IFCI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

✅ Positives

MACD (0.45): Mild bullish crossover, suggesting short-term momentum.

Price > DMA50 (₹55.7) & DMA200 (₹55.2): Trend support confirmed.

Qtr Profit Var (+105%): Strong rebound in earnings.

ROCE (14.9%): Decent operational efficiency.

Volume > 1 Cr: Active participation, though below recent average.

52w Index (60.7%): Mid-range, room for upside if momentum sustains.

⚠️ Concerns

P/E (80.0) vs Industry PE (25.3): Extremely overvalued.

PEG Ratio (3.02): Expensive relative to growth.

EPS (₹0.73): Weak earnings base.

ROE (2.97%): Poor shareholder return.

RSI (68.1): Approaching overbought zone.

PAT Qtr ↓: Sharp sequential drop from ₹273 Cr. to ₹7.38 Cr.

Debt-to-Equity (2.18): High leverage, adds risk.

FII Holding ↓ (-0.21%): Mild foreign outflow.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹56.5–₹58.0

A pullback near DMA levels offers better margin of safety.

Entry should be confirmed with RSI cooling below 60 and MACD sustainment.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹63.5–₹66.0

Resistance zone with ~7–10% swing potential.

Stop Loss: ₹53.5

Below DMA200 and recent support; protects against downside risk.

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