1.03 → Fairly priced growth.
- Intrinsic Value: Current price moderately above fair value, but supported by earnings momentum.
🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage
Lodha Group is a leading real estate developer with strong brand recognition and a diversified portfolio across residential and commercial projects. Its scale and execution capabilities provide a competitive edge, though the sector is cyclical and sensitive to interest rates and economic conditions.
📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance
Technically, RSI at 27.7 and negative MACD suggest oversold conditions. A good entry zone would be 820–850 ₹ (near recent lows). Long-term holding is advisable if earnings growth sustains and debt levels remain under control.
✅ Positive
- Strong QoQ PAT growth (1,146 Cr. vs 336 Cr.).
- Moderate ROE (13.2%) and ROCE (14.6%).
- DII holdings increased (+0.44%), showing domestic confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E and P/B ratios slightly above industry averages.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.54 indicates moderate leverage.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.62%), showing reduced foreign confidence.
📉 Company Negative News
- Stock corrected from 1,534 ₹ to 854 ₹.
- Technical indicators show weakness (RSI oversold, MACD negative).
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT surged significantly.
- DII accumulation signals domestic support.
🏭 Industry
The real estate sector benefits from urbanization, housing demand, and infrastructure growth. However, it remains cyclical and sensitive to interest rates, liquidity, and regulatory changes. Industry PE at 25.5 highlights Lodha’s slight premium valuation.
🔎 Conclusion
Lodha is fundamentally strong with robust profit growth and a strong brand, but valuations are slightly stretched and debt levels need monitoring. Investors can consider entry near 820–850 ₹ for long-term holding, contingent on sustained earnings growth and stable leverage.