DELHIVERY - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

📊 DELHIVERY currently shows weak potential for swing trading. The stock trades at ₹406, below both 50 DMA (₹428) and 200 DMA (₹410), reflecting bearish sentiment. RSI at 40.6 is neutral but leaning weak, while MACD (-9.40) signals negative momentum. Valuation is highly stretched with a P/E of 109 compared to industry average of 24.5, and fundamentals (ROCE 2.71%, ROE 1.78%) remain modest. Optimal entry would be near ₹390–₹400 if support holds. If already holding, exit near ₹430–₹440 resistance unless momentum improves.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Quarterly profit variation shows strong growth (+216%)
• 📊 DII holding increased (+2.45%), showing domestic investor confidence
• 📉 Debt-to-equity at 0.15 indicates controlled leverage

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
• 📊 RSI neutral but MACD negative
• 📉 Extremely high P/E ratio (109 vs industry 24.5)
• ⚠️ Weak ROCE (2.71%) and ROE (1.78%)

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 PAT declined from ₹114 Cr. to ₹61.2 Cr. quarter-on-quarter
• ⚠️ EPS at ₹2.64 remains modest compared to valuation
• 📉 FII holding decreased (-1.30%)

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Strong quarterly profit growth (+216%)
• 📊 Domestic institutional investors increasing stake

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry P/E at 24.5, far lower than company’s 109
• 📈 Logistics sector has long-term growth potential but near-term valuations remain stretched

📌 Conclusion

⚖️ DELHIVERY is not an ideal swing trade candidate due to stretched valuations and weak fundamentals. Entry is only favorable near ₹390–₹400 if support holds. For existing holders, exit near ₹430–₹440 resistance is advisable unless RSI and MACD show stronger recovery.

I can also prepare a peer comparison within the logistics sector to highlight whether DELHIVERY is underperforming or overvalued relative to competitors.