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HSCL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:57 am

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code HSCL Market Cap 30,664 Cr. Current Price 608 ₹ High / Low 624 ₹
Stock P/E 40.9 Book Value 91.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.10 % ROCE 22.6 %
ROE 18.1 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 490 ₹ DMA 200 472 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.23 % Chg in DII Hold 0.13 % PAT Qtr 186 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 195 Cr.
RSI 86.7 MACD 34.8 Volume 1,40,03,816 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,42,39,069
Low price 407 ₹ High price 624 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.85 Debt to equity 0.16
52w Index 92.5 % Qtr Profit Var 17.4 % EPS 14.9 ₹ Industry PE 47.0

📉 Chart Patterns & Trend: HSCL is trading well above both its 50 DMA (₹490) and 200 DMA (₹472), confirming a strong uptrend. Current price (₹608) is near its 52-week high (₹624), suggesting bullish momentum but also risk of overextension.

📊 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 86.7 signals extreme overbought conditions. MACD at 34.8 confirms strong bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price hugging the upper band, indicating heightened volatility and possible short-term correction.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (1.40 Cr) is close to average weekly volume (1.42 Cr), showing steady participation but not aggressive accumulation.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹560 – ₹580 (on pullbacks, safer entry after correction).

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹620 – ₹630 (near resistance and 52-week high zone).

🔎 Status: The stock is trending upward but overheated. Likely to consolidate or reverse near resistance unless supported by fresh buying momentum.


Positive

  • Strong ROE (18.1%) and ROCE (22.6%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • PEG ratio of 0.85 suggests fair valuation relative to growth.
  • Quarterly profit growth (+17.4%) supports earnings momentum.
  • Trading above both 50 & 200 DMA confirms bullish trend.

Limitation

  • High RSI (86.7) signals extreme overbought conditions.
  • Dividend yield of 0.10% is negligible.
  • P/E of 40.9 is slightly below industry average (47.0) but still elevated.
  • Volume participation is steady but not expanding, limiting breakout strength.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined slightly (₹186 Cr vs ₹195 Cr previous quarter).
  • Overbought technical indicators suggest potential short-term correction.

Company Positive News

  • FII (+0.23%) and DII (+0.13%) holdings increased, showing investor confidence.
  • EPS of ₹14.9 supports valuation stability.

Industry

  • Chemicals industry trades at a P/E of 47.0, close to HSCL’s valuation.
  • Sector outlook remains positive with demand growth.

Conclusion

⚠️ HSCL is fundamentally stable and technically strong but currently overbought. Entry near ₹560–₹580 is advisable on pullbacks. For current holders, exit near ₹620–₹630 resistance is recommended to lock in gains before potential correction.

Would you like me to prepare a sector overlay comparison with peers like Deepak Nitrite, Aarti Industries, and Tata Chemicals to benchmark HSCL’s relative strength?

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