FIRSTCRY - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.6
| Stock Code | FIRSTCRY | Market Cap | 12,449 Cr. | Current Price | 238 ₹ | High / Low | 439 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 197 | Book Value | 118 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 2.33 % |
| ROE | 1.17 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 242 ₹ | DMA 200 | 302 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.49 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.70 % | PAT Qtr | 15.3 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 28.9 Cr. |
| RSI | 46.9 | MACD | 2.75 | Volume | 9,60,772 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 10,02,361 |
| Low price | 207 ₹ | High price | 439 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 4.15 | Debt to equity | 0.08 |
| 52w Index | 13.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | -59.2 % | EPS | 1.77 ₹ | Industry PE | 37.8 |
FirstCry (FIRSTCRY) shows weak fundamentals and limited technical strength for swing trading. The stock is priced at ₹238, slightly below its 50 DMA (₹242) and well below its 200 DMA (₹302), indicating bearish sentiment. The P/E ratio (197 vs. industry average 37.8) suggests extreme overvaluation. ROCE (2.33%) and ROE (1.17%) are very low, reflecting poor efficiency. Technical indicators (RSI 46.9, MACD positive) show mild recovery but not strong momentum. Quarterly PAT declined (₹28.9 Cr. → ₹15.3 Cr.), with profit variation at -59.2%, raising concerns.
🔑 Optimal Entry Price: ₹220–225, closer to support levels around ₹207.
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹260–270 resistance zone, or if price fails to sustain above ₹240 with volume confirmation.
✅ Positive
- EPS at ₹1.77, showing earnings presence despite weak margins
- DII holdings increased (+1.70%), reflecting some institutional confidence
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08)
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E ratio (197 vs. industry 37.8)
- Weak ROCE (2.33%) and ROE (1.17%)
- Quarterly PAT decline and negative profit variation (-59.2%)
📉 Company Negative News
- Sharp decline in quarterly profits
- FII holdings decreased (-0.49%)
- Stock trading below long-term averages
📈 Company Positive News
- MACD positive, showing mild bullish momentum
- DII stake increased, signaling domestic institutional support
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 37.8, much lower than FirstCry’s valuation
- Retail/e-commerce sector has growth potential but faces intense competition and margin pressures
🔮 Conclusion
FirstCry is a weak candidate for swing trading due to overvaluation, poor efficiency, and declining profits. Entry near ₹220–225 with a strict stop-loss below ₹207 is advisable. Exit near ₹260–270 if momentum builds. Risk remains high, so traders should approach cautiously and limit exposure.