ABFRL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.5
| Stock Code | ABFRL | Market Cap | 6,939 Cr. | Current Price | 56.8 ₹ | High / Low | 106 ₹ |
| Book Value | 66.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | -0.17 % | ROE | -3.01 % |
| Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 67.1 ₹ | DMA 200 | 76.8 ₹ | Chg in FII Hold | -0.26 % |
| Chg in DII Hold | -0.17 % | PAT Qtr | -38.9 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -90.9 Cr. | RSI | 27.6 |
| MACD | -3.08 | Volume | 29,93,444 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 50,70,931 | Low price | 56.5 ₹ |
| High price | 106 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.45 | 52w Index | 0.75 % | Qtr Profit Var | -17.4 % |
| EPS | -0.77 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.5 |
📊 ABFRL shows weak fundamentals and poor technical momentum. The company has negative ROCE (-0.17%) and ROE (-3.01%), with EPS at -0.77 ₹, reflecting losses. Technical indicators are bearish: RSI at 27.6 (oversold) and MACD negative (-3.08). The stock is trading below both 50 DMA (67.1 ₹) and 200 DMA (76.8 ₹), confirming a downtrend. Quarterly PAT remains negative (-38.9 Cr.), though improved from the previous quarter (-90.9 Cr.). Overall, it is a risky swing trade candidate with limited upside unless a strong reversal occurs.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 56–58 ₹ (near support and oversold RSI).
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 65–68 ₹ resistance zone unless momentum strengthens significantly.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT improved (-38.9 Cr. vs. -90.9 Cr.), showing reduced losses.
- Book value (66.8 ₹) is higher than current price, suggesting undervaluation potential.
- Debt-to-equity ratio (0.45) is moderate compared to peers.
⚠️ Limitation
- Negative ROCE (-0.17%) and ROE (-3.01%) highlight poor efficiency.
- EPS is negative (-0.77 ₹), limiting valuation support.
- Dividend yield is negligible (0.00%), offering no income support.
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing bearish trend.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly losses continue despite improvement.
- FII (-0.26%) and DII (-0.17%) holdings decreased, showing reduced institutional confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- Losses narrowed compared to previous quarter.
- Book value remains above current market price, offering potential recovery opportunity.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E is 25.5, but ABFRL has no meaningful P/E due to losses.
- Retail and apparel sector outlook remains competitive, with margin pressures.
🔎 Conclusion
ABFRL is fundamentally weak and technically bearish, making it a risky swing trade candidate. Entry near 56–58 ₹ offers limited upside potential. If already holding, consider exiting near 65–68 ₹ unless strong recovery signals appear.