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CASTROLIND - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code CASTROLIND Market Cap 18,534 Cr. Current Price 187 ₹ High / Low 232 ₹
Stock P/E 19.3 Book Value 19.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.66 % ROCE 60.3 %
ROE 45.9 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 187 ₹ DMA 200 195 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.59 % Chg in DII Hold -0.37 % PAT Qtr 261 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 228 Cr.
RSI 54.0 MACD -0.06 Volume 24,33,299 Avg Vol 1Wk 20,68,783
Low price 181 ₹ High price 232 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.36 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 13.2 % Qtr Profit Var -3.87 % EPS 9.60 ₹ Industry PE 12.5

📈 Chart & Trend: CASTROLIND is trading at ₹187, exactly at its 50 DMA (₹187) but below its 200 DMA (₹195). This indicates consolidation with mild weakness in the medium term.

📊 Momentum Indicators:

- RSI at 54.0 suggests neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.

- MACD at -0.06 shows flat bearish crossover, indicating indecision.

- Bollinger Bands: Price near mid-band, no breakout signal.

- Volume: Current volume (24.3 lakh) is slightly higher than 1-week average (20.6 lakh), showing healthy participation.

🔑 Support & Resistance:

- Support zone: ₹182–₹185

- Resistance zone: ₹192–₹195 (near 200 DMA)

- Breakout resistance: ₹205–₹210

- Long-term support: ₹181

📌 Entry & Exit Zones:

- Entry: ₹182–₹187 (near support and 50 DMA)

- Exit: ₹192–₹205 (resistance zone)

- Stop-loss: ₹178

📉 Trend Status: Consolidating with mild bearish bias. Needs a breakout above ₹195–₹200 to confirm trend reversal.


Positive

  • ROCE at 60.3% and ROE at 45.9% reflect exceptional efficiency and shareholder returns.
  • Dividend yield of 4.66% provides strong income support.
  • Quarterly PAT at ₹261 Cr vs ₹228 Cr shows sequential improvement.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 indicates negligible leverage.

Limitation

  • PEG ratio of 3.36 suggests valuation is expensive relative to growth.
  • Stock P/E of 19.3 is higher than industry PE of 12.5, showing premium valuation.
  • Quarterly profit variation at -3.87% indicates earnings pressure.
  • FII (-0.59%) and DII (-0.37%) holdings declined, showing reduced institutional confidence.

Company Negative News

  • No major recent negative news reported, but declining institutional holdings and earnings pressure are concerns.

Company Positive News

  • Strong dividend yield and high ROCE/ROE highlight financial strength.
  • Sequential PAT growth supports earnings momentum.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 12.5 vs stock PE at 19.3 shows CASTROLIND trades at a premium.
  • Lubricants sector remains stable with steady demand, though competition and pricing pressures persist.

Conclusion

⚡ CASTROLIND is consolidating near its 50 DMA, with resistance at ₹195–₹200. Entry near ₹182–₹187 offers margin of safety, with exit targets around ₹192–₹205. Strong fundamentals, high dividend yield, and efficiency support long-term prospects, but premium valuation and declining institutional interest pose short-term risks.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing CASTROLIND with other lubricant and specialty chemical companies (like Gulf Oil, Tide Water Oil, and Savita Oil) to highlight relative strength and valuation gaps?

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