HSCL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Market Pulse & Momentum Signals

The stock is currently consolidating near the 50 DMA (₹487), with promising signs of reversal forming

MACD (4.23): Positive, indicating short-term bullish momentum.

RSI (45.1): Mid-range, neither overbought nor oversold — balanced sentiment.

Volume: Healthy and stable, hovering close to 1-week average.

The technicals suggest momentum is building, but a strong breakout hasn’t occurred yet — caution and timing are key.

💼 Core Fundamentals

Strong Growth Metrics

ROCE (22%) & ROE (16.4%) point to solid operational efficiency.

PEG ratio (0.35) — undervalued relative to growth potential.

EPS of ₹12.4 with P/E slightly above industry average (39.2 vs 37.6) — a tad expensive but earnings trajectory supports it.

Profit Surge: Qtr-on-Qtr PAT growth of 46.3% is a standout — strong momentum from a fundamental side.

Low Debt (0.08): Healthy balance sheet gives the company room to absorb volatility.

Ownership Trends

Slight dip in FII holding (–0.18%) suggests mild caution.

Mild increase in DII holding (+0.21%) shows domestic confidence.

🧠 Trade Strategy

🎯 Entry Point: Look for dips around ₹475–₹480 near the 200 DMA if volume holds steady and RSI starts climbing — that’s a strong technical entry zone.

📤 Exit If Holding: Watch for resistance near ₹510–₹520. If the price struggles to break this range or RSI moves above 65 with flattening MACD, it might be time to lock gains.

🔍 Bottom Line

HSCL has the earnings momentum and low-debt strength to support a short swing, but slightly elevated valuation tempers enthusiasm. Best to wait for confirmation from RSI and price action before jumping in aggressively.

I can run a side-by-side with other stocks if you want a sharper setup — want to see a comparison?

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