FIRSTCRY - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:00 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.6
| Stock Code | FIRSTCRY | Market Cap | 15,488 Cr. | Current Price | 297 ₹ | High / Low | 665 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 181 | Book Value | 118 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 2.33 % |
| ROE | 1.17 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 322 ₹ | DMA 200 | 381 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.81 % | Chg in DII Hold | 2.39 % | PAT Qtr | 28.9 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 3.18 Cr. |
| RSI | 43.6 | MACD | -11.5 | Volume | 21,62,175 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 11,73,045 |
| Low price | 277 ₹ | High price | 665 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.82 | Debt to equity | 0.08 |
| 52w Index | 5.08 % | Qtr Profit Var | 346 % | EPS | 1.61 ₹ | Industry PE | 42.2 |
📊 FirstCry shows weak potential for swing trading at current levels. The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (322 ₹) and 200 DMA (381 ₹), with RSI at 43.6 indicating mildly oversold conditions. MACD is negative (-11.5), suggesting bearish momentum. Extremely high P/E of 181 compared to industry PE of 42.2 and weak ROE/ROCE limit upside. Optimal entry would be closer to 280–290 ₹ (near support). If already holding, consider exiting near 320–330 ₹ unless momentum improves.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Market cap of 15,488 Cr. provides stability.
- 💹 Quarterly PAT improved sharply to 28.9 Cr. from 3.18 Cr. (+346% variation).
- 📊 DII holdings increased (+2.39%), showing domestic investor confidence.
- 📉 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08), indicating financial stability.
- 📊 EPS of 1.61 ₹ shows earnings recovery.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Extremely high P/E of 181 compared to industry PE of 42.2.
- 📉 Weak ROCE (2.33%) and ROE (1.17%).
- 📉 PEG ratio of 3.82, suggesting overvaluation relative to growth.
- 📉 Dividend yield at 0.00%, offering no income support.
- 📉 FII holdings decreased (-1.81%).
🚨 Company Negative News
No major fresh negative news reported, but weak fundamentals, high valuation, and reduced FII interest remain concerns.
🌟 Company Positive News
Strong quarterly profit recovery and rising DII support highlight improving sentiment despite weak fundamentals.
🏭 Industry
The retail and e-commerce industry trades at an average PE of 42.2. FirstCry’s valuation is far above peers, reflecting speculative interest rather than fundamentals.
📌 Conclusion
FirstCry is a risky swing trade candidate due to stretched valuations and weak return ratios. Best entry near 280–290 ₹ (close to support levels). If already holding, exit near 320–330 ₹ unless momentum breaks resistance. Risk-reward is unfavorable, with caution advised despite recent profit recovery.
I can also prepare a comparison of FirstCry with peers like Nykaa or Zomato to highlight relative swing trade opportunities in the e-commerce sector.
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