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FIRSTCRY - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.6

Stock Code FIRSTCRY Market Cap 11,161 Cr. Current Price 214 ₹ High / Low 439 ₹
Stock P/E 176 Book Value 118 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 2.33 %
ROE 1.17 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 246 ₹ DMA 200 322 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.21 % Chg in DII Hold 0.93 % PAT Qtr 15.3 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 28.9 Cr.
RSI 37.6 MACD -9.65 Volume 14,12,207 Avg Vol 1Wk 25,13,524
Low price 207 ₹ High price 439 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.72 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 2.87 % Qtr Profit Var -59.2 % EPS 1.77 ₹ Industry PE 39.7

📊 Financials

  • Revenue Growth: PAT declined from 28.9 Cr. to 15.3 Cr. (-59.2% QoQ)
  • Profit Margins: EPS at 1.77 ₹, very low relative to valuation
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-Equity 0.08, low leverage
  • Cash Flows: Supported by retail operations, but profitability weak
  • Return Metrics: ROE 1.17%, ROCE 2.33% — poor efficiency

💹 Valuation

  • P/E Ratio: 176 (extremely high vs Industry PE 39.7)
  • P/B Ratio: ~5.5 (premium, reflects growth expectations)
  • PEG Ratio: 3.72 (suggests overvaluation relative to growth)
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price (214 ₹) below DMA 50 (246 ₹) & DMA 200 (322 ₹), showing technical weakness

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Leading e-commerce platform for baby and kids’ products
  • Strong brand recognition and niche positioning
  • Competitive advantage in specialized retail segment
  • Weak profitability metrics limit overall health

📈 Entry Zone Recommendation

  • Entry Zone: 200–215 ₹ (near support levels, RSI at 37.6)
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable only for high-risk investors betting on e-commerce growth; valuations are stretched

✅ Positive

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08)
  • DII holding increased (+0.93%)
  • Strong brand presence in niche retail

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (176)
  • Weak ROE (1.17%) and ROCE (2.33%)
  • Quarterly PAT declined significantly (-59.2%)
  • Stock trading below DMA 50 & 200, showing weakness

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased (-1.21%)
  • Quarterly profit decline

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.93%)
  • Strong brand recognition in kids’ retail

🏭 Industry

  • E-commerce and retail industry growing steadily with digital adoption
  • Industry PE at 39.7, FirstCry trades at a steep premium

🔎 Conclusion

FirstCry is a niche e-commerce player with strong brand recognition but weak profitability metrics. Valuations are extremely stretched with a P/E of 176 and PEG of 3.72, while ROE and ROCE remain poor. Entry around 200–215 ₹ may be considered for long-term investors with high risk appetite, but caution is advised due to earnings volatility and premium valuation.

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