ABFRL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.6
| Stock Code | ABFRL | Market Cap | 7,442 Cr. | Current Price | 61.0 ₹ | High / Low | 95.0 ₹ |
| Book Value | 65.3 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | -0.81 % | ROE | -3.95 % |
| Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 62.6 ₹ | DMA 200 | 70.2 ₹ | Chg in FII Hold | -2.83 % |
| Chg in DII Hold | -1.28 % | PAT Qtr | -132 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | -38.9 Cr. | RSI | 45.7 |
| MACD | -0.74 | Volume | 32,57,243 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 36,97,747 | Low price | 53.5 ₹ |
| High price | 95.0 ₹ | Debt to equity | 0.49 | 52w Index | 18.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | -317 % |
| EPS | -2.88 ₹ | Industry PE | 52.5 |
Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail (ABFRL) shows weak potential for swing trading. Technical indicators (RSI 45.7, MACD negative, price below 50DMA and 200DMA) suggest bearish momentum. Fundamentals are poor with negative ROCE (-0.81%), negative ROE (-3.95%), and consistent losses (PAT -132 Cr vs -38.9 Cr). The optimal entry price is near 55–57 ₹ (support zone). If already holding, consider exiting near 62–63 ₹ (50DMA resistance) unless a clear turnaround emerges.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Book value at 65.3 ₹, slightly above current price, offering asset backing.
- 💹 Moderate debt-to-equity ratio (0.49), not excessively leveraged.
- 📊 Strong brand presence in fashion retail sector.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Price trading below 50DMA (62.6 ₹) and 200DMA (70.2 ₹), showing weakness.
- 📊 Negative ROCE (-0.81%) and ROE (-3.95%), reflecting poor efficiency.
- 📉 EPS at -2.88 ₹, indicating losses.
- 📊 No dividend yield, limiting investor returns.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT worsened significantly (-132 Cr vs -38.9 Cr).
- 📉 Decline in FII holding (-2.83%) and DII holding (-1.28%), showing reduced institutional confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📊 Strong retail footprint and brand recognition in the fashion industry.
- 📈 Book value higher than current price, offering some valuation cushion.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry PE at 52.5, but ABFRL has no meaningful P/E due to losses.
- 📈 Fashion retail sector has long-term demand potential, though profitability remains cyclical.
📌 Conclusion
ABFRL is technically weak and fundamentally loss-making, making it a risky candidate for swing trading. Entry near support (55–57 ₹) and exit near resistance (62–63 ₹) is advisable for short-term traders. Long-term investors should be cautious until profitability improves and institutional confidence returns.
Would you like me to extend this with a fashion retail sector outlook or a peer comparison to refine the swing trade view?