IFCI - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Technical Rating: 3.8

📈 IFCI is trending upward with moderate momentum and strong volume, though valuation and earnings volatility warrant caution.

📊 Technical Analysis

• Trend Status: Trending — price is above both 50-DMA and 200-DMA, indicating bullish bias.
• Moving Averages: Price ₹57.3 is above 50-DMA (₹56.2) and 200-DMA (₹55.5), confirming upward trend continuation.
• RSI (58.2): Bullish zone, suggesting healthy momentum with room to rise.
• MACD (0.34): Positive crossover, indicating early bullish momentum.
• Bollinger Bands: Price near upper band, signaling strength but also short-term resistance.
• Volume: Current volume (1.76 Cr) is significantly above weekly average (1.33 Cr), showing strong participation.

🎯 Entry & Exit Zones

• Support Levels: ₹56.2 (50-DMA), ₹55.5 (200-DMA)
• Resistance Levels: ₹60, ₹65, ₹74.5 (52-week high)
• Optimal Entry: ₹56–₹57 (on pullback)
• Exit Target: ₹65–₹74 (resistance zone)

✅ Positive

• Quarterly profit variation of 105% shows strong earnings rebound.
• ROCE of 14.9% indicates decent capital efficiency.
• FII and DII holdings both increased slightly, showing institutional interest.
• Price has risen 55.8% from its 52-week low, confirming recovery momentum.

⚠️ Limitation

• High P/E (77.6) and PEG (2.93) suggest overvaluation relative to earnings growth.
• ROE (2.97%) is low, indicating weak return on equity.
• Dividend yield is 0%, offering no passive income.

📉 Company Negative News

• Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from ₹273 Cr to ₹7.38 Cr, indicating earnings volatility.

📈 Company Positive News

• EPS of ₹0.73 and strong volume breakout suggest renewed investor interest.
• Institutional accumulation visible through rising FII and DII stakes.

🏭 Industry

• Financial services sector remains active with rising credit demand and restructuring opportunities.
• Industry P/E (23.6) is significantly lower than IFCI’s, indicating premium valuation.

🧾 Conclusion

• IFCI is trending upward with bullish technical signals and strong volume support.
• Entry near ₹56–₹57 could offer a favorable setup with targets around ₹65–₹74.
• Investors should monitor earnings consistency and valuation metrics for sustained upside.