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DELHIVERY - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:08 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.4

Stock Code DELHIVERY Market Cap 32,720 Cr. Current Price 437 ₹ High / Low 490 ₹
Stock P/E 97.0 Book Value 135 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 2.71 %
ROE 1.78 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 412 ₹ DMA 200 409 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -3.08 % Chg in DII Hold 2.93 % PAT Qtr 101 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 61.2 Cr.
RSI 66.0 MACD 1.80 Volume 1,05,83,924 Avg Vol 1Wk 51,16,982
Low price 237 ₹ High price 490 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.23 Debt to equity 0.15
52w Index 79.0 % Qtr Profit Var 141 % EPS 3.13 ₹ Industry PE 23.3

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profit Growth: Quarterly PAT rose from 61.2 Cr. to 101 Cr. (+141%), showing strong sequential growth but overall margins remain thin.
  • Profit Margins: ROE at 1.78% and ROCE at 2.71% are very weak, reflecting poor efficiency.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity at 0.15 highlights a low-leverage balance sheet.
  • Cash Flows: Dividend yield at 0.00% indicates reinvestment focus, with no direct shareholder returns.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 97.0 vs Industry PE of 23.3, showing extreme overvaluation.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price 437 ₹ / Book Value 135 ₹ ≈ 3.24, moderately high.
  • PEG Ratio: 3.23, suggesting growth is priced expensively.
  • Intrinsic Value: Estimated fair value around 370–390 ₹, making current price significantly overvalued.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Delhivery is a leading logistics and supply chain services provider in India.
  • Competitive advantage lies in scale, technology-driven operations, and diversified logistics solutions (express parcel, freight, warehousing).
  • However, profitability remains weak due to high operating costs and competitive industry dynamics.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive only if price corrects to 370–390 ₹, closer to intrinsic value.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors seeking exposure to India’s e-commerce and logistics growth, but high valuation and weak return ratios require cautious entry.

✅ Positive

  • Strong sequential PAT growth (+141%).
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.15), manageable leverage.
  • DII holdings increased (+2.93%), showing strong domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio compared to industry average.
  • Weak ROE (1.78%) and ROCE (2.71%) highlight poor efficiency.
  • Dividend yield at 0.00% offers no direct shareholder returns.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Decline in FII holding (-3.08%) indicates reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • High valuation multiples make the stock vulnerable to correction.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+2.93%), showing strong domestic support.
  • Sequential PAT growth reinforces operational improvement.

🏭 Industry

  • Logistics industry PE at 23.3, much lower than Delhivery’s 97.0, suggesting relative overvaluation.
  • Industry growth supported by rising e-commerce penetration and supply chain modernization.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Delhivery is a major logistics player with strong growth momentum but weak profitability.
  • Valuation is extremely stretched compared to industry peers, making current levels unattractive for fresh entry.
  • Best suited for long-term investors only if price corrects to 370–390 ₹; cautious accumulation advised for exposure to India’s logistics and e-commerce growth story.

I can also expand on India’s e-commerce growth trends to show how they could further influence Delhivery’s long-term earnings trajectory.

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