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ASHOKLEY - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 4.1

Stock Code ASHOKLEY Market Cap 1,14,217 Cr. Current Price 194 ₹ High / Low 199 ₹
Stock P/E 33.5 Book Value 19.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.63 % ROCE 36.5 %
ROE 31.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 175 ₹ DMA 200 146 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.09 % Chg in DII Hold 0.14 % PAT Qtr 801 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 594 Cr.
RSI 56.3 MACD 5.38 Volume 73,02,386 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,56,41,959
Low price 95.2 ₹ High price 199 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.08 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 95.4 % Qtr Profit Var 16.2 % EPS 5.74 ₹ Industry PE 37.0

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Price (194 ₹) is near its 52-week high (199 ₹), showing strong bullish momentum.
  • Moving Averages: Price is well above both 50 DMA (175 ₹) and 200 DMA (146 ₹), confirming an uptrend.
  • RSI: At 56.3, neutral-to-bullish momentum, not yet overbought.
  • MACD: Positive (5.38), bullish crossover supports upward momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near upper band, suggesting strength but limited upside in short term.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (73L) is below 1-week average (156L), showing reduced participation despite price strength.

🎯 Momentum & Trade Zones

  • Support Levels: 175 ₹ (50 DMA), 146 ₹ (200 DMA), 95.2 ₹ (recent low).
  • Resistance Levels: 199 ₹ (recent high), 205–210 ₹ (psychological barrier).
  • Entry Zone: 180–185 ₹ (accumulation near support).
  • Exit Zone: 198–205 ₹ (profit booking near resistance).
  • Trend: Strong uptrend with consolidation near highs; reversal risk if price fails to break above 199–205 ₹.

✅ Positive

  • ROCE (36.5%) and ROE (31.4%) reflect excellent efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.12, very low leverage.
  • Dividend yield of 1.63% provides shareholder returns.
  • Quarterly PAT improved (801 Cr. vs 594 Cr.), showing strong earnings growth.
  • PEG ratio (0.08) indicates attractive valuation relative to growth.
  • 52-week index return of 95.4% highlights strong long-term performance.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock P/E (33.5) is slightly below industry average (37.0) but still high relative to EPS (5.74 ₹).
  • Book value (19.6 ₹) is far below current price, suggesting premium valuation.
  • Volume participation is weak compared to average, reducing conviction in breakout moves.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings increased only marginally (+0.09%), showing limited foreign investor confidence.
  • Volume below average, indicating reduced short-term momentum.

📊 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.14%), reflecting domestic support.
  • Quarterly PAT growth of 16.2% highlights earnings momentum.
  • Strong ROCE and ROE make the company highly efficient.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 37.0, slightly higher than company’s 33.5, suggesting Ashok Leyland is valued reasonably compared to peers.
  • Automobile and commercial vehicle sector demand remains strong, driven by infrastructure and logistics growth.

📝 Conclusion

  • ASHOKLEY is in a strong uptrend, consolidating near its 52-week high.
  • Optimal entry near 180–185 ₹ with exit around 198–205 ₹.
  • Strong fundamentals, efficiency ratios, and PAT growth make it attractive, but premium valuation and weak volume trends limit upside.
  • Medium-term investors should wait for breakout above 199–205 ₹ to confirm continuation of bullish trend.

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