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DLF - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:08 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.6

Stock Code DLF Market Cap 1,51,955 Cr. Current Price 613 ₹ High / Low 888 ₹
Stock P/E 55.6 Book Value 117 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.98 % ROCE 8.34 %
ROE 6.30 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 676 ₹ DMA 200 731 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.64 % Chg in DII Hold 0.57 % PAT Qtr 326 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 818 Cr.
RSI 36.3 MACD -20.4 Volume 37,18,869 Avg Vol 1Wk 58,68,237
Low price 587 ₹ High price 888 ₹ PEG Ratio 8.30 Debt to equity 0.05
52w Index 8.87 % Qtr Profit Var 304 % EPS 11.7 ₹ Industry PE 30.2

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profit Growth: Quarterly PAT fell sharply from 818 Cr. to 326 Cr., showing earnings volatility despite reported profit variation of 304% YoY.
  • Profit Margins: ROE at 6.30% and ROCE at 8.34% are weak, reflecting modest efficiency.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity at 0.05 highlights a debt-light balance sheet.
  • Cash Flows: Dividend yield of 0.98% provides limited shareholder returns.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 55.6 vs Industry PE of 30.2, indicating significant overvaluation.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price 613 ₹ / Book Value 117 ₹ ≈ 5.24, showing premium valuation.
  • PEG Ratio: 8.30, suggesting growth is priced expensively.
  • Intrinsic Value: Estimated fair value around 570–590 ₹, making current price slightly above fair zone.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • DLF is India’s largest real estate developer with strong presence in residential, commercial, and retail projects.
  • Competitive advantage lies in scale, brand recognition, and extensive land bank.
  • However, real estate is cyclical, and earnings volatility remains a challenge.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation range between 570–590 ₹, closer to intrinsic value and near support levels.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for long-term investors seeking exposure to real estate growth, but valuation and profit volatility require cautious entry.

✅ Positive

  • Debt-light structure with debt-to-equity at 0.05.
  • Strong brand recognition and leadership in real estate sector.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.57%), showing domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E ratio compared to industry average, indicating overvaluation.
  • Weak ROE (6.30%) and ROCE (8.34%) highlight poor efficiency.
  • Stock trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200, showing weak momentum.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Decline in FII holding (-0.64%) indicates reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly PAT dropped significantly, reflecting earnings pressure.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.57%), showing domestic support.
  • Debt-light balance sheet provides financial stability.

🏭 Industry

  • Real estate industry PE at 30.2, lower than DLF’s 55.6, suggesting relative overvaluation.
  • Industry growth supported by urbanization, housing demand, and commercial expansion.

🔎 Conclusion

  • DLF is a market leader in real estate with strong brand and low debt.
  • Valuation is stretched compared to industry peers, and earnings volatility is a concern.
  • Best suited for long-term investors with cautious entry around 570–590 ₹; accumulation strategy recommended for exposure to India’s real estate growth story.

I can also expand on real estate demand cycles (residential vs. commercial) to show how they might impact DLF’s earnings trajectory if you’d like.

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