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IOC - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 08:37 pm

Technical Rating: 3.9

Stock Code IOC Market Cap 2,03,034 Cr. Current Price 144 ₹ High / Low 189 ₹
Stock P/E 5.52 Book Value 145 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.86 % ROCE 17.5 %
ROE 19.2 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 145 ₹ DMA 200 152 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.27 % Chg in DII Hold -0.90 % PAT Qtr 11,378 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 12,126 Cr.
RSI 53.0 MACD -1.01 Volume 1,21,32,282 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,77,49,823
Low price 130 ₹ High price 189 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.09 Debt to equity 0.60
52w Index 23.2 % Qtr Profit Var 56.6 % EPS 26.1 ₹ Industry PE 14.6

📉 IOC is trading near its 50 DMA (₹145) but below the 200 DMA (₹152), reflecting short-term neutrality with medium-term weakness. RSI at 53.0 indicates mild bullish momentum, while MACD is negative (-1.01), showing bearish undertones. Bollinger Bands place price mid-range, suggesting consolidation. Current volume (1.21 Cr.) is below average (1.77 Cr.), showing reduced participation.

🔑 Short-term momentum signals: Neutral-to-bullish, with potential upside if price sustains above ₹150–₹152 zone.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹138–₹144 (support region)

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹160–₹170 (resistance region)

📊 Trend Status: Consolidating with mild bullish bias

Positive

  • Strong ROE (19.2%) and ROCE (17.5%) highlight efficiency
  • Dividend yield of 4.86% provides steady income
  • EPS at ₹26.1 supports valuation strength
  • FII holdings increased (+1.27%), showing foreign investor confidence
  • PEG ratio at 0.09 indicates attractive valuation relative to growth
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.60 remains manageable
  • 52-week return of 23.2% demonstrates investor interest

Limitation

  • Trading below 200 DMA, limiting breakout confirmation
  • MACD negative, confirming bearish crossover
  • Volume below average, limiting breakout strength
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.90%), showing reduced domestic support
  • PAT declined (₹12,126 Cr. → ₹11,378 Cr.)

Company Negative News

  • Decline in quarterly PAT
  • DII holdings reduced (-0.90%)
  • Price trading below long-term averages

Company Positive News

  • FII inflows (+1.27%) support investor confidence
  • Quarterly profit variation (+56.6%) shows resilience
  • Dividend yield at 4.86% adds income cushion

Industry

  • Industry PE at 14.6 highlights IOC’s attractive valuation (P/E 5.52)
  • Energy sector supported by demand recovery but facing margin pressures

Conclusion

⚖️ IOC shows neutral technical momentum with RSI above 50 but negative MACD. Entry is favorable near ₹138–₹144 with profit booking around ₹160–₹170. Trend remains consolidative with mild bullish bias unless price sustains above 200 DMA (₹152). Fundamentals remain strong with high ROE/ROCE and dividend yield, making IOC attractive for tactical trades and medium-term positioning.

Would you like me to extend this into a energy sector overlay comparing IOC’s technicals and valuations against peers like BPCL, HPCL, and ONGC to highlight sector-relative positioning?

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