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ITC - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 4.2

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:08 pm

Fundamental Rating: 4.2

Stock Code ITC Market Cap 3,87,657 Cr. Current Price 309 ₹ High / Low 465 ₹
Stock P/E 19.2 Book Value 54.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.64 % ROCE 36.9 %
ROE 27.9 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 362 ₹ DMA 200 398 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.28 % Chg in DII Hold 1.49 % PAT Qtr 5,297 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 5,113 Cr.
RSI 18.4 MACD -17.2 Volume 3,59,70,415 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,55,99,742
Low price 306 ₹ High price 465 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.08 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 2.14 % Qtr Profit Var 5.59 % EPS 27.8 ₹ Industry PE 43.2

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: PAT improved from 5,113 Cr. to 5,297 Cr. QoQ (+5.59%), showing consistent earnings growth.
  • Margins: ROE at 27.9% and ROCE at 36.9% are excellent, reflecting strong efficiency and shareholder returns.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 highlights a debt-free balance sheet, ensuring financial stability.
  • Cash Flow: Dividend yield of 4.64% provides strong shareholder reward, supported by robust cash flows.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 19.2 vs Industry PE of 43.2 → undervalued compared to peers.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price (309 ₹) / Book Value (54.7 ₹) ≈ 5.65, relatively expensive on book value basis.
  • PEG Ratio: 2.08 suggests valuation is stretched relative to growth prospects.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price near 306 ₹ (low) indicates attractive entry zone compared to historical highs (465 ₹).

🏦 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • ITC operates in diversified segments: FMCG, cigarettes, hotels, paperboards, and agribusiness.
  • Competitive advantage lies in strong brand portfolio, wide distribution network, and debt-free structure.
  • Overall health is robust, with consistent profitability and strong cash generation.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive entry between 300 ₹ – 320 ₹, near support levels.
  • Long-Term Holding: Strong fundamentals and undervaluation relative to industry PE make ITC suitable for long-term investors seeking stability and dividends.

✅ Positive

  • Debt-free balance sheet ensures financial stability.
  • Strong ROE (27.9%) and ROCE (36.9%).
  • High dividend yield (4.64%) provides steady income.
  • Undervalued compared to industry PE.

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/B ratio (5.65) indicates expensive valuation relative to book value.
  • PEG ratio (2.08) suggests growth may not fully justify valuation.
  • RSI (18.4) and MACD (-17.2) indicate bearish technicals.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-1.28%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock trading below DMA 50 (362 ₹) and DMA 200 (398 ₹) indicates technical weakness.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+1.49%), reflecting strong domestic institutional support.
  • PAT improved QoQ, showing consistent earnings growth.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 43.2 is much higher than ITC’s PE (19.2), highlighting undervaluation.
  • FMCG and tobacco sectors remain resilient with steady demand.
  • ITC benefits from diversification across FMCG, agribusiness, and hotels.

🔎 Conclusion

  • ITC offers strong fundamentals, excellent return ratios, and a debt-free balance sheet.
  • Valuation is attractive compared to industry peers, making it a good long-term holding.
  • Best suited for investors entering near 300–320 ₹, with potential upside as fundamentals remain strong and dividend yield supports returns.

I can also prepare a comparative HTML report of ITC versus other FMCG giants like HUL and Nestlé India to highlight relative valuation and dividend strength.

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