ABFRL - IntraDay Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.1

📉 Intraday Trading Analysis for ABFRL (Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd.)

ABFRL is a weak candidate for intraday trading today, primarily due to poor financials, negative sentiment, and bearish technical indicators. While volume is slightly above average, the overall setup lacks momentum and conviction for a reliable short-term trade.

🔍 Key Technical & Fundamental Insights

❌ Bearish Technicals

RSI at 44.6: Below neutral, no clear bullish signal.

MACD at -1.08: Negative crossover — confirms bearish trend.

Current Price ₹75.3 < DMA50 ₹79.1 and DMA200 ₹89.8: Trading below key averages — short-term and long-term downtrend.

52w Index at 8.06%: Near yearly lows — very weak relative strength.

⚠️ Fundamental Weakness

ROCE -2.40% & ROE -11.8%: Negative returns — poor capital efficiency.

EPS -₹3.08: Negative earnings — not ideal for momentum trades.

PAT Qtr -₹115 Cr vs. Prev Qtr -₹106 Cr: Losses widening.

FII Change -4.57% & DII Change -2.51%: Strong institutional selling — sentiment negative.

✅ Minor Positives

Volume Today (68.3L) > Avg Vol 1Wk (62.6L): Slightly higher volume — may offer short-term volatility.

Debt-to-Equity 0.74: Moderate leverage — not excessive.

Book Value ₹55.8 vs. CMP ₹75.3: Trading slightly above book — not overly inflated.

🛒 Optimal Buy Price for Intraday

Buy Zone: ₹73.5–₹74.2 Only consider entry if price shows reversal signs with volume surge and RSI crosses 47.

🎯 Exit Strategy

Profit-Taking Levels

Target 1: ₹77.5 — minor resistance

Target 2: ₹79.0 — near 50-DMA, strong resistance

Stop-Loss / Loss Protection

Stop-Loss: ₹72.2 — below recent support and psychological level

📈 If You Already Hold the Stock Today

Exit on Weakness

RSI drops below 42 or MACD widens negatively

Price fails to hold above ₹74 post 12:30 PM IST

Volume Watch

If volume fades below 60L and price stagnates, consider exiting near ₹76.5

Trailing Stop Strategy

If price crosses ₹78, trail stop-loss upward by ₹1.5–₹2 increments

Would you like a scan of retail or apparel stocks with stronger intraday setups and better institutional sentiment?

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