FIRSTCRY - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.0

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Positives

MACD at 6.51 and RSI at 54.7 — mild bullish momentum, with room to trend higher.

Price above DMA50 (₹377) — short-term support holding.

Debt-to-equity 0.08 — low leverage, financially stable.

DII holding increased (+0.57%) — domestic institutional interest.

Qtr Profit Var +1,225% — sharp rebound, though from a low base.

⚠️ Weaknesses

P/E of 323 vs industry 37.7 — extremely overvalued.

PEG ratio 6.80 — expensive relative to growth.

ROCE (2.33%) and ROE (1.17%) — poor capital efficiency.

EPS ₹1.21 and Book Value ₹116 — weak intrinsic metrics.

FII holding dipped (-0.91%) — foreign sentiment softening.

Volume below average — short-term interest fading.

52w Index at 23.1% — trading near lows, no breakout confirmation.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

Brokerage houses like BofA and Morgan Stanley have issued buy ratings on FirstCry (Brainbees Solutions), citing improving fundamentals and margin potential

1

2

. However, the stock is still recovering from a steep decline and trading at just 23% of its 52-week range. Analysts suggest a breakout above ₹675–₹680 could trigger a bullish phase

2

, but current levels remain speculative for swing entries.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹375–₹385, near DMA50 and volume shelf.

Confirm entry only if RSI crosses 58 and MACD remains positive with volume >20L.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹410–₹430 (near short-term resistance and psychological round).

Stop-loss: ₹360 (below DMA50 and recent swing low).

Exit trigger: RSI > 65 or MACD divergence near ₹430.

This setup is speculative with valuation risks but improving sentiment. If you're basket-optimizing across e-commerce or consumer tech, I can scan for peers with stronger PEG and breakout setups. Just say the word.

1

www.etnownews.com

2

sharedhan.com

Edit in a page