DLF - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

📊 DLF currently shows weak technical momentum for swing trading. The stock trades at ₹691, below both 50 DMA (₹729) and 200 DMA (₹755), indicating bearish sentiment. RSI at 30.9 suggests oversold conditions, but MACD (-16.1) confirms negative momentum. Valuation is stretched with a P/E of 76.1 compared to industry average of 33.7. Optimal entry would be near ₹670–₹680 if support holds. If already holding, exit near ₹720–₹740 resistance unless momentum improves.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong quarterly PAT growth from ₹40.3 Cr. to ₹818 Cr. (+325%)
• 📉 Debt-to-equity at 0.05 shows strong balance sheet
• 💰 Dividend yield at 0.88% adds investor appeal
• 📊 DII holding increased (+0.20%), showing domestic investor confidence

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
• 📊 RSI at 30.9 indicates oversold but weak recovery signals
• 📉 High P/E ratio (76.1 vs industry 33.7)
• ⚠️ Low ROCE (8.34%) and ROE (6.30%) compared to peers

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.52%)
• ⚠️ EPS at ₹9.85 remains modest despite high valuation

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Exceptional quarterly profit growth (+325%)
• 📉 Strong balance sheet with minimal debt

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry P/E at 33.7, much lower than company’s 76.1
• 📈 Real estate sector showing cyclical demand recovery

📌 Conclusion

⚖️ DLF is a weak swing trade candidate at present due to stretched valuations and bearish technicals. Entry is only favorable near ₹670–₹680 if support holds. For existing holders, exit near ₹720–₹740 resistance is advisable unless RSI and MACD show stronger recovery.

I can also outline short-term support and resistance zones for DLF so you can track entry and exit levels more clearly.