FIRSTCRY - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | FIRSTCRY | Market Cap | 11,260 Cr. | Current Price | 216 ₹ | High / Low | 439 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 152 | Book Value | 122 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 2.02 % |
| ROE | 1.20 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 228 ₹ | DMA 200 | 280 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.49 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.70 % | PAT Qtr | 31.7 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 15.3 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.0 | MACD | -3.94 | Volume | 9,53,304 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 7,29,772 |
| Low price | 207 ₹ | High price | 439 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 4.30 | Debt to equity | 0.07 |
| 52w Index | 3.76 % | Qtr Profit Var | 99.3 % | EPS | 2.09 ₹ | Industry PE | 49.7 |
FIRSTCRY shows weak fundamentals for swing trading despite short-term profit improvement. The company’s profitability ratios are very low (ROCE 2.02%, ROE 1.20%), and EPS is only 2.09 ₹, while the P/E ratio of 152 is extremely high compared to the industry average of 49.7. Technical indicators are bearish — RSI at 40.0 suggests oversold conditions, and MACD at -3.94 confirms downward momentum. Quarterly PAT improved (15.3 Cr. → 31.7 Cr.), but overall earnings remain modest. Institutional activity is mixed, with FII holding down (-0.49%) and DII holding up (+1.70%). Overall, FIRSTCRY is risky for swing trading due to stretched valuations and weak profitability.
Optimal Entry Price: 210–215 ₹ (near recent low support)
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 240–250 ₹ resistance or if RSI rises above 55.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Quarterly PAT growth (15.3 Cr. → 31.7 Cr.).
- 📊 Increase in DII holding (+1.70%).
- 📉 Support near DMA 50 at 228 ₹ offers a potential entry zone.
- 💰 Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📌 Extremely high P/E ratio of 152 vs industry average of 49.7.
- 📌 Very weak ROCE (2.02%) and ROE (1.20%).
- 📌 PEG ratio of 4.30 indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Reduction in FII holding (-0.49%).
- 📉 Weak profitability metrics compared to peers.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Strong quarterly PAT improvement.
- 📈 Increase in DII holding shows domestic investor confidence.
- 📈 Low leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07.
🏭 Industry
- 🛒 E-commerce and retail sector benefits from rising consumer demand and digital adoption.
- 📌 Industry P/E at 49.7, showing FIRSTCRY trades at a significant premium valuation.
📌 Conclusion
FIRSTCRY is fundamentally weak with stretched valuations and poor profitability, making it a risky candidate for swing trading. Entry near 210–215 ₹ offers limited risk-reward, while exit near 240–250 ₹ is optimal. Traders should exercise caution and closely monitor earnings performance before entering positions.