CASTROLIND - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

📉 Technical & Momentum Overview

🔻 Weak Momentum Signals

MACD (-2.29): Bearish crossover, momentum fading.

RSI (49.3): Neutral zone, no clear strength.

Volume Drop: Current volume (11.4L) is ~52% below 1-week average (23.8L), indicating reduced trader interest.

📊 Price Action

Current Price (₹203) is below both 50 DMA (₹207) and 200 DMA (₹210), suggesting short-term weakness.

52W High/Low: Trading ~21% below peak (₹257), but ~25% above low (₹163)—range-bound behavior.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Strengths

ROCE (55.2%) & ROE (41.8%): Excellent capital efficiency.

Dividend Yield (4.18%): Attractive for income-focused investors.

Low Debt (0.04): Financially sound.

Consistent PAT: ₹244 Cr vs ₹233 Cr shows stable earnings.

⚠️ Concerns

PEG (3.17): Overvalued relative to growth.

P/E (21.0) vs Industry P/E (18.8): Slight premium.

FII Outflow (-0.33%): Mild institutional caution.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Wait for Reversal Confirmation: Entry only above ₹210 with MACD crossover and volume recovery.

Aggressive Entry: ₹198–₹202 if RSI rises above 55 and MACD flattens.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹215–₹220 (near resistance and 200 DMA)

Stop Loss: ₹192 (below recent support zone)

Exit Trigger: MACD remains negative or RSI dips below 45

This setup leans defensive. If you're building a basket, CASTROLIND could serve as a low-beta anchor with income yield, but not a momentum leader. Want help scripting alerts for MACD reversal or volume breakout?

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