GVT&D - Investment Analysis
Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am
Back to Investment List📊 Investment Analysis: Gravita India Ltd. (GVT&D)
Investment Rating: 2.9
🧪 Assessment for Long-Term Investment
Gravita India has seen a remarkable price surge, but its valuation metrics and missing financial data suggest caution for long-term investors. With a P/E of 339, it's currently trading at an extremely expensive multiple—well beyond its industry peers.
✅ Positives
FII Holding Increased (+1.45%) — Indicates confidence from foreign institutions.
Strong Momentum Indicators
MACD: +47.8 — Bullish trend signal.
RSI: 58.9 — Neutral-to-bullish zone.
Volume Surge — Suggests elevated interest and liquidity.
Price near 52W High (₹2,570) — Riding strong momentum.
⚠️ Key Concerns
P/E of 339 vs Industry PE of 57.2 — Signals severe overvaluation.
Missing ROE, ROCE, PAT & Qtr Profit Variation Data — Limits financial clarity.
PEG Ratio Not Provided — Difficult to gauge valuation vs. growth.
Debt-to-Equity: 0.89 — On the higher side; monitor leverage.
Dividend Yield: 0.20% — Minimal income generation.
Book Value: ₹41.9 vs CMP ₹2,473 — Trading at over 59x book, which is excessive.
🎯 Ideal Entry Price Zone
₹2,050–₹2,200
Near 50-DMA support and more reasonable valuation zone.
Avoid fresh entry at current level unless quarterly growth trends justify premium.
🧭 Strategy for Existing Holders
⏳ Suggested Holding Period
6–12 Months (Short-to-Mid Term)
Capitalize on current momentum while tracking earnings & valuation.
🚪 Exit Strategy
Partial booking advised near ₹2,550–₹2,600 (around 52W high).
Full exit if
ROE/ROCE weakens below 10%
Leverage increases or profit stagnates
Momentum fades (RSI crosses 70 or MACD plateaus)
Consider a stop-loss near ₹2,200, just below 50-DMA.
🧠 Final Word
Gravita’s meteoric rise makes it a momentum darling, but valuation excess and limited visibility into profitability create risk. Best suited for tactical traders or momentum followers—long-term investors should wait for more earnings clarity or a valuation reset.
Would you like to unpack its fundamentals against other metal recyclers or specialty material stocks to see if there's better value? I can bring up peers like Hindustan Zinc or Vedanta if helpful.
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