GNFC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is below both 50 DMA (₹522) and 200 DMA (₹545), indicating a short-term downtrend.

MACD Negative: At −4.85, MACD confirms bearish momentum—no sign of reversal yet.

RSI Neutral: 50.0 suggests consolidation—neither oversold nor ready for breakout.

Volume Surge: Current volume (5.12L) is more than double the 1-week average (2.37L), showing renewed interest despite weak momentum.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Attractive: P/E of 13.8 vs industry average of 21.9 and PEG of −0.46—undervalued but earnings contraction is a concern.

Moderate Efficiency: ROCE 9.7%, ROE 7.03%—acceptable but not swing-grade elite.

Strong Dividend: Yield of 3.49% adds cushion for holding periods.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.01 supports financial stability.

Profit Decline: PAT dropped from ₹210 Cr to ₹78 Cr (−32.2%)—a major concern for earnings momentum.

Institutional Sentiment: FII reduced (−2.36%), DII increased (+0.35%)—mixed but net cautious.

📈 Analyst Sentiment

GNFC is currently trading near its 52-week low, which may offer value opportunity. However, long-term trend remains bearish. That said, multiple sources forecast a 2025 price target range of ₹745–₹851, implying a potential upside of 44–65% from current levels

1

2

3

.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹495–₹505: Near recent support and below 50 DMA. Entry only if MACD flattens and RSI crosses 55 with volume confirmation.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹695–₹702: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD turns flat.

Trailing Stop: ₹488 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

GNFC offers a value-driven swing setup with strong dividend yield, low debt, and attractive valuation. However, technicals are weak and earnings have contracted sharply. Best suited for cautious entries near support with confirmation. Exit near ₹700 is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

Want me to prep a filtered basket with PEG < 1, ROCE > 15%, and MACD > 5 for higher-conviction swing setups?

1

viestories.com

2

stockpricearchive.com

3

marketinindia.com

Edit in a page