FIRSTCRY - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.6
| Stock Code | FIRSTCRY | Market Cap | 10,961 Cr. | Current Price | 210 ₹ | High / Low | 439 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 173 | Book Value | 118 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 2.33 % |
| ROE | 1.17 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 244 ₹ | DMA 200 | 321 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.21 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.93 % | PAT Qtr | 15.3 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 28.9 Cr. |
| RSI | 35.2 | MACD | -9.60 | Volume | 10,18,034 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 25,22,961 |
| Low price | 207 ₹ | High price | 439 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.65 | Debt to equity | 0.08 |
| 52w Index | 1.30 % | Qtr Profit Var | -59.2 % | EPS | 1.77 ₹ | Industry PE | 38.4 |
Analysis: FirstCry (FIRSTCRY) shows weak fundamentals and technical signals. At ₹210, the stock is trading well below both its 50 DMA (₹244) and 200 DMA (₹321), reflecting bearish sentiment. RSI at 35.2 suggests near oversold conditions, while MACD at -9.60 confirms weak momentum. The P/E of 173 is extremely high compared to the industry average (38.4), indicating severe overvaluation. ROCE (2.33%) and ROE (1.17%) are very low, showing poor efficiency. EPS of ₹1.77 and PEG ratio of 3.65 highlight weak growth-adjusted value. Quarterly PAT fell from ₹28.9 Cr. to ₹15.3 Cr. (-59.2%), raising concerns. Swing trade potential is limited and risky, suitable only for short-term rebound trades near support.
Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹205–₹210, close to current support levels.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹240–₹250, where resistance aligns with the 50 DMA. A stop-loss near ₹200 is advisable to manage downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08).
- DII holdings increased (+0.93%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Strong brand presence in the retail and e-commerce sector.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E of 173 vs industry 38.4.
- Weak ROCE (2.33%) and ROE (1.17%).
- Stock trading below both 50 & 200 DMA.
- Dividend yield is 0%, offering no investor return.
📰 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT declined sharply (-59.2%).
- FII holdings decreased (-1.21%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+0.93%), showing domestic support.
- 52-week index performance (+1.30%) shows some resilience despite correction.
🏭 Industry
- Retail and e-commerce sector benefits from rising consumer demand and digital adoption.
- Industry P/E at 38.4 indicates moderate valuations compared to FirstCry’s extreme premium pricing.
📌 Conclusion
FirstCry is fundamentally weak with poor efficiency metrics and extreme overvaluation. Technical indicators remain bearish, limiting swing trade potential. Entry near ₹205–₹210 may be considered for a short-term rebound, with exit around ₹240–₹250. Overall, caution is strongly advised due to weak profitability and valuation risks.