LODHA - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Analysis: LODHA is trading at ₹1,091, below both its 50 DMA (₹1,148) and 200 DMA (₹1,220), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 30.9 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-29.0) confirms bearish undertone. Intraday volume (4,72,861) is significantly lower than the 1-week average (11,73,496), showing weak participation. Fundamentals show decent EPS (₹22.9), ROCE (14.6%), and ROE (13.2%), but quarterly PAT dropped sharply (₹644 Cr. → ₹336 Cr., -14.7%). Valuation is stretched with a P/E of 47.7 vs industry 33.7, making intraday positioning cautious.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹1,080–1,090 if price stabilizes near support.

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹1,115 (minor resistance), ₹1,135 (short-term recovery zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹1,065 to protect against downside risk.

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to hold above ₹1,080 or RSI dips below 30 with declining volume. A bounce above ₹1,115 can be used for profit booking.

Positive

• 📈 EPS at ₹22.9 reflects earnings base
• 💰 ROCE (14.6%) and ROE (13.2%) highlight operational efficiency
• 🔄 DII holdings increased (+0.54%)
• 💡 Dividend yield of 0.40% supports shareholder returns

Limitation

• ⚠️ High P/E (47.7) compared to industry average (33.7)
• 📉 RSI at 30.9 indicates oversold momentum
• 📊 MACD (-29.0) confirms bearish trend
• 📉 Intraday volume far below weekly average
• 🔻 Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA

Company Negative News

• 📉 PAT declined from ₹644 Cr. to ₹336 Cr. (-14.7%)
• ⚠️ Weak intraday participation and momentum
• 🔻 Decline in FII holdings (-0.78%)

Company Positive News

• 📈 EPS and profitability ratios remain stable
• 💡 DII inflows support investor confidence
• 💰 Dividend yield adds shareholder value

Industry

• 🏗️ Real estate sector supported by housing demand and urban expansion
• 📊 Industry PE at 33.7, lower than company valuation
• 🌍 Long-term demand outlook remains positive with infrastructure growth

Conclusion

⚖️ LODHA shows moderate fundamentals but weak intraday momentum and stretched valuations. Suitable only for cautious intraday trades near support with strict stop-loss. A bounce above ₹1,115–1,135 could trigger short-term upside, but oversold RSI and declining volume warrant caution.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing LODHA against DLF, Godrej Properties, and Oberoi Realty for intraday positioning?