ASHOKLEY - Investment Analysis: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?
Back to ListInvestment Rating: 4.2
| Stock Code | ASHOKLEY | Market Cap | 1,18,018 Cr. | Current Price | 201 ₹ | High / Low | 205 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 34.6 | Book Value | 19.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.56 % | ROCE | 36.5 % |
| ROE | 31.4 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 178 ₹ | DMA 200 | 147 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.09 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.14 % | PAT Qtr | 801 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 594 Cr. |
| RSI | 67.3 | MACD | 5.93 | Volume | 2,29,57,436 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,49,32,714 |
| Low price | 95.2 ₹ | High price | 205 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.09 | Debt to equity | 0.12 |
| 52w Index | 96.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 16.2 % | EPS | 5.74 ₹ | Industry PE | 39.9 |
📊 Analysis: ASHOKLEY demonstrates strong fundamentals with ROE at 31.4% and ROCE at 36.5%, reflecting excellent capital efficiency. Debt-to-equity is low at 0.12, ensuring financial stability. EPS of ₹5.74 supports profitability, and dividend yield of 1.56% adds modest income potential. The P/E of 34.6 is slightly below the industry average of 39.9, suggesting fair valuation. The PEG ratio of 0.09 indicates undervaluation relative to growth, which is highly favorable. Quarterly PAT growth (801 Cr vs 594 Cr) shows strong earnings momentum (+16.2%). Technicals are supportive: RSI at 67.3 (bullish), MACD positive (5.93), and price trading above DMA 50 and DMA 200, signaling strong upward momentum. The 52-week index return of 96.1% highlights robust performance, making it a solid candidate for long-term investment.
💡 Entry Price Zone: Ideal accumulation range is between ₹180 – ₹190, closer to DMA 50 support levels, offering better valuation comfort.
⏳ Exit / Holding Strategy: Long-term investors (3–5 years) can hold given strong ROE/ROCE and undervaluation metrics. Exit or partial profit booking should be considered near ₹205–₹210 resistance levels if valuations stretch further without earnings growth acceleration.
Positive ✅
- Strong ROE (31.4%) and ROCE (36.5%) highlight excellent capital efficiency.
- Low debt-to-equity (0.12) ensures financial stability.
- PEG ratio of 0.09 indicates undervaluation relative to growth.
- Quarterly PAT growth (+16.2%) shows earnings momentum.
- Dividend yield of 1.56% provides modest income support.
- Strong 52-week index return of 96.1% highlights robust past performance.
Limitation ⚠️
- P/E of 34.6 is slightly high compared to fair value, though below industry average.
- EPS of ₹5.74 is modest relative to price.
- RSI at 67.3 indicates near overbought conditions, raising risk of short-term correction.
Company Negative News 📉
- No major negative news reported, but valuations are near peak levels.
Company Positive News 📈
- Strong quarterly profit growth supports earnings consistency.
- Institutional confidence with slight increase in FII (+0.09%) and DII (+0.14%) holdings.
- Technical indicators (MACD, DMA) show bullish momentum.
Industry 🌐
- Industry P/E at 39.9 indicates premium valuations across the sector.
- Automobile and commercial vehicle sector benefits from rising demand in infrastructure and logistics.
Conclusion 📝
ASHOKLEY is a fundamentally strong company with excellent ROE/ROCE, low debt, and undervaluation relative to growth. While valuations are slightly stretched and technicals show near overbought conditions, long-term investors can accumulate near ₹180–₹190 for better risk-reward. Existing holders should maintain a 3–5 year horizon, with partial profit booking near ₹205–₹210 resistance levels if earnings growth does not accelerate further.