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IOC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 11:39 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.8

Stock Code IOC Market Cap 2,09,743 Cr. Current Price 148 ₹ High / Low 189 ₹
Stock P/E 6.42 Book Value 133 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.71 % ROCE 7.26 %
ROE 6.41 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 166 ₹ DMA 200 158 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.88 % Chg in DII Hold -0.42 % PAT Qtr 12,126 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 7,610 Cr.
RSI 28.6 MACD -5.84 Volume 2,15,64,213 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,29,94,778
Low price 120 ₹ High price 189 ₹ PEG Ratio -0.29 Debt to equity 0.74
52w Index 41.3 % Qtr Profit Var 420 % EPS 23.2 ₹ Industry PE 13.7

📉 Analysis: IOC is trading at 148 ₹, well below its 50 DMA (166 ₹) and 200 DMA (158 ₹), showing short-term weakness. RSI at 28.6 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -5.84 confirms bearish momentum. Volume (2.15 Cr.) is slightly below weekly average (2.29 Cr.), suggesting moderate participation. Price action is near support (145 – 148 ₹), offering scope for a short-term bounce but with weak conviction.

💰 Optimal Buy Price: 146 – 148 ₹ (near support zone)

🎯 Profit Exit Levels: 152 ₹ (minor resistance), 156 ₹ (next resistance)

🛑 Stop-Loss: 143 ₹ (support breach)

📊 If Already Holding: Consider exiting intraday near 152 – 156 ₹ if momentum indicators flatten. If price fails to hold above 146 ₹ with weak volume, exit early to protect capital.


✅ Positive

  • Strong quarterly PAT growth from 7,610 Cr. to 12,126 Cr. (+420%).
  • Dividend yield of 4.71% provides strong investor support.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.74 is moderate compared to peers.

⚠️ Limitation

  • PEG ratio (-0.29) indicates poor growth-adjusted valuation.
  • ROCE (7.26%) and ROE (6.41%) reflect modest efficiency.
  • Price trading below DMA levels shows weak medium-term trend.

📰 Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased (-0.42%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.

🌟 Company Positive News

  • FII holdings increased (+0.88%), providing foreign investor support.
  • Quarterly PAT surged significantly (+420%), boosting sentiment.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 13.7 is higher than IOC’s 6.42, suggesting IOC trades at a discount compared to peers.
  • Oil & gas sector remains cyclical, with investor focus on refining margins and global crude price trends.

📌 Conclusion

Intraday setup for IOC is weak with bearish momentum despite strong fundamentals and dividend yield. Aggressive traders may attempt entries near 146 – 148 ₹ with stop-loss at 143 ₹, targeting 152 – 156 ₹. Conservative traders should avoid intraday trades until momentum indicators strengthen and price action confirms reversal. Medium-term outlook remains stable given strong PAT growth and attractive valuation.

Selva, since IOC is a PSU energy major, do you want me to prepare a peer benchmarking overlay comparing it with BPCL, HPCL, and ONGC? That would highlight relative strength and rotation opportunities for compounding setups.

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