GVT&D - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.4

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Strong Uptrend: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹2,669) and 200 DMA (₹2,143), confirming bullish structure.

MACD Momentum: At 64.2, MACD shows strong upward momentum—ideal for swing setups.

RSI Elevated: 67.5 suggests strength but nearing overbought territory—watch for reversal signs.

Volume Stable: Current volume (4.41L) is close to 1-week average (4.63L), indicating consistent interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Premium: P/E of 99.9 vs industry average of 49.5 is high, but PEG of 1.23 suggests growth justifies it.

Exceptional Returns: ROCE 54.7%, ROE 40.4%—elite capital efficiency.

Profit Surge: PAT jumped from ₹186 Cr to ₹291 Cr (+116%)—strong earnings momentum.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.02 offers financial stability.

Institutional Sentiment: FII increased (+1.45%), DII reduced (−1.43%)—mixed but net positive.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹2,660–₹2,700: Ideal pullback zone near 50 DMA. Wait for MACD continuation and RSI to hold above 60 before entry.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹3,020–₹3,050: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Consider exiting if RSI crosses 72 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹2,910 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

GVT&D shows a high-conviction swing setup—strong technical momentum, elite ROCE/ROE, and robust earnings growth. While valuation is rich, PEG and institutional interest support the trend. Entry near 50 DMA offers a safer margin, while exit near highs is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

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