DLF - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Strengths

Price Action: Trading above both 50 DMA (₹777) and 200 DMA (₹773), indicating short-term stability.

RSI (57.0): Neutral-bullish zone, with room to rise before overbought.

Volume: Reasonably strong, though slightly below 1-week average—momentum is steady.

Debt-to-Equity (0.11): Very low leverage—adds margin of safety.

Qtr Profit Var (+962%): Massive jump, though likely due to one-off accounting or asset sale.

⚠️ Weaknesses

MACD (–0.02): Flat to slightly negative—momentum is indecisive.

P/E (120) vs Industry PE (40.7): Extremely overvalued.

PEG (17.8): Suggests poor growth-adjusted valuation.

ROCE (8.34%) & ROE (6.30%): Weak capital efficiency.

EPS (₹6.53): Low earnings base relative to price.

FII Outflow (–0.29%): Mild foreign investor caution.

52W Index (55.5%): Mid-range performance—no breakout confirmation.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹765–₹775 (near VWAP and support zone)

Momentum Entry: ₹785–₹790 if RSI crosses 60 and MACD turns positive

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹820–₹835 (next resistance zone)

Stop Loss: ₹745 (below recent support and VWAP)

Exit Trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD diverges negatively

Selva, DLF is technically stable but fundamentally stretched. If you're building a real estate basket, this could be a tactical inclusion with tight risk control. Broker targets range from ₹854 to ₹1005, suggesting limited upside from current levels

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