LODHA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.3
| Stock Code | LODHA | Market Cap | 85,280 Cr. | Current Price | 854 ₹ | High / Low | 1,534 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 29.8 | Book Value | 202 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.50 % | ROCE | 14.6 % |
| ROE | 13.2 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 991 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,122 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.62 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.44 % | PAT Qtr | 1,146 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 336 Cr. |
| RSI | 27.7 | MACD | -51.2 | Volume | 70,92,387 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 24,23,215 |
| Low price | 832 ₹ | High price | 1,534 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.03 | Debt to equity | 0.54 |
| 52w Index | 3.10 % | Qtr Profit Var | 37.8 % | EPS | 28.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.5 |
📊 Chart & Trend: Lodha trades at ₹854, well below its 50 DMA (₹991) and 200 DMA (₹1,122). This indicates strong short-term and medium-term weakness, with the stock struggling to hold above key averages.
📉 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 27.7 shows the stock is oversold, suggesting potential support and possible rebound. MACD at -51.2 confirms strong bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands suggest price is near the lower band, with support around ₹830–₹850.
📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (70.9 lakh) is significantly higher than the 1-week average (24.2 lakh), indicating heavy selling pressure and heightened volatility.
🔑 Entry Zone: ₹830–₹850 (near support and oversold RSI levels).
🚪 Exit Zone: ₹980–₹1,000 (near resistance and 50 DMA).
📌 Trend Status: The stock is reversing downward with strong bearish signals, though oversold RSI suggests a possible short-term bounce.
Positive
- Quarterly PAT surged (₹336 Cr → ₹1,146 Cr).
- EPS at ₹28.7 indicates earnings strength.
- ROCE (14.6%) and ROE (13.2%) show decent efficiency.
- DII holdings increased (+0.44%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
Limitation
- Stock P/E at 29.8 is slightly above industry PE of 25.5.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.54 indicates moderate leverage.
- 52-week index at only 3.10% shows severe underperformance.
Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.62%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Stock trading well below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.
Company Positive News
- Sequential PAT growth highlights strong profitability momentum.
- DII stake increased, supporting long-term confidence.
Industry
- Real estate sector PE at 25.5, slightly lower than Lodha’s valuation.
- Sector rotation remains cautious, with valuations stretched in premium real estate stocks.
Conclusion
⚖️ Lodha is reversing downward with strong bearish signals, trading well below key averages. Entry near ₹830–₹850 offers margin of safety for short-term bounce trades, while exits around ₹980–₹1,000 provide profit-taking opportunities. Despite strong profit growth, high debt and weak technicals limit upside, though domestic institutional support provides some resilience.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with DLF, Godrej Properties, and Prestige Estates to compare Lodha’s valuation and technical strength within the real estate sector?