IOC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.0

📊 Analysis: IOC is trading at ₹163, slightly above its 50 DMA (₹162) and well above its 200 DMA (₹151). RSI at 44.6 indicates neutral-to-weak momentum, while MACD (0.42) shows mild bullishness. Current volume (1.07 Cr.) is below the weekly average (2.30 Cr.), suggesting reduced intraday participation. Fundamentals are solid (EPS ₹16.6, P/E 10.0 vs industry P/E 11.3, dividend yield 3.11%), and quarterly PAT surged significantly (₹5,689 Cr. → ₹7,610 Cr., +1,016%). Intraday setup is moderately favorable, supported by strong fundamentals but limited by weaker momentum.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹161–163 (near 50 DMA support).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹168–172 (short-term resistance zone, near 52-week high).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹158 (below support zone).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹165 or RSI drops below 42 with declining volume.

Positive

• ✅ Strong quarterly PAT growth (+1,016%) shows robust earnings momentum.
• ✅ Dividend yield of 3.11% adds investor confidence.
• ✅ Trading above DMA 50 and DMA 200 supports bullish technical structure.
• ✅ Low P/E (10.0) compared to industry average (11.3), suggesting fair valuation.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI below 50 indicates weak momentum strength.
• ⚠️ Volume below weekly average, limiting intraday breakout potential.
• ⚠️ ROE (6.41%) and ROCE (7.26%) reflect modest capital efficiency.
• ⚠️ Debt-to-equity ratio (0.74) indicates moderate leverage risk.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Weak momentum indicators with RSI below 50 and volume lower than average.

Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly PAT surge from ₹5,689 Cr. to ₹7,610 Cr. (+1,016%).
• 📈 FII inflows (+0.21%) and DII inflows (+0.13%) reflect investor confidence.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry P/E (11.3) is slightly higher than IOC’s P/E (10.0), showing relative undervaluation.
• 🏭 Oil & gas sector remains cyclical but supported by strong demand and government backing.

Conclusion

🔎 IOC shows solid fundamentals and strong quarterly earnings, making it a moderately good intraday candidate. However, weak RSI and below-average volume limit immediate upside momentum. Best suited for cautious intraday trades near support with tight stop-loss, targeting resistance levels for quick gains.

Would you like me to extend this into a basket overlay with peer benchmarking against other oil & gas PSU stocks like BPCL, HPCL, and ONGC to identify stronger intraday setups, or keep the focus strictly on IOC’s intraday exit logic refinement?