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ASHOKLEY - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:55 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code ASHOKLEY Market Cap 1,04,884 Cr. Current Price 179 ₹ High / Low 215 ₹
Stock P/E 28.5 Book Value 19.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.75 % ROCE 36.5 %
ROE 31.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 190 ₹ DMA 200 160 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.09 % Chg in DII Hold 0.14 % PAT Qtr 1,026 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 801 Cr.
RSI 37.7 MACD -6.44 Volume 1,33,12,644 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,62,37,523
Low price 95.2 ₹ High price 215 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.07 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 69.3 % Qtr Profit Var 34.7 % EPS 5.80 ₹ Industry PE 35.4

📊 Chart & Trend: Current price (179 ₹) is trading below 50 DMA (190 ₹) but above 200 DMA (160 ₹), reflecting a mixed undertone. Support lies near 175–180 ₹, resistance at 190–200 ₹ and 215 ₹ (recent high).

📉 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 37.7 suggests oversold conditions. MACD at -6.44 confirms bearish bias. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, signaling weakness but potential for a short-term rebound.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (1.33 Cr) is significantly below the 1-week average (2.62 Cr), showing weak participation and lack of strong conviction.

🎯 Entry Zone: 175–180 ₹ (near support, tactical entry).

🎯 Exit Zone: 190–200 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance; profit booking advisable).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias. Oversold RSI suggests potential rebound, but weak volume limits breakout strength.


Positive

  • High ROCE (36.5%) and ROE (31.4%) reflect excellent capital efficiency.
  • PEG ratio at 0.07 indicates strong valuation relative to growth.
  • Dividend yield at 1.75% adds income appeal.

Limitation

  • P/E (28.5) is below industry average (35.4), but EPS (5.80 ₹) remains modest.
  • Book value (19.6 ₹) is low compared to current price, limiting margin of safety.
  • Stock trading below 50 DMA reflects short-term weakness.

Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased (-0.09%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Weak volume participation reduces conviction in momentum trades.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved (1,026 Cr vs 801 Cr), showing strong earnings growth.
  • Quarterly profit variance (+34.7%) highlights operational improvement.
  • DII holding increased (+0.14%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong 52-week performance (69.3% index gain) reflects robust momentum.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 35.4 suggests moderate-to-high sector valuation.
  • Automobile and commercial vehicle sector benefits from infrastructure growth and rising demand, though cyclical risks remain.

Conclusion

⚖️ ASHOKLEY is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below 50 DMA but above 200 DMA. Entry near 175–180 ₹ offers tactical opportunity for short-term rebound toward 190–200 ₹. Fundamentals show strong efficiency, earnings growth, and sector tailwinds, but weak volume and modest EPS limit upside. Best suited for cautious swing trades with strict stop-loss near 175 ₹.

Would you like me to extend this into an automobile & commercial vehicle sector basket overlay with peer benchmarking, so you can compare ASHOKLEY’s setup against peers like Tata Motors, Eicher Motors, and Mahindra & Mahindra?

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