LODHA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 2.8
| Stock Code | LODHA | Market Cap | 91,714 Cr. | Current Price | 918 ₹ | High / Low | 1,534 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 32.0 | Book Value | 202 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.46 % | ROCE | 14.6 % |
| ROE | 13.2 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,059 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,173 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.62 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.44 % | PAT Qtr | 1,146 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 336 Cr. |
| RSI | 32.4 | MACD | -44.2 | Volume | 11,98,044 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 39,63,272 |
| Low price | 864 ₹ | High price | 1,534 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.11 | Debt to equity | 0.54 |
| 52w Index | 8.04 % | Qtr Profit Var | 37.8 % | EPS | 28.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 30.2 |
📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: Lodha is trading at 918 ₹, well below its 50 DMA (1,059 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,173 ₹). This indicates a bearish consolidation with downward bias. The stock is near its 52-week low (864 ₹), reflecting weak sentiment and selling pressure.
📈 RSI: At 32.4, RSI is near oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound but overall weak momentum.
📉 MACD: Deeply negative at -44.2, confirming strong bearish momentum and lack of bullish crossover signals.
📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and possible mean reversion.
📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (11,98,044) is significantly lower than average weekly volume (39,63,272), showing weak participation and lack of conviction in recent moves.
🎯 Entry Zone: 880–910 ₹ (near support and oversold RSI).
🎯 Exit Zone: 1,050–1,100 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).
Positive
- Market cap of 91,714 Cr. reflects strong presence in real estate sector.
- Quarterly PAT surged to 1,146 Cr. from 336 Cr., showing strong operational improvement.
- DII holdings increased by 0.44%, indicating domestic institutional confidence.
- EPS at 28.7 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
- Dividend yield of 0.46% provides modest income return.
Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak momentum.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.62%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.54 is relatively high for the sector.
- ROCE (14.6%) and ROE (13.2%) are moderate, not exceptional for long-term compounding.
- Weak trading volumes reduce conviction in price action.
Company Negative News
- FII stake reduction highlights declining foreign investor confidence.
- Stock trading near 52-week low, reflecting weak sentiment.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT growth of 37.8% indicates strong year-on-year improvement.
- DII stake increase reflects domestic investor confidence.
- EPS growth supports long-term earnings visibility.
Industry
- Real estate sector trading at industry PE of 30.2, making Lodha slightly overvalued at P/E of 32.0.
- Sector outlook improving with urban housing demand, but valuations remain stretched.
Conclusion
⚖️ Lodha is in a bearish consolidation phase with oversold RSI and strongly negative MACD. Entry near 880–910 ₹ offers margin of safety, while exits around 1,050–1,100 ₹ provide profit-taking opportunities. Long-term investors should be cautious due to high debt levels and moderate ROE/ROCE, while short-term traders may exploit oversold conditions for swing trades.
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