GVT&D - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

GVT&D looks technically strong but presents valuation risks. The price is nearing its 52-week high, and momentum indicators suggest continued strength — yet the fundamental backdrop is murky due to lack of profitability data and a sky-high P/E.

🧾 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Pressure

P/E: 339 vs Industry PE: 57.2 → Extremely overvalued; suggests speculative pricing

EPS: ₹7.81, Book Value: ₹41.9 → Price far above intrinsic markers

Dividend Yield: 0.20% → Minimal income potential

Balance Sheet

Debt-to-Equity: 0.89 → Slightly elevated, manageable

Missing ROE/ROCE and PAT data → Limits quality of analysis

FII/DII Changes

FII Hold ↑ 1.45%, DII Hold ↓ 1.43% → Institutions show mixed conviction

📉 Technical Strength

Price vs Moving Averages

Current: ₹2,473 above DMA 50: ₹2,263 and DMA 200: ₹1,869 → Clear uptrend

Momentum Indicators

MACD: 47.8 → Strong bullish momentum

RSI: 58.9 → Healthy, not overbought yet

Volume Surge: Above weekly average → Traders are active

52W Index: 92.6% → Near peak levels, high probability of resistance

🎯 Swing Trade Plan

The stock is technically in a strong position and may offer short-term momentum-based returns.

Caution: Valuation and missing fundamentals reduce confidence for aggressive entry.

✅ Optimal Entry Zone

Buy Range: ₹2,420–₹2,455 Enter near short-term support with strict risk control.

🚪 Exit Strategy

Profit Target: ₹2,550–₹2,570 Retest of 52-week high — good exit point if momentum fades.

Stop-Loss: ₹2,385 Below recent breakout level to minimize losses.

Already holding? → Consider exiting near ₹2,550–₹2,570 unless momentum shows signs of sustained breakout (e.g., RSI crossing 65 with MACD climbing further). → Trail stop-loss to lock gains if rally continues.

I can also help explore alternative momentum trades with stronger fundamentals — let me know your risk appetite or sector preference.

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