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FIRSTCRY - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:57 am

Fundamental Rating: 2.8

Stock Code FIRSTCRY Market Cap 12,488 Cr. Current Price 239 ₹ High / Low 439 ₹
Stock P/E 197 Book Value 118 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 2.33 %
ROE 1.17 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 243 ₹ DMA 200 302 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.49 % Chg in DII Hold 1.70 % PAT Qtr 15.3 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 28.9 Cr.
RSI 48.7 MACD 3.64 Volume 10,68,661 Avg Vol 1Wk 11,62,904
Low price 207 ₹ High price 439 ₹ PEG Ratio 4.16 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 13.9 % Qtr Profit Var -59.2 % EPS 1.77 ₹ Industry PE 38.0

📊 FirstCry (FIRSTCRY) shows weak fundamentals despite strong brand presence in the e-commerce retail space. ROCE at 2.33% and ROE at 1.17% highlight poor efficiency, while debt-to-equity at 0.08 reflects low leverage. EPS of 1.77 ₹ is very weak relative to market cap, limiting intrinsic value comfort. Valuations are extremely stretched with a P/E of 197 vs industry average of 38.0, and PEG ratio of 4.16 indicates expensive growth. Quarterly PAT declined sharply (15.3 Cr. vs 28.9 Cr., -59.2%), showing earnings volatility. Dividend yield is 0.00%, offering no income support. Overall, while the company benefits from strong domestic demand and institutional support, profitability and valuation risks remain significant.

💡 Entry Zone: 225–235 ₹ (near support levels below 50 DMA).

📈 Long-Term Holding Guidance: Risky for long-term investors due to poor efficiency and extreme valuations. Suitable only for speculative positions or short-term momentum trades. Avoid heavy accumulation until ROE/ROCE improve and valuations compress.

✅ Positive

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08) ensures financial stability.
  • DII holdings increased (+1.70%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • MACD (3.64) and RSI (48.7) indicate neutral-to-positive momentum.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (197) vs industry average (38.0).
  • Weak ROCE (2.33%) and ROE (1.17%).
  • PEG ratio of 4.16 suggests expensive growth.
  • Dividend yield of 0.00% offers no income support.
  • Quarterly PAT decline (-59.2%) reflects earnings volatility.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Sharp decline in quarterly profits (28.9 Cr. → 15.3 Cr.).
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.49%), reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+1.70%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong brand presence in e-commerce retail sector.

🏭 Industry

  • E-commerce retail sector enjoys strong demand but faces intense competition.
  • Industry P/E at 38.0 highlights moderate valuations compared to FirstCry’s extreme premium.

🔎 Conclusion

⚖️ FirstCry is fundamentally weak with poor efficiency metrics and extreme valuations. Entry near 225–235 ₹ offers a cautious accumulation zone for speculative investors. Long-term holding is risky unless profitability improves and valuations normalize. Current positioning is better suited for short-term momentum trades rather than long-term portfolios.

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